Art Aronson

8* JETS (SPREAD-BEATER)

The Bengals made it all the way to the Super Bowl last year, but they're now 0-2 SU/ATS this season. The Jets are 1-1 SU/ATS, and coming off an epic 31-30 road win over the Browns. I think that Bengals' QB Joe Burrow is likely the best player on the field of play today, but I don't think his team is. Especially such a big favorite on the road. I think this line should be more like -2.5. Giving this one the good old "eye test" here in Week 3. I actually think an outright victory is VERY possible, but in the end, let's grab the points; the play is the Jets!

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8* VIKINGS (BLOOD-BATH)

The Lions have been "sexy" underdogs so far over the first two weeks, but I think some regression will be in order here against this now desperate Vikings team that's looking to bounce back from a poor 24-7 effort in Philadelphia last weekend. Previous to that though Minnesota looked dominating in its 23-7 home win over the Packers. So which Vikings team can we expect here? I say the same one that we saw in Week 1. Detroit came up just short in its Week 1 38-35 home setback to Philly, but then it bounced back with the 36-37 home win over Washington in Week 2. Now hitting the road for the first time, I'm predicting a step back for the Lions this week. Look for the hungry Vikings to pull away for the comfortable win and cover; lay the points!

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8* DOLPHINS (SPECIAL)

I think an outright win could be in the cards here. That said, in the end I'm going to grab the points. Both teams are 2-0, and each has looked impressive. This is now the start of a really tough stretch for the Bills, with a game at Baltimore next week, followed by Pittsburgh, at Kansas City and Green Bay. Miami has a quick turn around to play on Thursday night, but a date vs. the 0-2 Bengals now isn't quite as important. Miami plays with revenge here after a 26-11 to the Bills last Halloween. Miami has the offense to easily keep pace, and I believe its defense rebounds from last week's shaky performance. As I said off the top, the outright is possible, but the official call here will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is the Dolphins!

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8* COLTS (SUPER BLOWOUT)

With their backs against the wall, the Indianapolis Colts will fight tooth and nail here to try and avoid the dreaded 0-3 hole. I wonder if Russell Wilson and Matt Ryan are glad they left their former teams for "greener pastures?" It's been a grind for both, but arguably much more so for Ryan and the 0-1-1 Colts (note that only 2.5% of teams that start 0-3 ever even make it to the playoffs.) The one thing going for the Colts this season? They're in a downright terrible division, with Tennessee 0-2, Houston with the identical 0-1-1 record and Jacksonville leading the way at 1-1-0. Kansas City has a HIGH PROFILE date at Tampa Bay next week, and I believe it'll get caught "looking ahead." I expect Ryan the Colts to dig deep here and, at the very least, keep this one tight enough to earn the comfortable cover; the play is Indy

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10* BRONCOS (NON-CONF GOY)

The 49ers looked out of sorts in Week 1 in their 19-10 setback to the Bears. That was a difficult game, as the field was under a few inches of water. San Francisco looked better at home against Seattle though, as I had the 49ers as my NFC West Game Of The Year in their 27-7 victory. Trey Lance got injured and Jimmy Garropolo threw for 154 yards and TD. The defense looked OK, but it's still really hard to get a read on the unit. The Bears game was a "weird" one because of all the rain, and Seattle is just a poor team. The Hawks did beat the Broncos in Week 1, but Denver bounced back with a less than convincing 16-9 loss at home here over Houston. The oddsmakers have been WAY off setting their lines for the Broncos so far this year. Anyone that thought Russell Wilson could throw a switch and have instant chemistry with his offense is pretty ridiculous in my estimation. That said, after three games under his belt, and his first win, Wilson will be feeling much more comfortable. And now I think the books have once again mismanaged this line for the Broncos in Week 3. San Francisco is getting much too much respect here in my estimation. Garopolo has plenty of experience, but this will be his first start of the season. And it comes on the road in a difficult venue against a team dying for a break out performance. This is the stage that Wilson has been waiting for, and I'm expecting him to deliver; the play is the Broncos!

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10* GIANTS MONEYLINE FIRST HALF.

Dallas is 1-1 SU/ATS and the Giants are 2-0 SU/ATS. Clearly, this is an important early season divisional matchup here, as the winner will be trying to catch the 3-0 Eagles. Without Dak Prescott for a second straight game though, and now on the road, I think that Cooper Rush will struggle. Ezekiel Elliot only had 53 yards rushing in the win over the toothless Bengals last week. Overall Dallas is averaging just 11.5 PPG, while allowing 18.5. Daniel Jones and the Giants are averaging 20 PPG, and allowing 18. Jones has benefited from the lay of RB Saquon Barkley, who had 72 yards rushing last week. Yes, the Dallas defense has looked good so far, but that was at home. This Giants team is confident and I expect Jones and company to have something up their sleeves in the FIRST HALF (Giants First Half).

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