Alex Smart

These teams the  Lightning and Penguins are in a back-to-back situation and  and are in a  three games in four day situation as well. tired legs do not bode well for good defensive hockey and Im betting that will give us an edge with a over bet. NHL Home teams like the Penguins where the total is 6 or more - struggling team - outscored by their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season, after allowing 5 goals or more are 93-47 OVER since 2021 with a combined average of 7.1 gpg scored.

Play over

Packers and Eagles faced off in Week 1in Brazil, with the Eagles winning by a  34-29 count.Eagles QB Jalen Hurts has gone against HC Matt LaFleur and the Packers twice and  he looked explosive in those games, winning 34-29 against Jordan Love and 40-33 against Aaron Rodgers. Hurts has played three playoff games in his career either at a neutral site or at home and he has scored 35, 31 and 38 pts respectively in the those  three tilts and another big output Im betting goes down today which will directly effect this score to go over the offered total.  Im also betting the QB Love will help his team put enough scores on the board to get us to the promised land. Note:Green Bay games against NFC East division opponents have seen a combined average of 59.1 ppg scored.Green Bay games revenging a loss against opponent havw seen a combined average of 58.2 ppg scored.Green Bay games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75% or better are 6-0 OVER ) in the second half of the season have seen a combined average of 59.7 ppg scored. Philadelphia games after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games are 8-1 OVER L/9 with a combined average of 53.6 ppg scored.

Play on the OVER

Afternoon NBA games have a general tendency of being lethargic in  nature and Im betting this tilt ends up on the low side of the offered total. note: Denver Nuggets could be without Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon both listed as questionable, and if they do play they will be less than 100% while the Mavericks are still without Luka Doncic, Dante Exum, and Kyrie Irving. 

Each of the Mavericks' last four day games against Northwest Division opponents has gone UNDER the total .Eight of the Nuggets' last 10 day games have gone UNDER the total points .

NBA game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%), in January games are 84-42 UNDER since 2021 with the average combined score clicking in at 222.2 ppg.

Play on the under

  This No.3 vs No.6 NFL  matchup has seen some unexpected results  with away  teams  winning 14 of the L/22 matchups  SU while covering at a 17-5 ATS clip for a 77% conversion rate for their betting backers.·  Underdogs are 17-8-1 ATS in the last 26 NFC Wild Card games. Home sides in the Wildcard on Sundays like the Bucs are 18-21 SU and 13-25-1 ATS.Sunday NFC road teams have been a viable investment option recording a  18-6-1 ATS  mark in the last 25.  With that said, I like QB Jay Daniels and comopany to make this game a upset possibility and more importantly to get us the cover. 

Play on Washington to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Bills D struggled against play off teams this season and they  were  just 2-3 against teams that have reached the post season,  allowing 108 more yards per game against playoff teams vs. non-playoff sides. Buffalo’s defense also allowed 33 points a contest and is their Achilles heal entering this play off game vs the Broncos. Im betting Denvers ability to slow super star QB Josh Allan becomes the key to them covering today. Home teams like the Bills  in  NFL playoffs with a line -7 to -9.5 are 12-25-1 ATS since 2011.

Broncos to cover