Ross Benjamin

Rams @ Bears 8:20 PM ET

Game# 119-120

Play On: Bears +3.0 (5*)

As good as the 11-1 Rams have been this season, they’re just 2-5-1 ATS in their previous 8 games. The Bears are 5-1 SU&ATS at home this season with their only defeat coming against New England. Furthermore, the Bears have forced 30 turnovers on their way to an 8-4 record. That serves well for a prerequisite to home underdog value. Bet on the Bears plus the points for a 5* wager.

Bengals @ Chargers 4:05 PM ET

Game# 125-126

Play On: Under 48.5 (5*)

Cincinnati enters this contest with a 5-7 (.416) record. The maligned Bengals defense will be facing a Chargers offense that averages gaining 399.4 yards per game. Under the tutelage of current head coach Marvin Lewis, Cincinnati is 10-1 under the total after game 8 of their season when facing an offense that averages 375 yards or more per game.

The LA Chargers are coming off SU&ATS wins in each of their previous 2 games over Pittsburgh and Arizona. The Chargers defense has allowed 19 points or fewer in 5 of its last 7 outing, and that includes 10 or less when facing a team with a losing record. The Chargers are 5-0 under (33.6 PPG) the total in their previous 5 games following SU&ATS wins in each of their previous 2 contests. Since 2014, the Chargers are 13-3 under the total during the final 4 weeks of the regular season which includes 9-0 under (39.8 PPG) if there was a total of 44.5 or more.

Any regular season home team (Chargers) playing after game 7 with a total of 44.5 to 49.0 who’s win percentage is .750 or better and is facing an opponent (Bengals) that has a win percentage of .833 or worse, resulted in those games going 16-0 under the total since 1992. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager.

Giants @ Redskins 1:00 PM ET

Game# 121-122

Play On: Giants -3.0 (5*)

The Giants are coming off last Sunday’s 30-27 overtime win over Chicago. The Redskins are coming off road losses in each of their last 2 games at Philadelphia and Dallas. The Redskins are down to their 3rd string quarterback Mark Sanchez who’s been with the team for less than 3 weeks.

Any NFL road favorite of 3.5 to 10.0-points that’s coming off a home game in which each team scored 24 points or more, versus an opponent (Redskins) that lost their last 2 games with both taking place on the road, resulted in those road favorites going 13-0 ATS since 2008. Those road favorites won by a decisive average of 17.7 points per game. Bet on the Giants minus the points for a 5* wager.

Falcons @ Packers 1:00 PM ET

Game# 111-112

Play On: Green Bay -4.5 (5*)

Green Bay is coming off a shocking 20-17 loss to Arizona last Sunday in a game they were an enormous 13.5-point home favorite. That defeat was a final straw for long time head coach Mike McCarthy who was fired less than 24 hours later. Green Bay will be out to revenge last season’s 34-23 loss at Atlanta. The Packers are an extremely profitable 15-2 ATS since 2010 as a home favorite of 10.0 or less while playing with revenge. Atlanta is a dismal 1-4 SU&ATS during away games this season.

Any home favorite of 8.0-points or less that’s playing after game 6 of their season and is coming off a home favorite of 9.5 or greater straight up loss, resulted in those home favorites going 17-2 ATS (89.5%) since 1983. Bet on the Packers minus the points for a 5* wager.

Panthers @ Browns 1:00 PM ET

Game# 109-110

Play On: Under 48.0 (5*)

Cleveland has played its last 2 games on the road against Cincinnati and Houston. The last of which resulted in a 29-13 loss to the Texans. Carolina began the season 6-2 but has since lost 4 straight games and now find themselves at 6-6.

Any NFL home team (Browns) that’s playing in the final 4 weeks of the regular season which is coming off away games in each of their previous 2 contests, and there’s a total of 41.0 to 48.5, resulted in those games going 46-12 (79.3%) under the total since 2014. If those homes team allowed 28 points or more in their previous game, and if they were facing an opponent (Panthers) that possess a win percentage of .833 or worse, this exact betting angle improves to a perfect 20-0 under the total during that precise time frame.

Patriots @ Dolphins 1:00 PM ET

Game# 117-118

Play On: Dolphins +9.0 (10*)

You may be very surprised to know that Miami is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against New England, and that includes winning 4 of the last 5 meetings straight up. Miami has been awful on the road this season but has fared extremely well at home. Miami is 5-1 SU&ATS at Hard Rock Stadium in 2018. Conversely, New England is a perfect 6-0 at home but a beatable 3-3 on the road. Bet on Miami for a 10* Top Play wager.