Stephen Nover Stephen Nover
I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst.
Stephen Nover's Small Conference, Big Casher - 8-1 CBB Hot Streak

There is nothing more difficult for oddsmakers to set than small conference basketball matchups especially totals. The oddsmaker doesn't have time to study these games in depth so a generic number is quickly reached based on season-long numbers. College basketball guru Stephen Nover has the time, resources and sources to exploit mispriced lines such as this total. So stack the odds in your favor by taking advantage of his expertise, elite information and sizzling hand - 8-1 on his last nine CBB plays - to cash this winner! 

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Stephen Nover's CBB Friday Spread Destroyer - 89% CBB Hot Streak!

Blazing Stephen Nover is one of the hottest college basketball handicappers this month going 8-1 the past three days on his CBB plays for 89 percent! Join Stephen in that winning zone with his Friday Spread Destroyer as he exploits another mispriced number based on in-depth research and false perceptions. 

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Mar 04, 2021
Jets vs Canadiens
OVER 5½ -111 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

I think anything less than six goals is too short of a total for this matchup. 

 The Jets rank sixth in the NHL in scoring, while Montreal is the eighth-highest scoring team in the league. The teams met twice during the last week of February and the Jets averaged four goals per game in the two games.  The Over has cashed in nine of the last 13 meetings between the two clubs.
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Mar 04, 2021
Wyoming vs Utah State
Wyoming
+16½ -109 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium
Utah State hasn't been consistent enough to lay this large of a number. The Aggies are 4-4 SU, 3-5 ATS in their last eight games.  The Cowboys are at their best in this role covering 14 of the past 18 times as a road 'dog.  Wyoming has one of the better backcourt tandems in the Mountain West with Marcus Williams and Hunter Maldonado. The Cowboys also have been playing better defense holding their last three foes to an average of 68.6 points. 
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Mar 04, 2021
Oklahoma State vs Baylor
Oklahoma State
+12 -109 at Draft Kings
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

Oklahoma State is playing extremely well winning five in a row, including three straight versus ranked opponents during this span. 

 The Cowboys shouldn't be nearly this high of a road 'dog against Baylor. The Bears could be in for a letdown after capturing their first conference title in 71 years.  The Bears are still rounding into shape following a three-week February shutdown caused by COVID-19. This is just the Bears' fourth game since Feb. 2.  
  
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Mar 04, 2021
Thunder vs Spurs
Thunder
+7 -108 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

It's tough to do after last night's game. I know so well. I had the Thunder plus eight points against the Mavericks on Wednesday attacking the overnight line in the hopes Luka Doncic would be held out.

 As it turned out this is what I had going in Wednesday's Thunder-Mavericks game: Maximum line value - checkmark. Dallas closed a 5-point favorite. Doncic out - checkmark. He didn't play.  Mavericks greatly missing Doncic - checkmark. The Thunder held Dallas to 87 points, which easily was the Mavericks' lowest-scoring game of the season.  Thunder getting the cover and the money - No checkmark. Oklahoma City lost to Dallas, 87-78. Words can't adequately express how pissed I was with that result.  I bring this up not to vent, although it feels good to unleash this pent-up anger. But to point out in the NBA you can't hold grudges. If the value is there you must get back in the saddle and I see value coming right back with Oklahoma City in this matchup.  Yes, the Thunder did play last night. Prior to their game against the Mavericks, though, the Thunder hadn't played since last Saturday. It's San Antonio who has the bigger fatigue issue. This is the Spurs' third game in four days and fourth in six days. The Spurs are playing through a short rotation, too, due to illness. Rudy and Derrick White are out. LaMarcus Aldrdige has been logging short minutes and is questionable for this game. Despite the frustrating non-cover against the Mavericks, the Thunder still have covered 28 of their last 40 road contests for 70 percent. The Spurs are 10-25 (28 percent) ATS the last 35 times as home chalk.
Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Mar 04, 2021
Red Wings vs Hurricanes
Red Wings
+1½ +102 at pinnacle
Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Premium
OK, at even money plus 1 1/2 goals I can get involved with the Red Wings given this anti-Carolina situational spot.  The Hurricanes just concluded a five-game road trip this past Tuesday night. They are riding a three-game win streak. This is their first home game since Feb. 22. It's easy for the Hurricanes to suffer a concentration lapse and letdown with the Red Wings as their opponent.  Carolina also is carrying a high fatigue rating. The Hurricanes will be playing their sixth game in nine days.  The teams split two games in Detroit to open the season in January.  Most of this handicap is a fade on Carolina, but the Red Wings would be 8-5 in their last 13 games if getting 1 1/2 goals, while the Hurricanes would be 1-4 in their last five games if laying 1 1/2 goals. 
Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Mar 04, 2021
Senators vs Flames
Flames
-1½ +130 at Draft Kings
Won
$130
Play Type: Premium
Calgary has been idle since returning home from three games at Ottawa. The Flames went 1-2 in those games with the last occurring in a 5-1 loss this past Monday.  I want the rested Flames going for me in this revenge spot especially now they're getting back forward Derek Ryan and starting goalie Jacob Markstrom. The latest loss to Ottawa put Flames coach Geoff Ward's job in jeopardy. So I believe the Flames are primed for a big effort.  This will be the Senators' third game in four days. They are 0-6 the past six times in this type of situation. They also have lost 10 of the past 13 times in Calgary. Ottawa has been a terrible road team losing 51 of their last 65 away contests. 
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Mar 04, 2021
San Diego vs San Francisco
UNDER 143½ -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium
A combination of frequent COVID-19 pauses that caused them to miss 14 games plus key players quitting have taken a large toll on the Toreos this season. San Diego enters the West Coast Conference Tournament in Las Vegas 1-4 in its last five games. San Diego ranks 267th in scoring at 67.4 points a game, 263rd in shooting percentage and 268th in 3-point shooting.  So the Toreos should do their part to make this Under work. So should San Francisco.  The Dons have lost six in a row averaging 66.1 points during this span. San Francisco has made only 21.2 percent of its 3-point shots during this time frame.  The teams met back on New Year's Eve in San Francisco and the Dons won, 70-62, for a total of 132 points. 
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Mar 04, 2021
Stetson vs Bellarmine
UNDER 144 -113 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium
Bellarmine heads into the Atlantic Sun Conference Tournament having played just once since Feb. 13. The Knights have been held to 64 or fewer points in four of their last five games.  Stetson has been involved in some high scoring games. But Bellarmine gives up fewer than 65 points a game and plays at a slow tempo.  The teams met twice during the regular season. Bellarmine won both meetings with the combined scores finishing at 129 and 141 points, respectively. 
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Mar 04, 2021
Illinois State vs Northern Iowa
UNDER 142 -111 Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium
The Missouri Valley Conference always has been a defensive-minded conference populated by good coaches. So I think Under first when looking at Missouri Valley Conference matchups especially during tournament time when the games are held at Enterprise Center in St. Louis. This venue is notorious for being tough to score in as a neutral site with the Under cashing better than 65 percent on opening numbers during the last 10 years.  The season is finished for the loser of this game. So the intensity level should be at full throttle. Illinois State and Northern Iowa are well acquainted having just played two games against each other to close out its regular seasons. Northern Iowa won 70-56 for a total of 126 points two games ago. The Panthers then beat Illinois State again, 94-87, in overtime. Note, though, the score was 70-70 during regulation.  Illinois State hasn't broken 67 points in seven of its last 11 games. Northern Iowa hasn't gone above 70 points in regulation during eight of its last nine games.  
PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Mar 05, 2021
Northern Iowa vs Drake
UNDER 140 -110
Play Type: Premium

Northern Iowa catches a break that Drake is minus leading scorer ShanQuan Hemphill and its No. 3 scorer and top assists man, Roman Penn. Both are injured. The Panthers have been playing strong defense holding their past five foes to an average of 64.6 points in regulation. 

 Drake ranks 37th in the nation defensively holding foes to 64.1 points. Northern Iowa ranks 220th in scoring averaging fewer than 70 points a game.  Both teams won't be helped scoring-wise by the venue, Enterprise Center in St. Louis, which has one of the toughest shooting backdrops in the country.
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Mar 05, 2021
Boston College vs Miami-FL
UNDER 148 -107
Play Type: Premium
I can understand where the oddsmaker is coming from when he made this total. Boston College beat Miami, 84-62, at home on Jan. 12. So 146 points were scored in that game. The Eagles, though, went crazy in that matchup sinking 18 of 35 shots from beyond the arc for 51.4 percent 3-point shooting.  Boston College's season 3-point shooting percentage is 33.7. Since that game, the Eagles are averaging 66.2 points in their last five games if you discount their matchup against Notre Dame two games ago. The Eagles rank 263rd in field goal shooting. Miami is averaging 64.2 points in its last five games. The Hurricanes are a well below average offensive team. They rank 307th out of 340 Division I teams in scoring, 284th in field goal percentage and 329th in 3-point percentage. 
SERVICE BIO

Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 21 of 23 winning seasons.