Alex Smart Alex Smart
Alex Smart Sports - Where winning means everything. Get the bankroll expanding info the books do not want you to have.
Alex Smart Sports- College Football Early Steam - Miami Fl vs Florida

Non Conference instate rivals the Florida Gators and Miami Hurricanes open up the 150th College Football anniversary season against each other on August 24. Which side has the ATS edge? Your 100% Guaranteed answer is locked and loaded and ready to make the books pay for taking our scholastic gridiron action. Kick off 7:30 pm et (Steam Action)

*This package includes 1 NCAA-F Spread pick

ALL SPORTS SUBSCRIPTIONS
1 day All Sports subscription of Alex Smart

With this subscription you get EVERY SINGLE PLAY released for the day of your purchase.  

No picks available.

3 days All Sports subscription ( Alex Smart Sports)

With this subscription you'll get every single play released for 3 consecutive days! This is our most popular subscription during football season because when purchased Saturday morning it gets you all of Saturday and Sunday's picks PLUS any plays on Monday Night Football!  

No picks available.

7 days All Sports subscription(Alex Smart)

Looking for some great value? Pick up a weekly package and get SEVEN DAYS full days of picks! It's easy to see why this is one of the most popular choices on the site.  

*This subscription includes 1 NCAA-F pick

30 days All Sports subscription(Alex Smart)

SAVE A TON of money with a 30 Day subscription! You'll literally pay a fraction of the cost by signing up for a full month instead of making a single purchase each day!  

*This subscription includes 1 NCAA-F pick

NCAA-F SUBSCRIPTIONS
College Football Subscription 2018
**3x Top 10 CFB handicapper!**

Now on a 105-92 run with my last 203 CFB picks! $1,000/game players have cashed in $16,310 on my CFB picks since 09/02/17 and $48,750 on my CFB picks since 09/13/14!

This subscription includes EVERY CFB PREMIUM PICK I release through the end of the NCAA Tournament! Join now and start cashing in on more winners!

*This subscription includes 1 NCAA-F pick

MLB SUBSCRIPTIONS
2019 MLB Season Subscription
#12 ranked MLB handicapper this season!

Now on a 191-169 run with my last 385 MLB picks! $1,000/game players have cashed in $48,550 on my MLB picks since 05/06/18!

This subscription includes EVERY MLB PREMIUM PICK I release through the end of the World Series! Join now and start cashing in on more winners!

No picks available.

FOOTBALL [NFL+NCAAF] SUBSCRIPTIONS
NFL & CFB Season Pass (Early Bird Special)
Now on a 159-128 run with my last 298 Football picks! $1,000/game players have cashed in $22,160 on my Football picks since 09/02/17 and $38,080 on my Football picks since 10/22/16!

This subscription includes EVERY CFB & NFL PREMIUM PICK I release through the Super Bowl! Join now and start cashing in on more winners!

*This subscription includes 1 NCAA-F pick

NFL SUBSCRIPTIONS
FULL Season NFL Subscription 2019
#14 ranked NFL handicapper this season!

$1,000/game players have cashed in $17,270 on my NFL picks since 12/02/18!

This subscription includes EVERY NFL PREMIUM PICK I release through the Super Bowl! Join now and start cashing in on more winners!

No picks available.

YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Aug 17, 2019
Giants vs Diamondbacks
Diamondbacks
-116 at GTBets
Lost
$116.0
Play Type: Premium

The Giants will start a rookie hurler (L.Webb) in his first ever outing in the big leagues. Im betting despite of his top tier designation as a prospect ,that being here in a unfriendly environment on the road will not serve him well in his debut.

Giants are 16-36 in their last 52 during game 3 of a series.Giants are 3-7 in their last 10 games following a win.

The Giants are 0-10 on the ML when their opponent is seeking immediate revenge for a loss as a home chalk in which they held the lead.( The DBacks lost 10-9 last night)

ARIZONA is 26-11 against the money line revenging 2 straight home losses vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the ML

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Aug 17, 2019
Cardinals vs Reds
Reds
+108 at 1BetVegas
Won
$108
Play Type: Premium

Miles Mikolas (7-12, 4.13 ERA, 101 SO)After a consistent start to the second half, Mikolas regressed on Sunday against the Pirates, allowing five runs on seven hits in five innings. He struggled with command which is not a good omen as he exasperates fthe same problems he exhibited earlier this season. I know the Cards are playing well, and the pitching staff has looked strong, but ST LOUIS is just 1-13 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season. 

Cardinals are 0-6 in Mikolas' last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

The Cards crushed the Reds yesterday, 13-4, but in the past that kind of output has not been kind in their followup game, as they have gone  10-20 against the money line after scoring 9 runs or more over the last 2 seasons while scoring an average of just 3.5 rpg over that 30 game sample size. Meanwhile, CINCINNATI is 11-3 against the money line after allowing 8 runs or more this season with margin out put of 5.0 to 2.9. 

ST LOUIS is 7-18 against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL) this season. 

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ST LOUIS) - off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 8-34 L/22 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the ML

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Aug 17, 2019
Mariners vs Blue Jays
Mariners
+150 at YouWager
Won
$150
Play Type: Premium

Jays starter Trent Thornton (4-8, 5.34 ERA, 110 SO) is coming off one of his best starts of the season, where he held the Yankees to just one run on three hits over six innings while striking out six. Thornton's biggest problem in 2019, though, has been consistency between starts. Note: The Blue Jays are 0-7 on the ML with Trent Thornton when he went six-plus innings in his last start. Meanwhile,Reggie McClain (0-0, 4.50 ERA, 5 SO)The 26-year-old rookie has risen from Class A ball to the big leagues this season and now gets his first MLB start, as the Mariners will go with a bullpen game. McClain is a converted starter who has pitched 3 games in relief since being called up and according to scouts deserves a mlb start. 

Blue Jays are 3-9 in Thorntons last 12 starts on astroturf.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SEATTLE) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 91-47 L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the ML

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Aug 17, 2019
Brewers vs Nationals
Nationals
-125 at betonline
Lost
$125.0
Play Type: Premium

Nationals starter Anibal Sanchez (7-6, 3.75 ERA, 99 SO) is on a run mirroring the roll he went on in 2018 to help lead the Braves to a division title. Sanchez has won his last seven decisions and has a 2.93 ERA over his last 14 starts. Im betting he buoys a Nats team that has won 5 straight and 7 of their L/8 overall to another win vs Brewers here in this spot. I know his pitching opponent from the Brewers Lyles has pitched well since his trade from the Pirates , but prior to that trade , he registered a nasty 9.57 ERA in his final nine starts and could easily get nailed her vs a side that matches up well against him according to my power rankings.

Nationals are 10-4 in Sanchezs last 14 starts.

rewers are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.

Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the ML

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Aug 17, 2019
Twins vs Rangers
Rangers
+145 at 1BetVegas
Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Premium

Twins starter Berrios (10-6, 3.29 ERA) is 2-1 with a 5.63 ERA in three career starts against Texas. He lost his only start at Globe Life Park last season when he allowed five runs on three hits, all of them home runs, in four innings of a 7-4 loss and is fade material here in this spot according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. Note: BERRIOS is 1-9 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BERRIOS is 3-10  against the money line against AL West opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

TEXAS is 11-6 against the money line as a home underdog of +125 or more this season. 

MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (TEXAS) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.500 to 1.600 on the season-AL are 34-23 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the ML

Matchup Selection W/L
CFL  |  Aug 17, 2019
Montreal vs Calgary
Montreal
+6 -110 at Mirage
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

  Montreal after 3 straight victories  is off two hard fought losses one in OT, and one that was only played into the third quarter before being cancelled because of a vicious storm. Two unfortunate events that will have them hungry to compete here tonight, in Calgary. With Calgary off a heart breaking loss to Winnipeg last week 26-24, in a gruelling affair I wont be surprised if the Stamps suffer a let down scenario, and come out here on the slow side, and fail to cover this spread.

MONTREAL is 6-0 ATS  in road games versus excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better over the last 2 seasons. MONTREAL is 9-2 ATS after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.

CFL Road teams vs. the money line (MONTREAL) - after beating the spread by 35 or more points total in their last five games, after the first month of the season are 21-9 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate with a 5 point per game margin differential. 

Play on the Montreal Als to cover 

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
WNBA  |  Aug 18, 2019
Wings vs Sun
Wings
+11 -110 at Mirage
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

 Rookie  star Arike Ogunbowale  leads a up trending Dallas Wings side that is on a 3 game win streak into Connecticut to play the Suns . Ogunbowale leads all rookies in scoring at 16.3 points per game, which is also good for seventh in the league and is getting more confident an over powering with each game out and is a game changer.

Meanwhile, Connecticut rallied from seven down in the final 1:47 to extend its home winning streak to six games Friday night , and exerted alot of energy in that contest , after a gruelling 4 game road trip prior to that. Now against a team they maybe over looking a natural letdown spot looks to be on the agenda making them fade material vs this type of number. I know the Sun  have won 19 of their last 20 home games dating back to last year, and I doubt they lose today ,but Im betting covering will be more difficult than some might think. 

CONNECTICUT is 1-9 ATS  after a combined score of 155 points or more this season. CONNECTICUT is 37-57 ATS  as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points since 1997.

CONNECTICUT is 2-9 ATS  vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 80% or better  of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.CONNECTICUT is 2-12 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on the Dallas Wings to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Aug 18, 2019
Twins vs Rangers
Rangers
-128 at Bovada
Lost
$128.0
Play Type: Premium

Lynn the Rangers starting hurler today vs the Twins has allowed only one earned run and four hits in each of his last four starts while recording  32 strikeouts in 25 innings of top tier work. Lynn, has been his best at home this season recording a  9-1 record along  with a 3.94 ERA in 12 starts and gets my support here today to salvage a win in this series vs the hot hitting Twins.

TEXAS is 12-5 against the money line in home games in day games this season.

The Rangers are 8-0 on the ML in the last game of a series as a home favorite after they hit at least one home run.  

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MINNESOTA) - hot hitting team - batting .333 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are 8-41 L/5 seasosn for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the ML

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Aug 18, 2019
Giants vs Diamondbacks
Diamondbacks
-102 at BMaker
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

There is a divergence in the way both these starting pitchers have done of late as  Bumgarner is 5-0 during a 10 game run where the Giants have won 9 of those games, and on the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, that shows Kelly's team has lost 8 of his 10 starts. However, despite of the recency bias, the line on this tilt has been moving overnight, towards the Dbacks. My power ranking pitcher vs batting order is flashing value here with the home team despite of the recent divergent path both hurlers have forged for themselves. Kelly is 1-1 with a 2.76 ERA in three starts against San Francisco and gets my support to his team in this tilt and to help us get the ML win. 

Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

BUMGARNER is 1-9 against the money line as a opening line road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Giants are 10-21 in Bumgarners last 31 road starts.

SAN FRANCISCO is 14-24 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons.

MLB opening line Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 on the season (NL), with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 33-13 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Arizona on the ML

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Aug 18, 2019
Dodgers vs Braves
Dodgers
+115 at pinnacle
Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Premium

 Dodgers starter Tony Gonsolin will be recalled to make the start against the Braves and Max Fried. Although Gonsolin will start, fellow rookie Dustin May is scheduled to make his relief debut, but could also start. Both are trying out for a postseason role and will be primed to compete here for a future roster job. Meanwhile, Atlanta's starter Fried has struggled against the Dodgers. In an earlier start in Los Angeles this season, he was knocked out after one inning, giving up four runs on four hits and one walk. In two career starts against the Dodgers, Fried is 0-2 with a 7.50 ERA.

Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Dodgers are 39-14 in their last 53 Sunday games.Dodgers are 39-15 in their last 54 vs. a team with a winning record.Dodgers are 5-2 in their last 7 road games.Dodgers are 51-21 in their last 72 during game 3 of a series.Dodgers are 40-17 in their last 57 vs. National League East.Dodgers are 42-18 in their last 60 games following a loss.Dodgers are 15-7 in their last 22 games vs. a left-handed starter.Dodgers are 73-34 in their last 107 games on grass.Dodgers are 74-35 in their last 109 overall.Dodgers are 29-14 in their last 43 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Braves are 6-13 in their last 19 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Dodgers are 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Atlanta.Dodgers are 35-16 in the last 51 meetings.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the ML

Matchup Selection W/L
NFLX  |  Aug 18, 2019
Seahawks vs Vikings
Seahawks
+3 -110 at YouWager
Play Type: Premium

This will be the 3rd straight season, these teams Minnesota and Seattle have faced each other.The Vikings barely edged out a 21-20 victory in their last pre-season encounter; and Im betting on another closely contested affair here in this NFLX tilt. Looking at the Seahawks, I like the way they have stacked this team with top tier athletes, with tremendous size especially on offence focusing a strong looking WR core ,  where I believe they will be improved. This will buoy QB Wilsons ability in the run heavy option and continue to make him a dangerous weapon. Im expecting big things from the Seahawks in the regular season, and a few flashes of brilliance here today in preseason action, making them my choice to cover this number and stay competitive on the road . 

SEATTLE is 33-17 ATS in road lined games since 1993 and  is 32-16 ATS  as an underdog since 1993. 

 

NFLX Favorites (MINNESOTA) - after scoring 30 points or more last game against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 4-21 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Seattle Seahawks to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Aug 18, 2019
Indians vs Yankees
Indians
-127 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Cleveland Indians starter Mike Clevinger,  has been in top form since July 1 as is evident by a  perfect 6-0 record along  with a stingy  2.39 ERA  in 8 quality starts. He goes against a banged up Yankees team, that despite of some clutch hitting looks to be in a regression phase.

Indians are 4-0 in Clevingers last 4 road starts. 

Meanwhile, the Yankees will go with veteran  CC Sabathia who was  0-2 in July along with a bloated 7.17 ERA in four starts and is now coming of the IL and could easily show some rust. With the added pop in the Tribes batting lineup ie Yasiel Puig and Franmil Reyes and a packed righty batting order, Sabathia looks like cannon fodder. 

Indians are 37-17 in their last 54 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the ML

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 20 years.  I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.  

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigous event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.  In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!  

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.