Matt Fargo

This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Dominator. The Giants have not been able to solve the Dallas Cowboys as they are 2-16 over the last 18 meetings so it comes as no surprise that they open the season as home underdogs. While we do not think they are going to take the league by storm, we do like the direction they are going as last season was a disappointing 4-13 result but there were good signs as long as they can stay healthy, namely Jaxson Dart. Last season, three of their four wins were by 17 points or more while seven losses were by one possession so things should have been better. Then there is Jim Harbaugh who is ready to change this culture. Dallas is again getting props to make a run at the NFC East as it finished with one of the best offenses in the NFL but the defense was atrocious. The Cowboys made numerous changes on that side of the ball but it could take time to come together. 10* (480) New York Giants

This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Div. Game of the Month. This is another instance where we are fading a bad defense and an overvalued public team. The Packers snuck into the playoffs last season but were one and done after losing their final four regular season games and now they start the season with a lack of a running game with the absence of Josh Jacobs. Defensively they will be without Micah Parsons for at least four games and that will be felt as they face a new quarterback for the Vikings in Kyler Murray and what better way for a career resurrection than to be taught by Kevin O’Connell, just go back a couple years and look no further than Sam Darnold. The Vikings have the better defense and the goal is to get pressure on Jordan Love without needing to blitz and they should accomplish that. This number did a flip but there is still value as in this type of divisional game, the number should be three. 10* (478) Minnesota Vikings

This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFL Signature Enforcer. Chicago had one of its best seasons in recent memory as they won 11 games and took the NFC North for the first time since 2018. The Bears were very fortunate as they led the league in turnover differential at +22 with Houston second at +17 so it was a significant part of their success. Additionally, seven of those 11 wins were by one possession and by an average of 3.1 ppg while also winning a playoff game by four points as well. Also, seven wins came when trailing under two minutes. We expect regression especially with a defense that is not good and already dealing with injuries. The last time we saw Carolina, it nearly pulled off a stunner against the Rams in the playoffs and the Panthers open the season as home underdogs, a role they have succeeded in as they are 10-4 ATS since the start of the 2024 season. Another great value play. 10* (466) Carolina Panthers

This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Contrarian Crusher. We have seen this line move a point since opening and it is now over the key number of three. We are high on Cincinnati this season as we bet its team total over 10.5 with the main reasons being that they will be facing the easiest schedule along with going up against the easiest projected offenses in total. This is not one of those situations as Tampa Bay is one of the few quality opponents even though it finished on a 2-7 run last season and the contrarian aspect of that includes the Buccaneers finishing last season going 0-9 ATS in their last nine games. The Bengals fell short as well because Joe Burrow again missed a ton of time and they had one of the worst defenses which they tried to fix this offseason. However this is a wait and see so we will grab the value and this number easily could go up more close to game time as it will not be going down. 10* (457) Tampa Bay Buccaneers