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Alex Smart |
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Alex Smart Sports- Where winning means everything! |
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Jun 29, 2025 Blue Jays vs Red Sox |
OVER 9½ -113 |
Lost $113.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Right-hander Walker Buehler (5-5, 6.29 ERA) is scheduled to start on the mound for Boston on Sunday. Lefty Eric Lauer (4-1, 2.21) is listed as Toronto's probable pitcher.My power rankings suggest both hurlers do not matchup well vs the perspective batting orders they will face, and Im projecting a high score count in the early innings that will carry us over the total in a full game contest. Fenway Park, expect a hot day with a temperature around 87°F and low humidity at 29%, favoring hitters. Light winds at 8.2 mph blowing out to right field can enhance power numbers. No precipitation is expected, ensuring a clean game. Great conditions for offense. The Toronto Blue Jays have only hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 68 games (-20.75 Units / -28% ROI) |
PICKS IN PROGRESS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Jun 30, 2025 Yankees vs Blue Jays |
Yankees -134 at Heritage |
Lost $134.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Scherzer (0-0, 5.63 ERA) is scheduled to start the opener of a four-game series vs the Yankees. The 40-year-old right-hander no longer looks like the all star pitcher he was during most of his career and is fade material here in this spot play. Scherzer is 4-5 with a 4.25 ERA in 12 career starts against the Yankees. Meanwhile, his is opposed by Carlos Rodon (9-5, 2.92) who is off 6 scoreless inning outing last time out against the Reds and has momentum entering this tilt. Im betting the Yanks bats, take advantage of Jays bullpen that is overworked . In the past two games starter Chris Bassitt went two-plus innings in his start on Saturday and Eric Lauer went 4 1/3 innings in his Sunday start. NY Yankees in road games on the money line after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs are. perfect 6-0 L/6 overall. Play on the Yankees to win |
SERVICE BIO |
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Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 22 years. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). |
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