Mike Lundin

MIKE LUNDIN'S ROYALS @ YANKEES FREE PICK

The New York Yankees are coming off a two-game sweep of the Boston. They outscored the Red Sox 13-3 through those two contests and have covered the runline in each of their eight wins this season. 

Yankee right-hander Domingo German (3-0, 1.38 ERA) has been close to unhittable here at the start of 2019. He has issued seven walks, but held opponents to a .070 batting average with 14 Ks through 13 innings of work. 

The Royals turn to Homer Bailey (1-1, 5.29 ERA) for his fourth start in a Royals uniform. Bailey is coming off seven scoreless innings of two-hit ball against Cleveland, but he gave up seven runs in five innings against Seattle in his last start prior to that. This is a pitcher that posted a 6.09 in 20 starts last season and he owns a 5.84 ERA in two career starts against the Yankees.

Free pick on New York Yankees -1.5. 

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EARLY GIANTS @ NATIONALS TOTAL

The San Francisco Giants opened this series with a 7-3 win but the Washington Nationals tied it up with a 9-6 triumph Wednesday night. After two high-scoring contests, I think we'll see far fewer runs here in the rubber match.

Nats left-hander Patrick Corbin (0-0, 2.84 ERA) is 4-1 behind a 1.93 ERA in his last seven starts against the Giants. He limited Pittsburgh to one run and fanned 11 through seven innings last time out. On the season, Corbin owns a 24/4 K/BB ratio over 19 frames. 

Giants lefty Drew Pomeranz (0-1, 3.86 ERA) held the Rockies to two runs on four hits in five innings his last start. He has posted a 2.19 ERA in two career starts versus Washington.

Under is 23-9-2 in Giants last 34 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 25-10-1 in Giants last 36 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

8* play on UNDER. 

LATE MLB MIDNIGHT MASSACRE

The Seattle Mariners have cooled off since a red hot 13-2 start to the season and managed just a total of 15 runs during an 0-6 homestand. The opposition was not the easiest though, with a pair of three-game series against Cleveland and Houston ... The Mariners are most likely rather happy to get out of Seattle for a change of scenery, and I like the price we get on the Mariners here at LA with veteran right-hander Felix Hernandez on the mound. 

Hernandez (1-1, 4.38 ERA) had a rough 2018, but he's been much better this season. He allowed just one earned run through 5 1/3 innings of a 6-3 win against the Halos in his season debut, a matchup where he just like today was opposed by LAA right-hander Chris Stratton. Stratton (0-1, 5.54 ERA) went 4 1/3 innings in that contest and allowed four runs on seven hits in the defeat. 

Mariners are 6-0 in their last 6 road games. Mariners are 12-2 in their last 14 vs. a team with a losing record. Mariners are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

8* play on Seattle Mariners. 

DODGERS @ BREWERS BOOKIE BLASTER

The LA Dodgers snapped a six-game slide with 7-1 win over Milwaukee on April 14, and they're coming off a three-game sweep of the Cincinnati Reds to make it four wins in a row. They're however 1-6 in their last seven vs. a team with a winning record and 0-4 in their last four road games. Here they'll face a red hot Brewers pitcher in Zach Davies in the opener of a four-game series.

Davies (2-0, 1.53 ERA) has allowed just one earned run in his past two outings. First the right-hander blanked the Cubs over 5 2/3 innings before holding the Dodgers scoreless over seven frames of a 4-1 Brew Crew triumph last time out to improve to 3-1 with a 2.30 ERA in five career starts against the Dodgers.

The Dodgers turn to left-hander Julio Urias (0-1, 5.27 ERA) who was tagged with six runs (five earned) on six hits over five innings of am 8-5 loss to Milwaukee on April 12. 

The Brewers took two of three in LA Last week. They're 7-2 in their last nine home games vs. a left-handed starter and own a .308 batting average against southpaws on the season, good for 3rd in the major leagues.

8* play on Milwaukee Brewers. 

GAME OF THE YEAR (NBA): MIKE'S BEST NBA PLAYOFFS SIDE FOR 2019!

The Golden State Warriors were cruising to an easy 2-0 lead in this Western Conference Quarterfinals series as they owned a 31-point lead halfway through the third quarter. Then complacency kicked in, and they ended up losing 135-131 ... 

The Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss, and oh boy, will they be fired up for this contest as the series move to LA all tied at 1-1. 

"We have a lot of experience," Warriors guard Klay Thompson said of the two-time defending champions. "This is the first time we've been tied in a series (since Game 7 of last year's Western finals against Houston, which Golden State won). I know we'll bounce back. We're too prideful not to."

Warriors are 27-10 ATS in their last 37 Conference Quarterfinals games. Clippers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 Conference Quarterfinals games.

10* play on Golden State Warriors. 

FRIDAY NIGHT MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE

The Detroit Tigers snapped a five-game skid with a 7-5 win over the Chicago White Sox in the opener of this four-game series Thursday night. 

I think the Tigers will be back to their losing ways here, facing White Sox left-hander Carlos Rodon (2-2, 3.27 ERA) who held the New York Yankees to two runs on three hits in six innings on Sunday. Rodon has struggled in previous career matchups with the Tigers, but note that they're 1-6 in their last seven games vs. a left-handed starter.

Jordan Zimmermann (0-2, 4.29 ERA) will toe the slab for Detroit. He has been tagged with 10 runs while serving up four homers in his last two starts. Zimmerman was 1-2 with a weak 7.11 ERA against the White Sox last season and has posted a 5.81 ERA in 13 career starts against them. Jose Abreu and Yonder Alonso both has great number against the right-hander. 

White Sox are 6-2 in Rodon's last 8 Friday starts. Tigers are 2-9 in Zimmermann's last 11 Friday starts.

8* play on Chicago White Sox. 

TOP RATED 10* BLAZERS @ THUNDER BOOKIE BREAKER TOTAL

The first two games of this series at Portland were both low-scoring affairs, and that's a trend I expect to continue here in Game 3 at Chesapeake Energy Arena Friday night. 

The Thunder really struggled to put points on the board and were held to sub-100 points in both contests. Under is 6-2 in Thunder last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 4-0 in their last four Conference Quarterfinals games.

The Blazers averaged 118.2 ppg at home during the regular season but that number dropped significantly to 111.1 ppg on the road. Under is 6-2-1 in their last nine away from home and 6-2 in their last eight vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

The Thunder need to win this game to avoid falling into an 0-3 hole. They're probably smart enough to realize they can't outscore Portland, and I expect the home team to come out and play lock-down defense and try and slow down the tempo. 

10* play on UNDER. 

GAME OF THE MONTH (MLB): MIKE'S TOP RATED MLB TOTAL FOR APRIL

The Colorado Rockies will host the Philadelphia Phillies for Game 2 of a four-game series Friday night. I think the total looks way high for this contest, and I'm going with a BIG BET on the under. 

Rockies right-hander German Marquez (2-1, 2.00 ERA) has been excellent through his first four outings in 2019. He was roughed up by Atlanta on April 9 but has allowed just one run covering a total of 22 innings in the other three starts. Last time out, he tossed a complete game, one-hit shutout against the Giants and under is 13-3-2 in Marquez's last 18 starts overall. 

Marquez has posted a 3.32 ERA in three career starts against the Phillies who turn to Vince Velasquez (0-0, 2.25 ERA). The 26 year old right-hander has made three appearances (two starts) here in 2019. In the the two starts, Velasquez held Miami and Washington to a combined three runs on six hits and three walks covering 11 innings of work. He has posted a poor 5.23 ERA in six career starts against the Rockies, but they've struggled to produce runs home at Coors Field this season. 

10* play on UNDER.