Vic Duke

Pittsburgh/Baltimore 1:00: I'm going to believe that Pittsburgh's performance last week was a complete outlier - that no NFL team can play that bad with so much on the line on their home field. Steelers should have enough pride to bounce back on the road vs their division rival whom they beat 7 of the 10 SU. Lamar Jackson is not the healthiest with a sore ankle. Rodgers' non-throwing hand wrist getting better, and another chance to gain respect in Steeler nation. In division games, Tomlin is a sweet 10-1 ATS off an ATS loss. Steelers the call. 

Saints/Bucs 1:00: For a 2-10 team, Saints competitive. They covered their last two road games and in a revenge mode here from their October 26th 23-3 home loss. Late in that game, Tyler Shough was inserted as the QB for Rattler. Shough has shown promise in Kellen Moore's offense. TB defense has been yielding since that game - on an 0-4 ATS slide. TB hasn't looked well during that run - injuries have played a part. And as great as Baker Mayfield is as a dog, he's not a money maker as a favorite. Mayfield 19-32-2 ATS as a favorite as a starter. We'll grab the Saints, which are a spectacular 11-0 ATS as a division dog of more than 4 points. 

Seahawks/Falcons 1:00: Falcons will occasionally tease you into believing they're a legitimate threat in the NFC South as exhibited in September and October with upsets of Minnesota and Buffalo. And then when you start believing, Raheem Morris will bleed you dry. Morris is now 3-13 ATS as a home dog. Seattle, on the other hand, a serious contender in the NFC - on an 8-2 ATS tear and 5-1 on the road. They have the #1 rush defense in the NFL and 3rd in scoring allowed. Cousins won have top target London (out) to throw to. Seattle offense cooking and we're laying the wood. 

Texans/Chiefs 8:20: I hate going against Patrick Mahomes, especially on Prime Time TV, but I'm taking the points here. Chiefs face the #1 defense in the NFL that can not only get after the QB but also have a ball hawking secondary that allows the lowest completion % in the NFL. With half of the Chiefs starting offensive line out, this could be trouble. On the flip end, Chiefs' defense has been a disappointment - giving up the highest completion % to opposing QBs and in the bottom tier in penalties. Houston offense starting to get better after early season struggles as the offensive line is getting healthy, RB Marks playing well and Stroud getting in rhythm with receivers. Demarco Ryans 7-1 ATS off division game vs .500 or greater team. We'll take the points.