Ben Burns Ben Burns
Ben was 5-2 Wednesday, a PERFECT 4-0 with his baseball and basketball. Full steam ahead Thursday, the first game going BRIGHT AND EARLY!
ALL SPORTS SUBSCRIPTIONS
**ON FIRE!** BURNS 3-DAY ALL SPORTS SUPER-PASS!

Ben Burns is among the most respected handicappers in the world and he's ON ABSOLUTE FIRE. Don't believe? Grab a 3-DAY PASS and see for yourself!

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 19, 2022
Diamondbacks vs Cubs
Diamondbacks
-110 at SC Consensus
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

I'm playing on ARIZONA. The Diamondbacks are desperate for a victory and they've got the right guy on the mound. Gallen has been outstanding this season. Averaging nearly six innings per start, he's got a spectacular 1.05 ERA and 0.67 WHIP through six innings. While facing the same team twice in a row can sometimes be challenging, I believe Gallen is up for the task. He's already faced the Mets in b2b starts and he was just fine in both. Keep in mind that he limited the Cubs to only two hits, while striking out nine, in last week's start. So, they weren't exactly getting good swings against him. Gallen now has 21 K's vs. only one walk, over his past three starts. Yesterday, we went against a 'big name' pitcher (Snell) who was making his first start. Here's another relatively big name in Stroman, who will be making his first start in a while. Stroman last pitched on 5/1. While he was pitching well before he went down to injury, note that he's 0-1 with a 7.72 ERA in two home starts. The Cubs are just 7-17 under the lights. Dbax bounce back. 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 19, 2022
Reds vs Guardians
Guardians
-123 at circa
Lost
$123.0
Play Type: Premium

I'm playing on CLEVELAND. The Guardians can't afford to keep losing to their lowly instate rivals. After dropping Tuesday's game, yesterday's was ppd. I expect them to bounce back this afternoon. Quantrill has a respectable 3.93 ERA and 1.282 WHIP. He's gone six or more innings in four straight starts. Mahle, on the other hand, has a poor 5.16 ERA. On the road, his ERA climbs to 6.50. He's got a 1.50 WHIP, while averaging less than five innings per road start. Cleveland already roughed up Mahle last month. He lasted only four innings; Cleveland won 10-4. With this now being a day game, note that Mahle has much worse numbers (0-3, 7.25 ERA) in the day than under the lights. The opposite is true of Quantrill as he's been stronger during the day. Cincy relievers have a 4.97 ERA on the road; Clev. relievers have a 2.24 ERA at home. Expect Clev. to bounce back, moving to 30-13 its past 43, as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range.

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  May 19, 2022
Lightning vs Panthers
Panthers
-158 at circa
Lost
$158.0
Play Type: Top Premium

I'm playing on FLORIDA. Clearly, the Lightning are still a really good team. Off an extremely hard-fought 7-game series against the Leafs, they still had enough left in the tank to take Game 1. They'd finish with a 4-1 victory. Expect the champs to find things considerably more difficult this evening. The Panthers grew a lot in the first round. They, too, were on the brink of getting knocked out. They kept coming back though; there is no quit in this team. After losing the opener of that series by a 4-2 score, the Panthers bounced back and crushed the Caps by a 5-1 score in Game 2. They'd go on to lose Game 3 by a 6-1 score. Once again, they bounced back. Including that Game 4 victory, the Panthers are a highly profitable 20-6 (+15) the past 26 times that they scored one goal or less in their previous game, a perfect 4-0 their past four. They're 58-26 the past 2+ seasons, after allowing four or more goals. The Panthers are also still a dominating 33-8 their past 41, when playing a home game with an O/U line of six or greater. Expect them to improve on those stats and even the series. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  May 19, 2022
Celtics vs Heat
UNDER 208 -110 Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Top Premium

I'm playing on Boston/Miami UNDER the total. While I backed the Heat in Game 1, I feel that the value lies with the total for Game 2. As you probably saw, the opener was relatively high-scoring. The UNDER is still 8-3-1 in Miami playoff games. The UNDER was a perfect 3-0 after the previous three (the two 'unders' and the push) which didn't fall below the total. Off their most recent 'over,' the Heat allowed just 85 points in their next game. Off their previous 'over,' the they scored just 79 in their next game. The Celtics, for their part, have seen the UNDER go 7-3 the past 10 times that they were off a double-digit loss. The last time that they were off a d.d. loss, they responded by allowing only 86 points their next time out, a game which stayed below the total by roughly 20 points. Look for this one to also prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting, the UNDER improving to 6-2-1 the past nine, when the Heat were leading in a playoff series. 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 19, 2022
Padres vs Phillies
Phillies
-113 at BetVegas
Lost
$113.0
Play Type: Premium

I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. I successfully played on the Phillies in yesterday's 3-0 victory and I'm coming right back with them this afternoon. Gibson gets the call. He should be pleased by the early start time. In two daytime starts this season, he's 2-0 with a sparkling 1.38 ERA and 0.62 WHIP. Gibson will also be happy to be pitching on his home mound. He's 3-0 with an outstanding 1.93 ERA and 0.696 WHIP at home but 0-1 witha 6.27 ERA and 1.71 WHIP in four road starts. Darvish also prefers to pitch at home than he does on the road, as was also the case last season. This season, he's got an ugly 7.91 ERA in four road starts. While Darvish averages less than five innings per road start, Gibson averages more than six innings per home start. Expect the Phils to make it two in row. 

SERVICE BIO

Age: 45

Background

In "Outliers," Malcolm Gladwell asks the question: "What makes high achievers different?" Gladwell suggests that those at the top of their field have a number of similarities - that their upbringing (culture, family, what generation they came from, experiences) had much to do with their success.

As a professional sports handicapper, Ben Burns is widely recognized as being "at the top of his field." A look at Ben's upbringing shows that he fits Gladwell's model to a tee.

Exposed to the world of point spreads early and often as a child, Burns reached adulthood as the Internet was first beginning to explode, just as the first offshore sportsbooks were springing up. By that time he'd already spent thousands of hours learning and studying stats.

From an early age it became apparent to family and friends that Ben wasn't a "typical" fan. At age 11, he was mentioned in a major newspaper (Toronto Star) for correctly predicting a high profile trade before the Major League Baseball trading deadline. (Winner of the contest got tickets to the All Star game.)

Ben's father and uncles were always involved in a weekly NFL (ATS) pool. Some of Ben's earliest memories included that pool and his fascination with it. As soon as he was allowed to play, Ben demonstrated an uncanny ability to surprise the adults. Around this time, one of his uncles moved his casino business to the Caribbean. This was the environment which he came from.

The caption underneath Ben's high-school graduation photo references Ben's love for betting on football. That's because he was famous throughout his school for annually winning the local football contest, along with the $1700 per year which was awarded to the champ.

Coming of age right as the first sports books were coming online, Ben was fortunate to enjoy some success with his some of his early online sports betting endeavors. He did so well that the first shop he ever played at ended up refusing to take his hockey bets.

Also, in the very early days of the Internet, Ben won an NBA playoff contest, put on by a company which was called NSS.net. The contest victory awarded him a trip for two to Las Vegas, $1000 cash, a limo at his disposal, free shows, hotel and live sports odds for a year. Not a bad prize for a kid in his early 20s. However, the bigger prize was that Ben was exposed to the world of "professional sports handicapping." Inspired by his personal success and encouraged by his peers, Ben first made his picks available to the public in 1998.

Achievements in Handicapping/Sports

Top Ranked NFL Handicapper

From the years of 1998-2007, Ben's selections were independently documented at one of the Internet's earliest and most respected sports monitors, Big Guy Sports. During that time, Ben earned literally dozens of documented Top 3 finishes in football, basketball, baseball AND hockey, including numerous #1 titles. Competing against a field of 150 of the biggest names in the industry, he ranked as the #1 NFL handicapper in the existence of that sports monitor, in their All-Time rankings.  No competing handicapping service ever came close to matching his NFL record. In fact, Ben also ranked as the #1 combined NFL/NCAA football handicapper.

10 Straight Super Bowl Winners

A big part of the reason for Ben's #1 NFL titles was his annual success in the playoffs. He fared particularly well with his Super Bowl selections. In fact, from 1999-2007, he released 10 Super Bowl picks (3 Sides, 7 totals) and went a perfect 10-0. (All selections independently documented.) In the middle of that 10-0 streak, in the 2002-2003 season, Ben won with both the Bucs and the "over" the year that they beat the Raiders. That win was particularly sweet as he predicted that Tampa would win the Super Bowl in a number of national magazines, prior to the season even starting.

Fantasy Legend

Ben got pretty seriously into the DFS world in 2014 and 2015. Recently, he was featured as "The High Roller" in the 2015 documentary, "Living the Fantasy." A regular fixture at Fan Duel and Draft Kings live championship events, Burns has taken down 6-figure scores in football, basketball AND baseball. While many of the other prominent DFS players come from a poker background, two decades as a sports handicapper provide a unique perspective.

Biggest Win of 2016

The year has just begun but Ben has already enjoyed some notable wins. His "Bowl Game of the Year," which happened to be a total (WVU/ASU "over") saw the teams combine for 85 points and 1196 total yards, all of them in regulation. Closing out the campaign with wins on Clemson AND the "over" in the championship game was also rewarding.  

Systems Used For Handicapping

Bruce Lee noted: "Man, the living creature, the creating individual, is always more important than any established style of system." Lee was known to talk about being shapeless, formless (like water) and ready to adapt to any situation. Likewise, Burns doesn't rely on any one particular methodology. Rather, he combines fundamental, technical and situational techniques, making use of any and all data, which he deems relevant to the situation.

Ben does tend to pay particular attention to the 'situational' side of things. Among numerous other factors, this includes trying to determine when (and why) a team will be extra motivated ("pumped up") to play its best and also when a team may be ripe for a "letdown." Burns has a contrarian nature and this trait is often revealed in his selections.  

Betting Philosophy

Ever adapting, Burns is just as likely to take points as he is to lay them. Over the years, he's played more "unders" than "overs" but that doesn't mean that he won't pull the trigger on an "over" when the time is right to do so. While many handicappers shy away from playing MLB/NHL favorites on the money-line, Ben has proven that one can be highly successful by doing so. For him, it’s all about value. If he can get a team at -130 that he likes and that believes should be -160, than that's a play.

 

Rating and Titles of Plays

Ben uses a scale of 5-10 to show his level of confidence with each play. Plays may include "titles" in order to give users a better idea of what to expect. Some of those titles include:

Personal Favorite - Strongest favorite (or pick'em game) in that sport for the day.

Best Bet - Strongest underdog (or pick'em game) in that sport for the day, occasionally can be a total.

Blue Chip Total - Strongest rated total in that sport/category for the day.

Main Event - Big play which is featured on national television.

Game Of The Week/Month/Year - Top rated side or total for that particular week/month/year.