Alex Smart Alex Smart
Alex Smart Sports- Where winning means everything!
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MLB SUBSCRIPTIONS
2025 MLB Season Subscription
**2x Top 10 MLB handicapper!**

Currently on a 24-15 MLB run since 06/10/25.

This subscription includes EVERY MLB PREMIUM PICK I release through the end of the World Series! Join now and start cashing in on more winners!

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 05, 2025
Astros vs Dodgers
Astros
+130 at Heritage
Won
$130
Play Type: Premium

 LAD starter Ohtani In 13 career starts against Houston, owns a. sub par  3-6 record  with a slightly bloated  4.01 ERA, the worst of any team he has started against at least three times. Here against Astros bats that  are in top  gear  even without  Yordan Alvarez Im betting on another sub standard start . Houston ranks fifth in wRC+ over the last two weeks, averaging  .277 average and   .175 Isolated Power and get the edge here as road dogs for the 2nd straight night. Houston in road games on the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season are 39-15 dating back to the 2023 season.The Astros will answer with left-hander Framber Valdez (9-4, 2.72 ERA). Valdez garnered his second consecutive scoreless outing when he went six innings at home against the Chicago Cubs in a 2-0 win on Sunday.The Astros have gained  a victory in each of Valdez's last 10 starts.  Valdez has gone 8-0 in the stretch with a 1.72 ERA during that stretch and give the Astros an edge. 

Play on the Astros to win 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 05, 2025
Angels vs Blue Jays
Blue Jays
-1½ +122 at Ace
Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Premium

 The Angels are starting a  pitcher in Jack Kochanowicz that has recorded a bloated  5.44 ERA, while also giving uo  1.6 home runs and 4.2 walks per nine innings. Hr is backed by a Halso bullpen that owns a  5.22 ERA which ranks 27th in MLB . That is not a good omen vs a Toronto offense  in No.1  American League baseball at  home averaging  5.4 runs per game. Note:  LA Angels in road games on the run line in day games 0-5 this season are 4-13 this season with a average rpg diff clicking in at -2.

Play on the Blue Jays to cover -1.5 runline

Matchup Selection W/L
WNBA  |  Jul 05, 2025
Sparks vs Fever
Sparks
+7 -110 at Bovada
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Caitlin Clark (left groin strain) has missed the Fever's last four games and her status for Saturday is unknown. I cant see here playing against a lower tier side and if she does here time on the court will be limited. 

Los Angeles in away games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game after 15+ games are perfect 12-0 ATS L/12 opportunities.

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 06, 2025
Angels vs Blue Jays
Blue Jays
-173 at BookMaker
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Its been 7 straight wins for the Blue Jays and Im going to ride their momentum here today and pay the extra juice. Sunday home chalk taking on a visitor  who missed the playoffs the previous season are 64-29   with a 12% ROI this season for a 69% conversion rate . Add to that  Toronto is  20-9 with a 16% ROI as a home chalk and you have a viable looking wager here .  

Play on the Blue Jays 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 06, 2025
Pirates vs Mariners
UNDER 6½ -115 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Seattles starter George Kirby enters this game in top form. He has allowed two runs or less in four of his last five starts after a slow start to his season and after a short injury. With the Pirates  averaging less than 3.1 runs per game on the road which ranks  last in the  National League, Im betting Kirby holds fort again and limits Bucks run production to a minimum.  Meanwhile, the Pirates respond with emerging star pitcher Paul Skenes who has garnered a stingy 2.03 ERA, allowing an average of  just 5.8 hits and 0.4 home runs per nine innings, which ranks No.1 among  starting pitchers in the National League.   .

Pittsburgh games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) are 19-5 under L/24 with a combined average of 5.5 rpg scored.

Seattle home games after 5 or more consecutive home games are a perfect 10-0 under this season with an average combined score of 4.5 rpg going on the board.

Play under

Matchup Selection W/L
WNBA  |  Jul 06, 2025
Aces vs Sun
Sun
+18½ -110 at Bovada
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Las Vegas in away or neutral games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game are 0-15 ATS L/15 overall.

Play on the Sun to cover

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 22 years.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigious event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.    

I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit).