Handicapper Alex Smart’s NCAA Basketball Picks & Predictions

	Alex Smart
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup	Selection	W/L
NCAA-B \| Mar 05, 2021 New Mexico State vs Dixie State	New Mexico State -12 -110 at Draft Kings	Lost $110.0
Play Type: Premium
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
Matchup	Selection	W/L
NCAA-B \| Mar 05, 2021 San Francisco vs Loyola Marymount	San Francisco -1 -104 at pinnacle	Lost $104.0
Play Type: Premium
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
Matchup	Selection	W/L
NCAA-B \| Mar 05, 2021 CS-Fullerton vs UC San Diego	UC San Diego -145 at Mirage	Won $100
Play Type: Premium
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
Matchup	Selection	W/L
NCAA-B \| Mar 05, 2021 Ball State vs Toledo	Toledo -9 -110 at Draft Kings	Won $100
Play Type: Premium
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
Matchup	Selection	W/L
NCAA-B \| Mar 05, 2021 Fairfield vs Manhattan	Fairfield +5 -109 at Draft Kings	Won $100
Play Type: Premium
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
Matchup	Selection	W/L
NCAA-B \| Mar 05, 2021 Hawaii vs UC-Davis	UC-Davis -1½ -107 at pinnacle	Lost $107.0
Play Type: Premium
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB underdog vs. the money line (HAWAII) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 5 points or less against opponent off a close road win by 3 points or less are 1-48 L/23 seasons for a go against 98% conversion rate for bettors. UC Davis to win
Matchup	Selection	W/L
NHL \| Mar 05, 2021 Ducks vs Avalanche	Ducks +222 at linepros	Lost $100.0
Play Type: Premium
Anaheim has lost 8 straight but 6 of those games were one goal losses and must not be underestimated in their ability to pull off an upset vs a Colorado side that has been far from consistent this season. Colorado is off a 4-0 win last time out, but recently COLORADO is just 3-10 ATS off a road blowout win by 3 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.Anaheim is 3-0 in in their L/7 visits to Colorado with the visitor winning 5 of the L/6 meetings . Play on Anaheim to win
Matchup	Selection	W/L
NHL \| Mar 05, 2021 Blues vs Kings	Blues -127 at linepros	Won $100
Play Type: Premium
These two teams St.Louis and LAK are headed in two opposite directions. The Blues have won 3 straight while the Kings have lost three straight. Im recommedning we ride the momentum of the streaking side and fade a rebuilding Kings team that should start to play like many of us thought they would . NHL team against the money line (ST LOUIS) - revenging 2 straight losses where team scored 1 goal or less, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 30-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on St.Louis to win
Matchup	Selection	W/L
NHL \| Mar 05, 2021 Golden Knights vs Sharks	Sharks +180 at linepros	Lost $100.0
Play Type: Premium
The records might be different but these teams Vegas and San Jose according to my power rankings are closer than the line might indicate giving us value backing the Sharks at home in this spot play. SAN JOSE is 6-0 ATS after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season. SAN JOSE is 5-1 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season. NHL Home teams against the money line (SAN JOSE) - off a blowout loss by 3 goals or more to a division rival against opponent off 2 or more consecutive home wins are 30-7 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play on San Jose to win

PREMIUM PICK STREAKS
• All Sports Totals (+5827) 975-842 L1817 54% • NHL Picks (+5625) 310-245 L555 56% • MLB Money Lines (+5293) 390-329 L719 54% • NBA Picks (+4304) 1069-949 L2018 53% • NCAA-F Picks (+3048) 764-667 L1431 53% • Basketball Totals (+2311) 604-531 L1135 53% • Football Totals (+1569) 183-153 L336 54% • NCAA-B Totals (+1193) 133-109 L242 55% • WNBA Sides (+683) 114-99 L213 54% • CFL Sides (+411) 51-42 L93 55% • NFL Totals (+343) 61-53 L114 54%

• All Sports Totals (+5827) 975-842 L1817 54%

• NHL Picks (+5625) 310-245 L555 56%

• MLB Money Lines (+5293) 390-329 L719 54%

• NBA Picks (+4304) 1069-949 L2018 53%

• NCAA-F Picks (+3048) 764-667 L1431 53%

• Basketball Totals (+2311) 604-531 L1135 53%

• Football Totals (+1569) 183-153 L336 54%

• NCAA-B Totals (+1193) 133-109 L242 55%

• WNBA Sides (+683) 114-99 L213 54%

• CFL Sides (+411) 51-42 L93 55%

• NFL Totals (+343) 61-53 L114 54%

SERVICE BIO
Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 20 years. I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes. My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%! I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled. These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years.

My picks have been documented for 20 years. I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis.

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures.

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled. These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.

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