Jack Jones

15* CBB Saturday Night Total DOMINATOR on North Dakota/Oral Roberts OVER 160

The North Dakota Fighting Hawks are a dead nuts OVER team.  They are 11-4 OVER in all games this season.  The OVER is 8-1 in their last nine lined games with 155 or more combined points in eight of the nine, including 165 or more combined points in five consecutive games.  They rank 347th in adjusted defense.

Speaking of poor defensive teams, Oral Roberts ranks 360th in adjusted defense.  The Golden Eagles like to play fast.  The OVER is 3-0 in their last three games overall combining for 160 with Oklahoma State, 157 with Kansas City and a whopping 206 in regulation with North Dakota State last time out.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* UCF/Arizona Big 12 Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 156

This game between UCF and Arizona will see a ton of possessions as both teams like to get up shots in a hurry.  Arizona ranks 60th in adjusted tempo and 46th in average length of offensive possession while also ranking 15th in adjusted offense.  That's a potent combination as the Wildcats are averaging 84.1 points per game this season.

The UCF Knights are averaging 78.5 points per game this season.  They rank 61st in adjusted tempo and 41st in average length of offensive possession.  They scored 87 points in their last road game at Texas Tech.  I think both teams have a chance of getting in the 80's tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Big West PLAY OF THE DAY on UC-Irvine +6.5

UC-San Diego has been one of the most underrated teams in all of college basketball over the last two seasons.  But this is where it has finally caught up to them as they are now being asked to lay 6.5 points to a team I believe to be better than them in UC-Irvine.

UC-Irvine is 14-2 SU & 11-4 ATS this season while UC-San Diego is 14-2 SU & 11-3 ATS this season.  This line should be much closer to PK.  These Big West teams have almost no home-court advantage, and home court is consistently given too much credit in this conference.  These teams are almost dead even power rating wise.  There's clearly value with the Anteaters tonight.  Bet UC-Irvine Saturday.

20* Summit League TOTAL OF THE WEEK on South Dakota/St. Thomas OVER 168

The South Dakota Coyotes are a dead nuts OVER team going 12-1 OVER in all games this season.  They rank 8th in adjusted tempo, 111th in adjusted offense and 352nd in adjusted defense.

The St. Thomas Tommies also profile as an OVER team going 12-3 OVER in all games this season.  They are 147th in adjusted tempo and amazingly 62nd in adjusted offense despite playing in the Summit.  They are 227th in adjusted defense.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* MWC TOTAL OF THE DAY on Nevada/Fresno State OVER 147.5

After being a dead nuts UNDER team for years, the Fresno State Bulldogs got a new head coach in Vance Walberg and a new up-tempo philosophy this season.  Books have struggled to keep up with the drastic change.

Indeed, the Bulldogs are a dead nuts OVER team going 11-5 OVER in all games this season.  They are 5-0 OVER in their last five games overall with 155 or more combined points in all five games.  They rank 5th in adjusted tempo this season.

Nevada is a dead nuts under team that plays at a slow tempo.  But that's why this total has been adjusted down too much.  Fresno State will control the tempo playing at home, and Nevada won't mind running with them as they'll be motivated to end a four-game losing streak and run up the score.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* ACC GAME OF THE WEEK on Wake Forest -2

The Miami Hurricanes are a complete dumpster fire.  Head coach Jim Laranaga resigned after a 4-8 start.  The Hurricanes went on to lose their next three games without him to fall to 4-11 SU & 3-12 ATS this season.

Worse yet, Miami has gone 1-11 SU in its last 12 games overall which includes upset home losses to Mount St. Mary's and Charleston Southern as massive favorites.  The Hurricanes are already on 'quit watch' and we just started ACC play after a 15-point home loss to rival Florida State last time out.

Wake Forest is playing well going 4-1 SU in its last five games with its only loss coming at Clemson.  That includes a 10-point road win at Syracuse and an 18-point home win over NC State.  The Demon Deacons have been off for the last week and will have the rest advantage over the Hurricanes, who just lost on Wednesday at home to FSU and will only have two days in between games.

Leading scorer Nijel Pack (13.9 PPG) is out for the Hurricanes after missing their last five games, which is a big reason for their recent struggles.  Divine Ogochukwu (5.6 PPG) is questionable as well.  Bet Wake Forest Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Valparaiso +8

Valparaiso is one of the most underrated teams in the Missouri Valley this season.  The Beacons are 5-3 SU and 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight games overall.  The losses were as impressive as the wins during this stretch.

Valparaiso only lost by 6 as 10-point home dogs to Drake and by 6 as 14-point road dogs at Bradley.  They also upset Northern Iowa at home, and Missouri State and Western Michigan on the road during this stretch.

This is a massive letdown spot for Murray State.  The Racers are now getting a lot of respect after upsetting both Drake and Northern Iowa on the road in their last two games.  They had gone 1-5 SU & 1-4-1 ATS in their previous six games with their lone win coming by 3 over a bad Loyola-Chicago team.  They were upset by Illinois State in their last home game.  Bet Valparaiso Saturday.

15* Big East TOTAL OF THE DAY on UConn/Georgetown UNDER 143.5

UConn ranks 318th in adjusted tempo this season playing as one of the slowest teams in all of college basketball.  The Huskies just lost 2nd-leading scorer Liam McNeely (13.6 PPG, 5.8 RPG) two games ago and will be without him today.

The Georgetown Hoyas are improved this season but it's largely due to defense rather than offense.  The Hoyas are 119th in adjusted offense but 29th in adjusted defense.  They have been without second-leading scorer Jayden Epps (14.7 PPG) in their last couple games and he is questionable to return today.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Afternoon Total DOMINATOR on North Dakota State/Denver OVER 155.5

North Dakota State is a dead nuts OVER team.  The Bison are 12-3 OVER in all games this season and scoring 82.6 points per game.  They are 5-0 OVER in their last five games overall with 154 or more combined points in all five games, including 160 or more in four of them.

What makes them such an OVER team is that they rank 30th in adjusted offense and 324th in adjusted defense.  They take on a Denver team that ranks 355th in adjusted defense.  So don't expect either team to be getting many stops here.

Denver is 5-0 OVER in its lat five games overall with 157 or more combined points in all five games.  This total is too short today folks.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Illinois-Chicago ML +125

Illinois-Chicago is one of the most underrated teams in the Missouri Valley this season.  The Flames are 11-5 SU & 9-4 ATS this season. They are 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall including upset road wins over Illinois State, Seattle, Little Rock and Missouri State.

The most impressive win of the bunch was handing 12-0 Drake its first loss of the season in a 74-70 upset home win as 6-point dogs.  That gives these teams a recent common opponent as Bradley just lost 64-57 as 2-point home favorites to Drake.

It's been a bad stretch for the overrated Braves who are 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.  They only beat Valpo by 6 as 14-point home favorites, Indiana State by 1 as 3.5-point road favorites and Missouri State by 9 as 11.5-point home favorites.  The Flames just beat Missouri State by 17 on the road last game.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet Illinois-Chicago on the Money Line Saturday.

15* MWC PLAY OF THE DAY on San Jose State -1.5

The San Jose State Spartans are one of the most underrated teams in the country largely due to the fact that head coach Tim Miles is grossly underrated.  The Spartans have gone 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall.

After four consecutive SU losses against a brutal schedule of Boise State (by 2), Colorado State, UNLV (by 6) and Utah State (by 7), the Spartans finally get a reprieve today against the worst team in the Mountain West in Air Force.

The Falcons are 3-12 SU this season.  Their three wins have come against Jacksonville State, Mercyhurt and Stony Brook.  They are legitimately one of the worst teams in all of college basketball.  They lost by 18 to Boise State, 19 to UNLV and 29 to San Diego State recently.  Bet San Jose State Saturday.

15* Atlantic 10 PLAY OF THE DAY on St. Joe's -5

I love the spot for St. Joe's today hosting Loyola Chicago.  The Hawks will be highly motivated for a victory after two consecutive road losses to Saint Louis and Duquesne, which are two of the best teams in the Atlantic 10.

Now the Hawks are back home today and taking on one of the most overrated teams in all of college basketball in Loyola-Chicago.  The Ramblers are 3-5 SU & 1-7 ATS in their last eight games overall.

The three wins came at home against USF by 2 as 10.5-point favorites, at home against Canisius by 12 as 24-point favorites and on the road at lowly La Salle as 2-point favorites.  The losses are concerning as they were upset by Oakland, College of Charleston and Murray State and lost to VCU by 19 and San Francisco by 10.  Bet St. Joseph's Saturday.

15* Big East PLAY OF THE DAY on Georgetown +5

What more does Georgetown have to do to get some respect? The Hoyas are one of the most improved teams in the country and the books have failed to catch up to just how improved they are this season.

The Hoyas are 8-2 SU & 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  The lone losses came on the road at West Virginia by 13 and at Marquette by 8 as 13.5-point dogs.  They beat Xavier by 6 and Creighton by 24 in their two Big East home games this season.

UConn finally had its lucky 8-game winning streak come to an end in their last game, losing 68-66 at Villanova.  Five of the eight wins during that streak came by 6 points or less, so they were simply fortunate in close games.

The Huskies have struggled since losing 2nd-leading scorer Liam McNeely (13.6 PPG, 5.8 RPG) two games ago.  Prior to losing at Villanova, they only beat Providence by 3 at home as 14.5-point favorites.  The Hoyas are live underdogs today.  Bet Georgetown Saturday.

20* Big 12 TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Iowa State/Texas OVER 147

The reason Iowa State is a national championship contender this season is improvement on offense.  The Cyclones are actually the 6th-most efficient offensive team in the country.  They are scoring 86.3 points per game.

Texas Tech is 8th in adjusted offense, so this is a matchup of two Top 10 offenses with a total of only 147.  The Red Raiders rank 3rd in effective FG% and 11th in 3-point percentage.  They are scoring 85.5 points per game.  The OVER is 9-4 in all Texas Tech games this season.

These teams combined for 156 points in their lone meeting last season.  This thing should sail OVER the number again.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Iowa State/Texas Tech Big 12 ANNIHILATOR on Texas Tech ML -125

This is the classic unranked team favored over the ranked team, and not just any ranked team but the No. 3 team in the country in Iowa State.  The Texas Tech Red Raiders are favored for good reason at home today.

Texas Tech just got Toppin back in the lineup and is at full strength.  The Red Raiders promptly went on the road and crushed Utah 93-65 and upset BYU 72-67 in their last two games coming in.

Iowa State only beat Utah by 23 at home in its last game while Texas Tech beat Utah by 28 on the road to give these teams a common opponent.  This will be by far Iowa State's toughest road game of the season after winning by 9 at Iowa and by 10 at Colorado in its previous two road games.  This is a big step up in class for the Cyclones here.  Bet Texas Tech on the Money Line Saturday.

20* MVC TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Belmont/Indiana State OVER 170

Indiana State is a dead nuts OVER team going 12-2 OVER in its 14 games this season.  The Belmont Bruins are also a dead nuts OVER team going 11-4 OVER in all games this season.  This game shapes up to be one of the highest scoring games in college basketball in 2025.

Indiana State ranks 9th in adjusted tempo and 275th in adjusted defense.  Belmont ranks 29th in adjusted tempo and 251st in adjusted defense.  Both teams are much better on the offensive end than they are on defense.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Rockets/Hawks OVER 232.5

Analysis will be posted by Saturday.

20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Grizzlies/Timberwolves OVER 228.5

The Memphis Grizzlies are a dead nuts OVER team.  They rank 1st in pace and 5th in offensive rating despite battling injuries all season.  But now Morant, Jackson Jr. and Bane are all healthy and they are without one of their best defenders in Marcus Smart, making them even more of an OVER team.

This total of 228.5 is very low for a game involving the Grizzlies right now.  The OVER is 6-2 in Grizzlies last eight games overall with 229 or more combined points in seven of those eight games, including 234 or more in six of them.

I think the books have adjusted this total down due to the Minnesota Timberwolves going under the total in each of their last three games.  But they played two dead nuts under teams in the Clippers and Magic, plus the injury-ravaged Pelicans.

The Timberwolves had gone 5-0 OVER in their previous five games against teams that have a pulse on offense.  But they also faced some great defensive teams during that stretch against Houston, Boston and OKC.  This has the making of a shootout.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Jazz/Suns OVER 228

The Utah Jazz are a dead nuts OVER team.  The OVER is 12-4 in Jazz last 16 games overall with 236 or more combined points in 11 of those 16 games. This total of 228 is very low for a game involving the Jazz, who rank 29th in defensive rating.

The Phoenix Suns are fully healthy right now and an elite offensive team when that's the case.  But they rank 22nd in defensive rating this season.  They are coming off a 123-115 home win over the Atlanta Hawks for 238 combined points.  It should be more of the same against the Jazz tonight.

The OVER is 6-0 in the last six meetings between the Jazz and Suns with 230 or more combined points in all six meetings.  They combined for 260 points in their last meeting this season.  Enough said.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Pittsburgh Steelers +10

I was on the Ravens -6 early in their 34-17 win over the Steelers on December 21st.  They closed as 7.5-point favorites.  A big reason I was on the Ravens was because the Steelers were going to be without WR George Pickens, who is arguably their most important player on offense.

Now the Ravens are 10-point home favorites in the rematch, a big adjustment up from that game just three weeks ago.  This despite the fact that the Steelers now have a healthy Pickens and the Ravens will be without their most important receiver in Zay Flowers this time around.  There's clearly value with the Steelers as 10-point underdogs here.

Pickens has 59 receptions for 900 yards and 3 TD for the Steelers this season.  He is their deep threat and allows the Steelers to use the entire field when he is healthy.  Flowers has 74 receptions for 1,059 yards and 4 TD and a huge 24.1% target share for the Ravens this season.   Baltimore is much easier to defend without his playmaking ability on the field.

The Steelers were going in for a 7-point lead when Russell Wilson fumbled inside the 5-yard line in that Baltimore game three weeks ago.  It was still a 7-point game in the 4th quarter despite not having Pickens, and despite losing CB Joey Porter Jr. (70 tackles) early in that contest.  Both will be healthy for this rematch.  The Steelers also didn't have DT Larry Ogunjobi (41 tackles, 6.5 for loss) for that game, and they will have him for this game.  They are basically as healthy as they can possibly be right now.

Pittsburgh is better at defending Lamar Jackson than any other team in the NFL thanks in large part to being so familiar with him. The underdog is 29-11-3 ATS in 42 meetings between the Steelers and Ravens over the last 20 years.  The underdog is 16-3-1 ATS since 2015.  Pittsburgh is 8-1 ATS in franchise history as an underdog of 4 points or more in this series.  Bet the Steelers Saturday.

No. 1 Ranked Overall Capper All-Time! Jack Jones has absolutely CRUSHED the books over the past 7-plus years! He is riding a 5284-4559 Run L2680 Days on all premium plays that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $311,930! He was the No. 6 Ranked Overall Capper in 2022 as well as the No. 8 Ranked Overall Capper in 2023! He finished as the No. 2 Ranked Overall Capper in 2024 with his $1,000/game players up $164,340 since January 1st, 2022!

No. 4 Ranked NFL Capper All-Time! Jack has FIVE Top-10 NFL Finishes (#3 2009, #4 2023, #4 2017, #8 2019, #10 2008) to his credit! He is riding a 545-430 NFL Run that has his $1,000/game players winning $67,380! That includes a 272-200 NFL Run since November of 2021! He delivered an 81-56 NFL Record this past season and finished as the No. 4 Ranked NFL Capper in 2023-24 as a result!

Jack is the No. 1 Ranked Football Capper in 2024-25 and having another monster season on the gridiron! He is riding more recent 68-48 & 12-5 NFL Runs! This pro football money train stays right on track with Jack's NFL Wild Card Weekend 3-Pack for $59.95! Leading the charge is his ONE & ONLY 25* NFL Wild Card GAME OF THE YEAR! Knowing you get this top play alone makes this package worth the price of admission! But you'll also receive his 20* Broncos/Bills AFC No-Brainer along with his 20* Packers/Eagles NFC No-Brainer upon purchase folks!

Sign up and bet with confidence knowing you are GUARANTEED PROFITS or the next day of football is ON JACK!

15* NBA Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Nuggets/Mavs UNDER 231

The Dallas Mavericks are without their two best players in Doncic (28.1 PPG) and Irving (24.3 PPG).  Points are going to be hard to come by for the Mavericks until these two return, and they are going to have to rely a lot more on defense to stay competitive.

They have done a good job of that beating the Lakers 118-97 for 215 combined points and the Blazers 117-111 for 228 combined points in their last two games without them.  The UNDER is 4-2 in Mavericks last six gmaes overall with 228 or fewer combined points in five of those six games.

The Nuggets have their three best players listed as questionable in Jokic (31.6 PPG), Murray (19.0 PPG) and Gordon (13.7 PPG) tonight.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, so don't be surprised if any of these guys sit, especially Murray who got injured last night in a 124-105 win over the Nets for 229 combined points.  

The Nuggets and their opponents have gone for 229 or fewer combined points at the end of regulation in each of their last five games.  This is an early 3:10 EST tip and these games tend to be lower scoring as NBA teams aren't used to playing this early in the day.  Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday.

15* Hornets/Suns NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 224

The Charlotte Hornets are an OVER team as long as La'Melo Ball (29.9 PPG, 7.3 APG) is on the court.  He is healthy and on the court right now for the Hornets, and so is Brandon Miller (21.2 PPG).  The Hornets have battled injuries all season but are about as healthy as they have been all year right now.

The Hornets also come in on four days' rest, so they have a lot of energy and will be looking to push the pace today behind Ball.  I think we are going to get a shootout with the Suns, who are also fully healthy right now with Durant, Beal, Booker and Nurkic all on the court.

The Suns have gone for 123 and 114 points in their last two games with all of these guys.  They will be looking to avenge a 115-104 loss at Charlotte on the 2nd of a back-to-back on January 7th.  It took a miracle to keep that game under the 225.5-point total.

Indeed, the Suns shot 39-of-92 (42%) from the field and 8-of-33 (24%) from 3-point range in that game while the Hornets shot 38-of-98 (39%) from the field and 13-of-47 (28%) from 3-point range.  It still saw 219 combined points.  I have to think both teams will shoot much better in the rematch as they cannot possibly shoot any worse.  It was played at a fast pace and this one will be, too.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* NBA Sunday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Thunder/Wizards OVER 231

The Washington Wizards are a dead nuts OVER team.  They rank 4th in pace and dead last (30th) in defensive rating.  They host an Oklahoma City Thunder team that also likes to play fast ranking 9th in pace and 7th in offensive rating.

This has been a very high-scoring series.  The OVER is a perfect 6-0 in the last six meetings with 228 or more combined points in all six meetings, including 237 or more combined points in five of those six.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* Broncos/Bills AFC Wild Card No-Brainer on OVER 46.5

Josh Allen came out and said the Buffalo Bills were holding things back offensively since being locked into the No. 2 seed in the AFC.  I think they will open it up against Denver and hang a big number here in leading the way to us cashing this OVER 46.5 ticket.

The Bills rank 2nd in scoring offense averaging 30.9 points per game.  Amazingly, Buffalo has scored at least 30 points in 10 of its 11 games overall in games that Allen has started and finished.  I fully expect the Bills to get 30-plus in this one, and if they do we are going to only need 17-plus from Denver, which I think we get.

The Broncos have one of the most underrated offenses in the NFL.  They have scored 24 or more points in seven consecutive games while averaging a whopping 32.6 points per game in those seven games.  Head coach Sean Payton is an offensive genius and is getting everything he can out of Bo Nix.  Payton hasn't shown all his cards yet and is saving them for the playoffs just like the Bills are.

The Broncos have good defensive numbers overall, but that is largely due to playing an easy schedule of opposing offenses.  When they have stepped up in class they have been shredded.  The Ravens put up 41 points on them, the Browns and Jameis Winston put up 32 points and 552 total yards on them, the Chargers put up 34 points and the Bengals put up 30 points on them.

The Bills have had a similar fate defensively.  Since Week 9, the Bills are 30th in success rate defensively.  They allowed 27 points to Miami, 44 to the Rams and 42 to the Lions during this stretch.  The Bills are very soft up the middle defensively, and the Broncos are No. 1 in the league in run block win rate.  Nix should get plenty of help from their running game.  

The OVER is 7-2 in Bills last nine games overall with 50 or more combined points in six of the eight games started and finished by Allen.  The OVER is 10-2 in Broncos last 12 games overall not including their Week 18 game where Kansas City rested all of its starters.  I expect the Bills to get into the 30's and the Broncos to get into the 20's.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* Packers/Eagles NFC Wild Card No-Brainer on Philadelphia -4

The Philadelphia Eagles are the most complete team in the NFC.  They are as healthy as they could possibly be after resting their starters in Week 18.  Jalen Hurts returns this week, he has his full compliment of weapons, and amazingly the Eagles have all 22 starters from Week 1 healthy and on the field heading into the playoffs.

Healthy is a big issue for the Green Bay Packers.  They played their starters in the final two weeks of the season despite both games being pretty much meaningless.  Jordan Love got knocked out of their Week 18 game against the Bears, and they lost his favorite deep target in Christian Watson to a season-ending injury in that game to boot.

The Packers are limping into the postseason.  They managed just 271 total yards in a loss to the Vikings and were upset 24-22 by the Bears in Week 18 as 10-point favorites.  Love will try to play through a right elbow injury.  Watson and his 290 receptions for 620 yards is out.  Four starters are questionable on defense in LB Walker, LB Cooper, SS Williams and NB Bullard.  They are without top CB Jaire Alexander to a season-ending injury.

The Eagles have quietly gone 12-1 SU & 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall.  The only game they lost Hurts got injured early against the Commanders in a 36-33 defeat on the road.  Their defense is elite allowing 20 points or fewer in 11 of their last 13 games during this stretch.  And their offense has taken off since both AJ Brown and Devonta Smith returned to the lineup after a Week 5 bye.  They have scored at least 24 points in 10 of their last 12 games and one game they didn't was in Week 18 when they rested their starters and started a 3rd-string QB.

Love's yards per pass attempt has dipped nearly 2.0 yards when he has been without Watson.  He throws the 2nd-most deep balls in the NFL, but most of that is due to having Watson on the field.  I think the Eagles can bottle up this Green Bay offense, which just hasn't been clicking down the stretch especially without Watson.  This has blowout written all over it.  Bet the Eagles Sunday.