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Alex Smart |
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Alex Smart Sports- Where winning means everything!Testing $38000.00 NBA Totals run-plus 68 %L/19 MLB Totals run! |
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | May 23, 2025 Marlins vs Angels |
Angels -144 at Heritage |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Angels Kikuchi has a 2.38 ERA in four May starts, as he has only allowed a total 6 earned runs in 22.2 innings of top tier pitching. The Halos southpaw has also flourished at home where he owns a 1.65 ERA . On the flipside - The Marlins starter. Alcantara owns a ugly 7.47 ERA in three May starts, allowing 13 earned runs in 15.2 innings of sub par hurling. Miami is also 0-6 in his last six start and it has been on the road where he struggles the most as is evident by a 14.81 ERA . The pitching matchup favors the angels who are hitting at better clip than the Marlins over the last 10 games. note: When 2 below .500 teams meet the favorite is 55-30 this season for a 65% conversion rate. Play on the LAA on the ML |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
WNBA | May 23, 2025 Mystics vs Aces |
Mystics +14½ -105 at betonline |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Washington, started their season at 2-0 despite of some injury issues, and despite of being off a loss vs GS last time out, deserve respect here . The Ace have shown two diff looks this season getting smashed by the Liberty and then crushing the Sun. With new faces in the lineup , they may be looking to fine tune their efforts in a game that could see them regress after their last performance. WNBA favorites of 10 or more points - good free throw shooting team from last season - made 76% or better of their free throws, in 1st 5 games of the season, after a game where a team made 80% of their free throws or better are 5-24 ATS since 1997. Since 2021 , big DD favorites of 12 points or more are 105-13 SU but just 44-74 ATS . Play on Washington to cover |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
WNBA | May 23, 2025 Mercury vs Storm |
Mercury +6 -110 at Buckeye |
Lost $110.0 |
Play Type: Free | ||
Seattle is a 5.5 favorite -despite getting smashed by Phoenix in the first meeting of the season. The Mercury matchup well, vs this Sorm side and getting points here is a viable wagering opportunity.Seattle off a road win against a division rival are 0-6 ATS dating dating back to last season. Play on the Mercury |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | May 23, 2025 Pacers vs Knicks |
OVER 225½ -108 |
Lost $108.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
N YK outplayed Indiana for almost four quarters in game 1 of this series but their defense let them down late, and they blew a DD lead. Im betting here in the rebound game , the Knicks come out bombing away again and just keep the peddle to the metal from start to finish with no let up .On the flip-side Im also betting Indiana to also step up their offense and continue to bring offensive heat with the momentum of their comeback last time out. (Brunson seems to be a weak point of the Knicks on D, and HC Carlisle game plan will continue to push him) The Knicks offense has been exceptional for most of this season, and their built to score in bunches, ranking 9th in ppg offense and 5th in offensive rating. Meanwhile, Indiana ranked 7th in offense entering this game, and 17th in D ppg, and are and will remain vulnerable defenders despite of some glimpses of strong defensive play in their earlier rounds of these play offs. The linesmakers have pushed up the totals offering from game 1, but rightfully so.Indiana away or neutral games after one or more consecutive overs. are 20-6 OVER this season with those games seeing a combined average of 238.9 ppg. Indiana away or neutral games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season are 10-1 OVER with a combined average of 242.2 ppg. Indiana away or neutral games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. are 13-2 OVER L/15 with a combined average of 240.2 ppg scored. Play over |
PICKS IN PROGRESS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | May 24, 2025 Padres vs Braves |
Braves -108 at Heritage |
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Play Type: Premium | ||
The pitching matchup for Saturday's game will feature a pair of right-handers in San Diego's Michael King (4-2, 2.59 ERA) and Atlanta's Grant Holmes (2-3, 4.01). King has a 3.63 ERA away and Holmes has a 2.63 ERA at home. Holmes has allowed two or fewer runs in three of his last four starts . Braves offense are up-trending offensively , hitting .280 over their last ten games compared to the San Diego Padres only hitting .210.The Atlanta Braves are 15-8 at home this season. The Padres are 12-13 on the road tilts. The Atlanta Braves have hit the Money-line in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+4.60 Units / 15% ROI) The Padres took game 1 of this series as underdogs but now Im betting on a rebound from the Braves in game 2. Play on the Braves to win |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
WNBA | May 24, 2025 Wings vs Dream |
Wings +7½ -115 at Bovada |
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Play Type: Premium | ||
Atlanta had to play two down-to-the-wire tilts against the Fever this week and will be in a big letdown situation vs a desperate winless Wings side that will be primed to grab the victory here. WNBA Road teams - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 12+ losses in last 15 games, terrible team from last season who won 25% or less of their games, in 1st 5 games of the season are 35-11 ATS since 1997. Play on the Wings to cover |
SERVICE BIO |
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Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 22 years. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). |
Here are a few more of the NCAA basketball handicappers on our site: