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Alex Smart |
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Alex Smart Sports- Where winning means everything! |
FREE PICKS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NFL | Sep 14, 2025 Panthers vs. Cardinals |
Total 44 -108 at HERITAGE |
in 1d |
These two teams played each other last year and combined for 66 points in a 36-30 back and forth offensive slugfest. Overall this series has seen a combined 52 ppg go on the board n the L/7 meetings with 6 of the 7 tilts eclipsing the total. Panthers are 11-2 OVER vs NFC West L/13 overall. Eight of the Cardinals’ last nine games as home favorites have gone OVER the total . Each of the Panthers’ last five games against the Cardinals following a loss have gone OVER the total.Carolina is 5-1 OVER as conference road dog of 10 points or less Each of the last three Sunday games at State Farm Stadium have gone OVER the total. Play over |
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Sep 12, 2025 Orioles vs Blue Jays |
Orioles +120 at Buckeye |
Lost $100.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Baltimore's starter Trevor Rogers has been in top for for Orioles since July garnerig 10 out of 11 quality starts in span. He went 7+ innings in 6 of those starts and has allowed two runs or less in 9 of those trips to the He has allowed just two HRS to since July and that an important factor vs potent Jays batting order. the Orioles are hot as is evident by having won 8 of their 9 September games. Play on the Os to win |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-F | Sep 12, 2025 New Mexico vs UCLA |
New Mexico +15½ -108 at Heritage |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Free | ||
HC DeShaun Foster just is not finding any breathing room with the Bruins. With nothing but negative things to say about this UCLA football program right now I find myself willing to fade them this Friday night. , The Bruins are 0-2 on the season and have now lost 9 of their previous 14 games dating back to last season. . The Bruins offense is averaging just 16.8 ppg PPG while allowing 36.5, and are allowing just under 71% % of their opposing offenses third down conversion attempts. Add to that the Bruins lack of discipline that sees them ranked 121 st in the nation in penalty yards and you have a team that should not be laying this many points, no not even to a lower tier New Mexico Lobs program that showed a little spark against Michigan in their first game of the season losing by a 34-17 count. Note: The Lobos are averaging 102.5 rushing yards per game, challenging a UCLA defense that has struggled to get off the field. New Mexicos run game will be key to keeping them with in the number. Play on New Mexico to cover |
PICKS IN PROGRESS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-F | Sep 13, 2025 Memphis vs Troy |
Memphis -3½ -108 at Heritage |
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Play Type: Premium | ||
Memphis matches up well here, and Im will to lay the crooked number with them this week. Last season the tigers smashed the Tiny Trojans by 21-points.. Troy is 0-10 SU and 3-7 ATS vs. .700 or better sides like Memphis at home. Now after last weeks swing in miss haymaker vs Clemson Im betting Troy comes into this exhausted and in a letdown situation and vulnerable to being pulverized. Play on Memphis to cover |
SERVICE BIO |
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Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 22 years. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). |
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