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Alex Smart |
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| Alex Smart Sports- Where winning means everything. Testing long term $74000.00 plus dime player run! |
| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Apr 25, 2024 Phillies vs Reds |
Reds +1½ -123 at circa |
Lost $123.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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The Reds clinched a season series vs Philly with a 7-4, come-from-behind win on Wednesday and I project them to be a solid runline winner here today in a game that is expected to closely contested. It must be noted Reds starter Martinez will be making his first career start against Philadelphia, but the right-hander has been dominant in five career relief appearances vs. the Phillies, allowing just one run and four hits over 10 1/3 innings with no decisions.PHILADELPHIA is 13-29 against the run line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons.PHILADELPHIA is 20-42 against the run line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons.PHILADELPHIA is 19-39 against the run line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons.CINCINNATI is 49-30 SU vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Play on Cincinnati +1.5 runline |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Apr 25, 2024 Nuggets vs Lakers |
OVER 214½ -110 |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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My. projections estimate that both these teams will produce +114 points in what the linesmakers expect to be a very close game .LA LAKERS are 31-0 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 253.2 ppg scored..DENVER is 16-2 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 244.5 ppg scored. LA LAKERS L/30 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined score of 227.3 ppg scored.LA LAKERS L/173 games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 232.2 ppg scored. LA LAKERS in 48 games as a favorite this season have seen a combined average of 235.5 ppg scored. DENVER 45 games this season when playing against a team with a winning record has seen a combined average 221.2 ppg scored. DENVERs 65 games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season has seen a combined average of 222.9 ppg scored. Play over |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Apr 25, 2024 Cavs vs Magic |
Magic -1½ -115 at Mirage |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Orlando has its back up against the wall as they are down 2-0 in this series, and will now be primed for a huge bounce back performance here at home where they have played their best hoops this season winning 29 of their 40 games while covering 27 of those tilts. The last game between these two teams was a grinding affair in Cleveland with the Cavs pounding out a 96-86 win. Note: Bickerstaff is 0-10 ATS in road games after a combined score of 185 points or less as the coach of CLEVELAND. Also Bickerstaff is 17-33 ATS L/50 in road games against Southeast division opponents in all games he has coached . CLEVELAND is 9-19 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. ORLANDO is 12-4 ATS in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season. ORLANDO is 15-6 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season. ORLANDO is 11-2 ATS in home games versus sub standard pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 37-4 L/28 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.8 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA Favorites (ORLANDO) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 30-11 ATS L/28 seasons for. a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Orlando Magic to cover |
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SERVICE BIO |
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Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 22 years. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). |
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