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Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 31, 2020
Ohio State vs. Penn State
Penn State
+12½ -110
  at  SPBOOK
in 1h

PICK - Penn State Nittany Lions +12.5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 136

Give me double-digits with Penn State at home against the Buckeyes. I think we are getting big value here from last week's results. 

The Nittany Lions lost 35-36 at Indiana as a 7-point favorite. That's a much better Indiana team than I think most people realize. Not taking anything away from them, but they had a lot of breaks go their way. Penn State outgained the Hoosiers 488 to 211. It's hard to lose a game with that big of an edge in yards, especially when you hold the opposing under 220. 

Ohio State won and covered in a 52-17 win at home against Nebraska as a 28-point favorite. The numbers were solid for the Buckeyes. They outgained the Cornhuskers 491-370, but that was a very close game early. It was tied 14-14 late in the 1st half before Ohio State took control. 

Some very concerning things from that game. Nebraska had 210 rushing yards on 36 attempts, which comes out to 5.8 yards/carry. That's a far cry from the defense they had last year, which finished up allowing just 104 ypg and 3.0 yards/carry. 

I just don't see that elite defensive linemen that this defense has had for years now. You have to go back to 2012 to find the last Ohio State team that didn't have either Joey Bosa, Nick Bosa or Chase Young on the defensive side. 

I know Fields was great against Nebraska. He only had one incomplete pass, going 20 of 21 for 276 yards and 2 scores. He also led the team with 15 carries and 54 yards rushing. 

I just wonder how much of that was playing a bad Nebraska defense. 

Penn State held a good Indiana run game to just 41 yards on 26 attempts (1.6 yards/carry). Indiana running back Stevie Scott was a guy a lot of people had pegged as a 1st-Team All-Big Ten RB (2nd-Team last year). 

I think if they can slow down the run game, they can make it hard on this offense. Last year Penn State held Ohio State to just 3.8 yards/carry. Fields was 16 of 22, but only had 188 yards. Buckeyes only scored 28. 

I not only think the Nittany Lions keep this close. I think they can win outright. In the last 4 meetings, Penn State is just 1-3 SU, but two of those losses were by a mere 1-point and the other was by only 11. Give me the Nittany Lions +12.5!

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 30, 2020
East Carolina vs Tulsa
Tulsa
-17½ -107 at betonline
Lost
$107.0
Play Type: Free

PICK - Tulsa Golden Hurricane -17.5 
RATING: 30* 
ROT#: 108

I've been watching this Tulsa team closely. I played against them and lost badly in their opener against Oklahoma State. They ended up losing 17-6 (+23.5).Could have easily won outright.

In their next game @ UCF they won 34-26 as a 20.5-point dog. I was mad I didn't take them against the Knights, but fired with a 50* Top Play in last week's 42-13 win @ USF as a mere 12.5-point favorite. 

Tulsa isn't just 3-0, they have covered the spread in those 3 games by an average of 19.8 ppg. Covered all 3 by at least 14.5-points. While I think the books are getting closer, I still think the number here is too short. 

I think it's worth noting that ECU was a 28-point home dog to UCF. Tulsa proved they were better, ast least equal to UCF when they played on the field. Factor in ECU is on the road instead of at home and I feel this should be at least past 3 TD's. 

I believe even though the results speak volumes to how good this Tulsa team is, people can't get over their defense being any good with only 4 starters backs. They lost 6 of their top 10 tacklers and what many considered their best DL, LB & DB. 

I think it's a combination of some guys taking big steps forward (Zaven Collins, LB has been outstanding and he's not even their No. 1 tackler). I also give a lot of props to second-year defensive coordinator Joseph Gillespie. 

He was the LB coach for 4 years prior to get promoted to DC in 2019. He played a huge role in 2018 (year before he got the job) in installing the Golden Hurricane's 3-3-5 defense that we see today. 

This defense is similar to what ISU has used slowing down all those pass-happy teams in the Big 12. I got a feeling, much like we saw with the spread offense, this defensive scheme is going to eventually be the defense everyone runs. 

ECU has a good QB in Holton Ahlers, but I see him struggling. Tulsa did give up 330 passing yards to UCF, but that was against a special QB in Dillon Gabriel. What people overlook is that was by far his worst game. Gabriel has thrown for 400+ in every other game. He also only completed 55% vs Tulsa (65%+ in the other 4). 

On the flip side of this, Tulsa's offense got some good mojo going after piling it on a bad USF defense last week. They should continue to feast against an awful ECU defense. Pirates are giving up 4.9 yards/carry, 8.3 yards/attempt and 6.3 yards/play. Give me Tulsa -17.5! 

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Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 30, 2020
Hawaii vs Wyoming
Wyoming
+2 -110 at Bovada
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

50* HAWAII/WYOMING MWC *PLAY OF THE MONTH* (Wyoming +2) 

I love the value here with Wyoming as a home dog against Hawaii on Friday. I believe Hawaii is overvalued coming off a 34-19 upset win over Fresno State. At the same time, I think the Cowboys are undervalued off a 34-37 OT loss at Nevada as a 2.5-point favorite. 

There's no shame losing at Nevada. That's one of the most improved teams in the MWC. Wolf Pack probably should have been favored in that one. What I like about Wyoming is they were outplayed and yet still made a game of it. 

This is a very well coached Cowboys team under Craig Bohl and are one of the most experienced teams not just in the conference, but the entire country. When this team is playing well, they are tough to beat at home. Last three times they have finished the season with a winning record they have gone 17-3 at home with a perfect 6-0 mark last year. 

As for Hawaii, I think they are a quality team, but I also feel like they beat up on a bad Fresno State team. Bulldogs also made it easy on them with 4 turnovers (Hawaii +3 turnover margin). Warriors haven't had a winning road record since 2010. I just don't see them pulling off back-to-back road wins. Give me the Cowboys +2! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 30, 2020
Minnesota vs Maryland
Minnesota
-19½ -110 at BMaker
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

40* MINNESOTA/MARYLAND NCAAF SHARP STAKE (Minnesota -19.5) 

I went against Minnesota last week and won easy with Michigan -3, as the Wolverines laid it on the Gophers 49-24. A lot of people liked Minnesota to in that game. I believe seeing them lose like that will have some hesitant to lay this big number. Which is saying something given how bad Maryland looked last week in a 43-3 loss at Northwestern. 

My opinion really didn't change on Minnesota. They are good team with some decent talent, but they were not as good as their 11-3 record last year and it simply had them overvalued against a better team. 

I think the Gophers respond in a big way against the Terps. Minnesota destroyed Maryland 52-10 last year. I would be shocked if they didn't score 40+ in this one. Maryland's defense is clearly lacking talent in the front 7. They let Northwestern rush for 325 yards with 6 different players recording a rush of 10+ yards. 

Their offense wasn't any better. Tua's younger brother Taulia Tagovailoa went 14 of 25 for 94 yards with 0 TDs and 3 INTs. Maryland also rushed for a mere 64 yards on 21 attempts. This Minnesota defense isn't as good as Northwestern's stop unit, but it's still going to be able to get off the field. 

I just don't think it's asking a lot here for Minnesota to win by 20 or more points. Give me the Gophers -19.5! 

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Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 31, 2020
LSU vs Auburn
OVER 64½ -109
Play Type: Premium

40* LSU/AUBURN NCAAF CASH COW (Over 64.5) 

I just feel that LSU is one of the best OVER teams in the country. I think all the guys LSU lost on offense, if you had to guess coming into the year if it would be the offense or defense that was holding this team back, everyone would have said the offense. 

That's just not the case. LSU is averaging 42.0 ppg, 486 yards/game and averaging 6.6 yards/play. It's no where close to as good as last year with Burrow, but it's still one of the best units in the country. 

They just scored 52 against South Carolina last week without their starting quarterback Myles Brennan. He's unlikely to play, but no big deal. TJ Finley completed 17 of 21 attempts for 265 yards and 2 scores (12.6 avg) against the Gamecocks. 

Key here is LSU has to score a bunch, because their defense isn't very good. Not a real shocker given that Bo Pelini is their defensive coordinator. Just look at what they gave up to Mississippi State and what that Bulldogs offense has done in their 3 games since. 

Even an average Auburn offense is going to find success against this defense, especially on their home turf. I think both teams easily hit the 30-point mark in this one. Give me the OVER 64.5!

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 31, 2020
Northwestern vs Iowa
Northwestern
+120 at William Hill
Play Type: Premium

40* NORTHWESTERN/IOWA NCAAF ANNIHILATOR (Northwestern +120)

Northwestern opened the season with a 43-3 blowout win at home over Maryland. There was absolutely nothing fluky about that outcome, as the Wildcats outgained the Terps by 330 yards (537 to 207). They racked up 31 first downs to Maryland’s 14 and dominated the ball with over 37 minutes in possession.  I think a lot of people kinda look at that as what was suppose to happen. Maryland was just 3-9 last year and their only Big Ten win was against Rutgers.  What they overlook is the fact that Northwestern also went 3-9 in 2019 and their only conference win was against Illinois in the finale.  The Wildcats are a team I had circled coming into this season, especially after news that they would be adding in Indiana transfer quarterback Peyton Ramsey.  Even with 3 returning starters deciding not to play, they bring back 16 starters and really 17 when you factor in the experience Ramsey brings to a QB room that was one of the worst in the country last year.  Usually when a team goes 3-9 they struggle on both sides of the ball. It was really just the offense last year. Wildcats only gave up 23.6 ppg and 336 ypg, both ranking in the Top 50 in the country. That’s really impressive when you factor how much they had to be on the field with an offense that only averaged 16.3 ppg.  I think Northwestern has one of the most underrated defenses in the country and the team as a whole is flying way under the radar. If they win this game and knock off Wisconsin at home, they got a great shot at making the Big Ten title game.  As for Iowa, the Hawkeyes couldn’t hang on to a 2nd half lead in a 20-24 loss at Purdue. The Hawks put up 460 yards, but could only turn it into 20 points. Big question for Iowa coming into this season was how they would replace a 3-year starter in Stanley. Sophomore Spencer Petras won the job. He ended up going a respectable 22 of 39 for 265 yards, but had 0 TD passes. Kid has an outstanding arm, but he’s got no touch. Everything is a fastball and it cost him a lot of completions.  I don’t think that’s something that’s going to just develop before this Saturday. Note that Iowa went just 4-5 in Big Ten play in Stanley’s first season as a starter, before going 5-4 and then 6-3.   I think the entire offense is going to struggle to get going against this strong Northwestern defense. One that I feel can keep the Hawkeyes from running it down their throat.  I also don’t think the Hawkeyes are nearly as strong on the defensive side of the ball this year. Purdue had a guy run for 129 yards and O’Connell threw for 282 and 3 scores without his best receiver in Rondale Moore. Give me Northwestern +120 
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 31, 2020
Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt
Ole Miss
-16½ -109 at GTBets
Play Type: Premium

40* OLE MISS/VANDY NCAAF SLAUGHTER (Ole Miss -16.5) 

One of our few losers last week in college football was a really tough break on Ole Miss +3.5 at home against Auburn. Rebels gave up a 58-yard TD pass with 1:11 left to play leading 28-27. If they don't give up the big play, worst case Auburn goes down and wins on a field goal 30-27. 

Those ones always sting a little more, but it's not enough to keep me from firing back with Ole Miss this week at Vanderbilt. I just don't feel like the number here is near enough. Vanderbilt played a surprisingly close game at Texas A&M in their opener, losing 17-12 as a 31.5-point favorite. 

They still only had 250 yards of total offense in that game. After scoring just 7 in each of their next two games, the Commodores have a whopping 26 total points scored in 3 games. They are averaging 3.9 yards/play and that's against teams that give up 6.4 yards/play. The fact that they could only score 7 points and total just 266 yards against LSU at home, tells you everything you need to know about how bad this offense is. 

The defense that was so good against Texas A&M, has given up 41 to both LSU and South Carolina. Ole Miss can score points and are going to be hungry having lost 3 straight. I just don't see Vanderbilt doing anywhere close to enough offensively to keep this respectable. Give me Ole Miss -16.5! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 31, 2020
Indiana vs Rutgers
Indiana
-11 -106 at pinnacle
Play Type: Top Premium

50* INDIANA/RUTGERS NCAAF *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Indiana -11) 

I will gladly lay less than two touchdowns with Indiana against the Scarlet Knights. I think a lot of people are going to look at this and be tempted to take Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights did just win 38-27 as a double-digit dog at Michigan State last week. They also see this is a big letdown spot for the Hoosiers. 

I see it the opposite. I think this is the ultimate sell high on Rutgers off a win against a Michigan State program that is in a full on rebuilding mode and just might be the worst team in the conference. 

I also think because Rutgers just won, that actually makes Indiana less likely to overlook them. Keep in mind this is an Indiana team that believes they can shock the world and win the Big Ten this year. I'm not saying they are right, but they know if they want to be that team, they got to beat bad teams like Rutgers. 

Because it had been so long for Rutgers just winning a game in Big Ten play, I think people ignore the numbers. The Scarlet Knights only had 276 total yards against a Spartans defense that only had 3 starters back. They were outgained by almost 100 yards and benefited a ton from 7 Michigan State turnovers. 

I know the boxscore wasn't great for Indiana in their win over Penn State, but I still think that's a really really good Nittany Lions team. The fact that they didn't put up big numbers and were able to win, speaks to the potential of this team. 

I know Rutgers is improved, but so is Indiana and the Hoosiers beat the Scarlet Knights 35-0 last year with a 557 to 75 edge in total yards. Give me Indiana -11! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 31, 2020
Virginia Tech vs Louisville
OVER 66 -115
Play Type: Premium

40* VA TECH/LOUISVILLE NCAAF MASSACRE (Over 66) 

I don't see a whole lot of defense being played in this one, as both of these offenses should have their way. 

Prior to scoring just 16-points at Wake Forest last week, Va Tech had scored 38 or more in each of their first 4 with 3 going for 40 or more. They still had nearly 450 total yards in that game. They had 210 rushing yards, which was their lowest output all year. They are averaging 292 rushing yards/game and 6.5 yards/carry. 

Louisville's defense has played better the last two games, but in both of those games they gave up over 230 rushing yards. Also two weeks ago the game against Notre Dame they were aided big time by strong winds and FSU isn't that great and were primed for a letdown off that big win over UNC. This is still the same defense that gave up 46 to Georgia Tech and 47 to Miami.  

As for Virginia Tech's defense, they are giving up 441 yards/game and 6.1 yards/play. I know they have got some guys back that were out with Covid, but it's still not a great unit. Louisville's got a big time talent at QB in Cunningham and a couple of really good skill players. They also just had their best offensive game of the year last week, so they are trending in the right direction. Give me the OVER 66! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 31, 2020
TCU vs Baylor
TCU
-2½ -120 at Mirage
Play Type: Top Premium

50* TCU/BAYLOR NCAAF *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (TCU -2.5) 

I have a feeling I'm going to be betting against Baylor a lot this year. I played against them last week with Texas and the Longhorns won 27-16 as a 8.5-point favorite (wasn't that close). In their previous game I played against them with West Virginia as a 3-point home dog and the Mountaineers won 27-21. 

I'll gladly lay less than a field goal with TCU on the road against the Bears this week. Baylor has one of the most anemic offenses of any Power 5 program. The only reason they are averaging 28.0 ppg instead of 18.0 ppg is because they have already played Kansas. 

They only had 256 total yards in their game against West Virginia and 316 last week against Texas. In both of those games they went into the 4th quarter with 7 or fewer points. 

TCU comes into this one having just got the doors kicked in by Oklahoma at home, losing 33-14 as a mere 7-point dog. Horned Frogs are now just 1-3 on the season, but could easily be 3-1. I think if Duggan plays the entire game and not just the 2nd half, they probably beat ISU at home and the loss against K-State could have also went their way. Outgained the Wildcats 342 to 289 with 20 first downs to 12. 

I just think this TCU team is so much better than their record and should be close to a TD favorite than a field goal. Give me the Horned Frogs -2.5! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 31, 2020
Texas vs Oklahoma State
OVER 57½ -117
Play Type: Premium

40* TEXAS/OKLAHOMA ST NCAAF STEAMROLLER (OVER 57.5) 

I think there's a good chance we see 60 or more points in this one. Oklahoma State's offensive numbers are greatly skewed because of how much time starting QB Spencer Sanders has missed. He only played a few snaps in the opener against Tulsa and just returned last week against ISU. 

While he threw 2 picks, he did complete 20 of 29 attempts for 295 and that's a really good Cyclones defense. Texas does not have a good defense. The Longhorns are giving up 32.2 ppg and that's with them only giving up 3 to UTEP and 16 last week to an awful Baylor offense. They allowed 56 at Texas Tech, 33 at home to TCU and 53 to Oklahoma. It would be a shock here if Texas didn't give up at least 30. 

I also think there's a good chance Texas can score 30 or more. Oklahoma State's defense is only giving up 12.0 ppg, which is great, but a lot of that is schedule. Their first 4 were against Tulsa, W Virginia, Kansas and ISU. By far the best offense they faced so far is the Cyclones and ISU had over 100 yards more than what OK-State had been allowing. Now they face an even better Texas offense. Give me the OVER 57.5! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 31, 2020
Kansas State vs West Virginia
West Virginia
-2½ -115 at Draft Kings
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

40* KANSAS ST/W VIRGINIA NCAAF NO-BRAINER (W Virginia -2.5) 

This is one of those plays you just play no matter what. Any time you have a ranked team getting points against an unranked opponent, you play the unranked team. I'll do just that with the Mountaineers at home against No. 16 Kansas State. 

I played against West Virginia last week at Texas Tech, as I didn't feel they should be laying points on the road against a pretty equal opponent. We cashed a winner with the Red Raiders, but it just as easily could have gone the other way. WV ended up outgaining Texas Tech 438 to 348. Even though they lost, I came away impressed with the Mountaineers. 

West Virginia has really been strong defensively and I think they can make things really difficult here on a pretty limited K-State offense that is down their starting QB in Skylar Thompson. True freshman Will Howard has decent numbers, but half his attempts came against an awful Kansas defense last week. They were pretty lucky to beat TCU with Howard and no way they pull off that upset in Norman without Thompson. Give me West Virginia -2.5! 

SERVICE BIO

Brandon Lee has grown up learning the ins and outs of the sports betting industry, and is well known for his ability to bring home consistent winners in every sport he handicaps. Being a successful handicapper requires a lot of work, something that Brandon really takes pride in. If you are serious about bringing home a profit, take the time to see what this handicapper has to offer. You won't be disappointed!