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Michael Alexander |
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| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Mar 24, 2023 Rockets vs Grizzlies |
Grizzlies -13 -107 at linepros |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Rating: 2 Units This is all about identifying value as these teams get set to meet for the second game in a row. Houston covered as a 12-point underdog on Wednesday, so many bettors are going to be surprised that the line is 1.5 points larger on Friday. However, Memphis was playing without Brooks in the first matchup and Morant was playing for the first time in weeks. Brooks will return from his one-game suspension on Friday, and Morant should be in better form after knocking off the rust. The Grizzlies have won 10 straight home games and have won eight of the last nine meetings between these teams. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Mar 24, 2023 Miami-FL vs Houston |
Miami-FL +7½ -110 at linepros |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Rating: 2 Units Houston, it should be noted they struggled mightily against quality opposition this season – read: .750 or greater foes – going just 1-7 ATS. Ironically, each of Sampson’s last five losses in The Big Dance have been against foes of a similar ilk (Villanova last season). Miami is undersized, but the Hurricanes have elite guards and a dynamic small-ball big man in Norchad Omier. He's among a group of four Miami players averaging 13 or more points per game. A three-guard attack, led by ACC Player of the Year Isaiah Wong, could be a handful, particularly if Houlton’s star G Marcus Sasser is not 100% back from his groin injury |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Mar 24, 2023 Xavier vs Texas |
Texas -185 at circa |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Rating: 2 Units Musketeers’ head coach Sean Miller returned to Xavier this season where he coached from 2004 until 2009 before leaving for the desert in Arizona. There is no refuting Miller’s success in this event, as his 20-11 SU mark would attest. Better yet, it’s been Miller Time when his troops are dogging it in The Dance, going 8-1 ATS overall when taking points. However, Xavier’s Achilles’ Heel in this contest is its dismal Defensive Field Goal Percentage (44.1 – only Gonzaga here is worse). Despite its glaring weakness on the glass, with Big 12 tournament champions standing 11-3 overall since 2000 in Sweet 16 games, and UT 20-4 outright against .750 or fewer foes this season, we’ll toss our hat in the ring with the Horns. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Mar 24, 2023 Princeton vs Creighton |
Princeton +10 -110 at circa |
Lost $110.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Rating: 3 Units Blue Jays’ head coach Greg McDermott is only 2-6 SUATS against foes off a win of greater than 4 points in this tourney. Interestingly, double digit favorites in the Sweet 16, favored by the most points in this round, are 18-3 SU, but have covered in only 7 of the 21 contests (7-12-2 ATS), including 0-7 ATS versus foes coming off a SU underdog win. In addition, double-digit dogs in Sweet 16 games are 15-6 ATS since 1999, including 11-1 ATS when coming off a SU underdog win (10-0 ATS versus sub .880 foes). In fact, teams off a pair of upset wins in the first two rounds are 14-5 ATS in Sweet 16 rounds dating back to 2011, including 7-0 ATS when taking 8 or more points today. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Mar 24, 2023 San Diego State vs Alabama |
Alabama -7½ -105 at YouWager |
Lost $105.0 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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Sweet 16 Play of the Day Rating: 3 Units What has been overlooked this season, is Bama was the No. 20 in the AP preseason poll. Safe to say they have been major overachievers to the point they were awarded the No. 1 overall seed in this year’s tournament. And starting today they own the easiest path to the Final Four with only No. 5, 6 and perhaps 15 seeds in their path. They also bring the best Rebound Margin, and second-best Defensive Field Goal Percentage and Scoring Margins of all teams still remaining in this tournament. San Diego State enters with the second worst Offensive Field Goal Percentage (uh oh). The Aztecs are in the Sweet 16 for the first time since 2014, and third time overall. Seven players average at least 20.0 minutes per game this season, but only one player averages double-digits in scoring. Ironically. SDSU was No. 19 in the AP preseason Top 25, ahead of Alabama. With MWC teams a shivery 3-31-1 ATS in their last 35 outright losses in this tourney, you know exactly what to do. |
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SERVICE BIO |
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Michael Alexander is the Founder and Head Handicapper of Alexander Sports. Mr. Alexander has been handicapping sports (NFL Football Picks, College Football Picks, NBA Basketball Picks, College Basketball Picks, NHL Hockey Picks, and MLB Baseball Picks) for over 20 years and holds numerous top 10 handicapping rankings and is the 2004 Overall Champion as documented at Procappers! His approach to this craft is truly unique in the industry. With a background in statistics and prior experience in finance, Michael combines in depth statistical analysis with a financial risk/reward formula. It is this method that allows Mr. Alexander to properly weigh the risk of investment vs. the possible reward of investment for each game he analyzes. |
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