Stephen Nover Stephen Nover

I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst.

Stephen Nover's Timberwolves-Thunder Saturday Big Ticket

Stephen Nover has won 61 percent of his last 31 NBA sides plays during the postseason going 19-12. After passing on Friday's game, Stephen is back in action with a strong play on today's Thunder-Timberwolves Game 3. After studying the matchup, statistics and situation, Stephen has come to a firm conclusion about this point spread. Don't make a move on this game until you have Stephen's information knowing the odds will be in your favor!

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I went 67-39 (63 percent) in college football in 2022 as verified by Vegas Insider by combining many handicapping factors such as matchup analysis, statistics, history, weather and situational elements. Information is the key. I'm fortunate that I have many sources to rely on. Many stem from having been a sportswriter/sports editor for daily newspapers in the Midwest, South and West for more than 20 years and having been the sports gaming writer for the Las Vegas Review-Journal for 13 years while also having covered the UNLV football team as the team beat writer for several years. I have the knowledge, experience and resources necessary to win.

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 23, 2025
Marlins vs Angels
UNDER 8½ -115 Lost
$115.0
Play Type: Premium
The Marlins are a bottom-10 offensive team that is particularly bad against lefties. They'll be up against southpaw Yusei Kikuchi, who has put together four quality starts in a row. Kikuchi has not allowed more than two earned runs in each of his past four starts. The Marlins are batting only .150 versus lefty pitchers going back the past 30 days. Sandy Alcantara is pitching for the Marlins. He's been dreadful with a 7.99 ERA and 1.61 WHIP. Look, Alcantara isn't going to suddenly turn back into his pre-injury Cy Young Award form. But he's pitched in bad luck and is due for some positive regression.   The Angels just produced 31 runs the past four days against the A's at hitter-friendly Sutter Park in Sacramento. However, the Angels aren't nearly that dangerous when hitting at home. They are just 27th in batting average at home with a .217 average. The Angels also are last in on-base percentage when playing at home. 
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 23, 2025
Guardians vs Tigers
Tigers
-115 at betonline
Lost
$115.0
Play Type: Premium
Riding a 7-2 hot streak going into Thursday, the Tigers were ambushed by the Guardians, 7-0, in their first home game since May 14. I'm expecting a strong Detroit bounce back today. The Tigers are 12-6 following a loss and have won 17 of their 23 home games. The Guardians have a below .500 road record. Detroit has the superior offense and holds a starting pitching edge with Jackson Jobe facing Slade Cecconi, who has a 5.40 ERA. Detroit is 8-0 in Jobe's starts this season. Jobe was ranked by many as the top minor league pitching prospect last season.  The underrated Tigers offense is fourth in runs, sixth in batting average and eighth in homers. The Guardians, by contrast, rank 23rd in runs and batting average.  The Tigers' bullpen even has a lower ERA than Cleveland's relief staff, which is down this season compared to past years. The Tigers have a bullpen ERA of 3.32. The Guardians' bullpen ERA is 4.02. 
Matchup Selection W/L
WNBA  |  May 23, 2025
Mystics vs Aces
OVER 166 -110 Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Top Premium
Washington's new coach, Sydney Johnson, favors an up-tempo style. That fast pace showed up in the Mystics' first two games where they averaged 92 points in going 2-0. But the Mystics lost their last game this past Wednesday getting upset on the road by the expansion Valkyries, 76-74. Despite that defeat, the Mystics still rank No. 2 in 3-point percentage, No. 3 in field goal percentage and fourth in scoring. Point guard Brittney Sykes, one of the more underrated players in the WNBA, is thriving under Johnson's system averaging a career-best 26.3 points, five assists and shooting 42.3 percent from the floor. I'm not sold on the Aces' defense. It wasn't up to coach Becky Hammon's high standards last year. The Aces then surrendered 92 points to the Liberty in their opener this season. Las Vegas evened its record at 1-1 by rolling past the Sun, 87-62, this past Tuesday. Keep in mind, though, the Sun is in total rebuild. They may be the worst team in the league.  So I'm expecting a high-scoring game as both teams like to push pace. This is the Aces' first home game. They'll want to put on a show. The Mystics gave up 11 offensive rebounds to Golden State. That doesn't bode well for them trying to contain A'Ja Wilson, who led the WNBA in scoring by a wide margin last year at 26.9 points. Chelsea Gray is more healthy than she was last season and high-scoring Jewell Loyd has had two games to adjust to her new team. 
PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 24, 2025
Rangers vs White Sox
White Sox
+160 at Ace
Play Type: Premium

The White Sox upset the Rangers on Friday and I like them to do it again on Saturday in a pitching matchup of righties, rookie Jack Leiter versus Jonathan Cannon.

Texas could be the most disappointing offensive team in the American League. The Rangers have been especially bad against righties ranking 28th in on-base percentage, 27th in OPS and 26th both in batting average and slugging percentage.

Cannon has been excellent in three home starts this season with a 1.17 ERA.

The White Sox's offense is nothing to brag about either, but Leiter has pitched poorly in three of his last four starts giving up 14 earned runs in 22 2/3 innings during this span.

Matchup Selection W/L
WNBA  |  May 24, 2025
Liberty vs Fever
UNDER 172½ -110 Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Top Premium

Typical of the WNBA that its biggest game of the season - the defending champion Liberty against Caitlin Clark and the upstart Fever - would be played as an early Saturday day game. But that's the WNBA for you.

Anyways, this sets up as a solid Under play.

There's going to be a playoff-type atmosphere in Indiana for this one. That means increased defensive intensity. The early Saturday start is another plus for the Under.

New York is giving up 76 points a game. The Liberty rank first in the WNBA in defensive field goal percentage. They are not going to let Clark embarrass them.

Indiana is stepping way up in defensive class after having its first three games come against weak defensive teams Chicago and Atlanta (twice). The Fever should be paying more attention to defense under new coach Stephanie White, who is a huge upgrade from Christie Sides. White coached Connecticut last season and the Sun were the No.1 ranked defense.

SERVICE BIO

Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 21 of 23 winning seasons.