Mike Lundin

MIKE LUNDIN'S MARINERS @ BREWERS FREE PICK

The Seattle Mariners have won four of their last five while the Milwaukee Brewers had dropped five straight before beating Cincinnati twice over the weekend. I think we're getting an excellent price on the visitors to keep it close here at Miller Park Tuesday night. 

Seattle southpaw Marco Gonzales (8-6, 4.38 ERA) has recovered nicely from a rough stretch and enters this contest 3-0 with a 2.33 ERA in his past three starts. Gonzales is hard to beat when he's on a roll and the Mariners are 14-6 in his last 20 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. We can also note that the Brewers are 0-5 in their last five games vs. a left-handed starter.

The Brew Crew turn to right-hander Zach Davies (7-1, 3.06 ERA) who was smacked around for five runs on nine hits and three walks in 2 2/3 innings last time out. He's never faced the Mariners but could be in for a tough one here with the M's averaging eight runs per game over their last five.

Free pick on Seattle Mariners +1.5. 

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Tuesday's card features a TOP RATED MLB PLAY OF THE DAY (RUNLINE) which is included in Mike's 3-GAME HIGH ROLLER REPORT.

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MLB 3-PACK

The Philadelphia Phillies snapped a seven-game slide with a 13-7 triumph over the NY Mets Monday night. I think they look good to make two on the bounce here with Jake Arrieta on the mound. 

Arrieta (6-6, 4.12 ERA) is coming off back-to-back quality starts and limited Washington to two hits and one run in six innings in his last start. He has already faced the Mets twice this season, allowing just five earned runs over 14 innings of work and owns a 2.50 ERA in 12 career starts against them. 

The Mets hand the ball to Walker Lockett (0-1, 23.14 ERA) for his second start of the season. He suffered plenty in his first start when he was smacked around to the tune of six runs in just 2 1/3 innings of a 7-4 loss to the Cubs at Wrigley Field. 

It's also worth noting that we will see two of the worst bullpens in baseball at display tonight with the Mets' (5.36 ERA) even worse than the Phillies' (4.67 ERA). 

Mets are 8-23 in their last 31 road games. Phillies are 20-7 in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Mets are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Philadelphia.

Over is 10-3-1 in Mets last 14 overall.

8* play on OVER.

MLB 3-PACK

The Philadelphia Phillies snapped a seven-game slide with a 13-7 triumph over the NY Mets Monday night. I think they look good to make two on the bounce here with Jake Arrieta on the mound. 

Arrieta (6-6, 4.12 ERA) is coming off back-to-back quality starts and limited Washington to two hits and one run in six innings in his last start. He has already faced the Mets twice this season, allowing just five earned runs over 14 innings of work and owns a 2.50 ERA in 12 career starts against them. 

The Mets hand the ball to Walker Lockett (0-1, 23.14 ERA) for his second start of the season. He suffered plenty in his first start when he was smacked around to the tune of six runs in just 2 1/3 innings of a 7-4 loss to the Cubs at Wrigley Field. 

It's also worth noting that we will see two of the worst bullpens in baseball at display tonight with the Mets' (5.36 ERA) even worse than the Phillies' (4.67 ERA). 

Mets are 8-23 in their last 31 road games. Phillies are 20-7 in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Mets are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Philadelphia.

Over is 10-3-1 in Mets last 14 overall.

8* play on Philadelphia Phillies. 

TOP RATED 10* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY (RUNLINE)

The Cleveland Indians needed extra innings to take care of business in the opener of this three-game series Monday night. They're a red hot 9-2 over their last 11 games and 6-1 in their last seven, and I expect a more comfortable win for the surging Tribe Tuesday night. 

Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber (6-3, 3.86 ERA) held Texas to two runs on five hits with eight strikeouts in six innings last time out. He has recorded 20 Ks over his last two starts combined and should have little to fear from this weak KC lineup. 

The Royals counter with right-hander Glenn Sparkman (2-3, 3.62 ERA) who held Minnesota to one run over a career-high seven innings of a 4-1 victory versus Minnesota on Thursday. That was home at the K though; note that Sparkman has struggled on the road this year posting a 7.82 ERA over five appearances (two starts). 

Royals are 12-42 in their last 54 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Royals are 1-4 in Sparkman's last 5 starts. Indians are 5-1 in Bieber's last 6 home starts.

10* play on Cleveland Indians -1.5.