Mr. East

This game fits a situation that is 340-223 ATS to the over, which is also 61-35 ATS in the playoffs. Make the play on the over.

The Golden St. Warriors did the unthinkable at home in game 2 as they coughed up a 31 point 3rd quarter lead and fell to the LA Clippers. The series turns to LA for a pivotal game 3. The Clippers bench tandem of Lou Williams, and Montrezl Harrell has killed Golden St combining for 56 points per game. The Clippers love to get out and run at home where their games average 232.5ppg, an they have been 27-11-3 ATS to the over. When they play to a total of 224.5 or more at home they are 21-6-1 ATS to the over, covering by +6.36ppg. This game also fits a situation that is 541-378 ATS to the over, which is also 118-70 ATS in the playoffs. The public loves betting over, bit not to high totals, and are flooding the market with under wagers, further enhancing the value here. Make the play on the over.

The Portland Trailblazers have taken a commanding 2-0 lead over the Oklahoma City Thunder. This is the modern NBA and if you can't knock down 3's you are very likely to lose. Looking at the 19 playoff games so far, the one stat that has proven this point so far is the team that makes more 3's is 15-4 SU/ATS. If you look at it from a 3-point FG percentage basis the team that has made the higher percentage of 3's in the playoffs this year is 17-2 SU/ATS. It really shows what the NBA has become. This series through 2 games is loaded with 3-point shooting percentage, as Oklahoma City is a woeful 10-61 from deep hitting at 16.4%, while Portland is 24-57 connecting on 42.1%. These teams finished the regular season hitting close to the same from deep. The reason Oklahoma City is losing has a lot to do with this, as there has been 45 points of 3 point variance. Playing at home should help the pendulum swing in favor of Oklahoma City, as well as the motivational factor of needing to win. Portland is also in a historically bad playoff spot. A road team that is better than .600 to a lone of +6 or more and off a home win of more than 10 points, and is series game 2 or more (playing the same team) is 2-26 ATS with 10 of the 26 losses coming by 19 or more points. Oklahoma City is in a very favorable spot as playoff home favorites off a loss of more than 8 points are 137-81 ATS in the last 218 instances. Make the play on Oklahoma City.