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Alex Smart |
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| Testing current 39-23 NFL 63% run and a 38-24 61% CFB conversion rate! Alex Smart Sports. Get the info the books do not want you to have. |
| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NHL | Oct 15, 2018 Wild vs Predators |
UNDER 6 -110 | Tie |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Two top tier goalies go head to head Monday night in Nashville, as Pekka Rinne and the Predators host Devan Dubnyk and the Minnesota Wild in a Central Division battle. The Wild Goalie Dubnyk owns. a 2.64 GAA and .934 save percentage this season. He recorded a a 1.96 GAA and .934 save percentage against the Predators last season. The Preds starting goalie Rinne has registered a stingy 1.67 GAA and .946 save percentage this season and recorded 2.98 GAA and .903 save percentage against Minnesota last season. Considering the goalie matchup and we all ready have a strong case for a lower scoring game, but current circumstances suggest that Minnesota will play a conservative transistional style of hockey tonight against a explosive opponent playing on their own home ice, thus making the under a viable betting opportunity. Under is 4-0 in Wild last 4 road games.Under is 6-1 in Wild last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 4-1 in Wild last 5 vs. Western Conference Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Nashville. Play on the UNDER |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NFL | Oct 15, 2018 49ers vs Packers |
UNDER 46½ -115 |
Lost $115.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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The Packers are a injury riddled group right now and Aaron Rodgers looks less than 100% healthy ,but their defence is holding up well and have held their last two opponents to season low outputs.I expect they will continue to stand tall vs a Niners team with a uncertain QB situation thanks to Jimmy G being out with an injury and top RB (Jerick McKinnon) out, and it must also be noted that eight offensive players were on the sideline during Thursday's practice due to injuries. Also an interesting trends run here indicates GB could be in a letdown situation as they have gone under 8 straight times after playing long time rivals Detroit who they faced last week. Meanwhile, SF despite of losing to Arizona thanks to 5 turnovers last week held the Arizona Cards to 220 yards of Total offence. The 49ers D, has not always looked cohesive this season, but considering how banged up the Packers are they have a viable opportunity to make them selves look like respectable stoppers this Monday night. Look for two banged up offences to play fairly conservatively here this evening, and for this combined total to stay on the low side of the number. NFL team against the total (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a horrible scoring defense - allowing 27 or more points/game, after allowing 25 points or more in 4 straight games are 26-3 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. The average posted total was 46 and the average combined score clicked in at 38.4 ppg. Play UNDER |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Oct 15, 2018 Brewers vs Dodgers |
Dodgers -166 at 5Dimes |
Lost $166.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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The Milwaukee Brewers 12 game win streak came to abrupt end last time out after a game 2 loss that saw them blow an early lead. Now with the Dodgers back in the friendly confines of Chez Ravine they look like a strong candidate to hand the Brewers their second loss in a row behind the arm of Beuhler who has won his L/3 home starts and owned a 1.93 ERA and 84 strikeouts across 74 2/3 innings at Dodger Stadium this season. Buehler allowed only one run in seven innings when L.A. hosted Milwaukee on July 31 and according to my power rankings matches up well against them. With the Brewers most consistent hitter now in a slump ( Yelich) batting just.188 in the play offs I can feel the momentum beginning to shift towards the Dodgers. Meanwhile, the Dodgers matchup well against the Brewers pitcher Jhoulys Chacin (15-8, 3.50 ERA) who they faced quite a bit when he was the Padres, which was evident last time he visited here when got blasted for 8 runs in just 4.1 innings of shoddy work. If Chacin falters his usually reliable bullpen is starting to look wobbly as is eviident by allowing 8 runs in the first two game of this series, and Im betting won't provide true relief here . Brewers are 2-5 in their last 7 League Championship games.Brewers are 2-6 in their last 8 playoff road games. Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the moneyline |
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SERVICE BIO |
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Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 20 years. I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes. My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigous event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%! I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled. These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections. |
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