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Jimmy Boyd |
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| FREE PICKS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
| NCAA-F | Oct 24, 2026 Iowa vs. Minnesota |
Iowa -5½ -110 at DRAFTKINGS |
in 1d |
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1* Free Pick on Iowa -5½ SP+ has Iowa 20th in the country at 13.6 and Minnesota 60th at 3.1. That gap is worth more than a touchdown on a neutral field. Even after giving the Gophers full home credit, this number should be closer to 8 than 5.5. The matchup inside the game is even more lopsided. Iowa's defense ranks 13th in SP+. Minnesota's offense ranks 85th. When the Gophers have the ball, they're facing a top-15 unit with a bottom-half attack. Iowa has backed up the ratings on the field. The Hawkeyes are 5-1 through 6 games, scoring 31 a game and allowing just 14.5. They went into Washington two weeks ago and won 41-24. They won at Michigan 20-19 in late September. This team travels fine. Minnesota's 4-2 record is softer than it looks. The Gophers are 3-2 over their last 5, averaging 22.8 points while giving up 24.8. Their last trip out of the building was a 41-13 beating at Purdue. They also got handled 38-13 at home by Mississippi State in September. The common-opponent read backs it up. Iowa beat Washington by 17 on the road. Minnesota needed a 27-24 escape in the same building. The Gophers' home win over Michigan is the one result propping this line up. One good Saturday doesn't close a 10-point ratings gap, and their offense hasn't cracked 21 against a quality defense all month. Better team, better defense, better recent tape, and a number that's at least 2 points short. I like Iowa |
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| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NFL | Oct 22, 2026 Patriots vs Bears |
Patriots +3 -110 at betus |
Lost $110.0 |
| Play Type: Free | ||
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1* Free Pick on Patriots +3 The line says Chicago is the better team. The season says otherwise, and the matchup detail that should scare you off the Patriots doesn't hold up. New England is 4-2 and has won 4 of its last 5, averaging 25.2 points a game over that stretch. Drake Maye threw 3 touchdown passes in Sunday's 26-19 win over the Jets, and A.J. Brown is back in the lineup after missing four games. Chicago is also 4-2, but the profile is softer. The Bears are averaging just 18.2 points over their last 5 and got run off the field 31-7 in Green Bay two weeks ago. The obvious concern is New England's offensive line. Alijah Vera-Tucker and Ben Brown are both doubtful, Morgan Moses is questionable, and Mike Vrabel admitted "I think that Caleb will have to be ready to go at multiple positions." Here's why that concern is overpriced: Chicago can't make them pay. Montez Sweat is suspended through Week 7, and Dayo Odeyingbo, second on the team with 3 sacks, just went on IR. The two best edge rushers on this roster are watching from home. Backup guards against a gutted pass rush is a survivable spot. Caleb Williams looked sharp in his return against Atlanta, but he now faces Christian Gonzalez and a Patriots secondary that has been the strength of this team, on a short week, against a better opponent than the Falcons. Getting a field goal with the team playing better football is the value side. I like the Patriots |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NFL | Oct 22, 2026 Patriots vs Bears |
OVER 50½ -110 |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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5* NO BRAINER on Patriots/Bears: over 50½ The Bears will be without their two best pass rushers Thursday night, and that changes how this total should be priced. Montez Sweat is suspended through Week 7 and Dayo Odeyingbo, second on the team with 3 sacks, just landed on injured reserve. Chicago's pass rush was the one thing that could wreck a patchwork Patriots line. And that line is patchwork. Mike Vrabel said "I think that Caleb will have to be ready to go at multiple positions" with both starting guards trending toward out. Normally that screams under. Not when the defense across from them can't generate pressure. Drake Maye has been producing anyway. He threw 3 touchdown passes against the Jets on Sunday, and New England has scored 26, 45, and 29 in three of its last four games. Chicago just got its engine back. Caleb Williams returned from a hamstring injury and completed his first 12 passes at Atlanta, finishing with 305 yards in a 31-point day. Luther Burden has a 31-361-1 receiving line through six games, and tight end Colston Loveland has 19 catches on 30 targets. The Bears' second level is hurting too. Linebackers T.J. Edwards and Jack Sanborn are both questionable after sitting out early-week work. On the other side, Patriots corner Carlton Davis is questionable after missing two straight with a neck injury. Two 4-2 teams, both offenses rolling, both defenses missing key pieces. New England's last two games produced 62 and 45 total points. This number is beatable. I like the Over |
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PREMIUM PICK STREAKS |
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SERVICE BIO |
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Boyd is a former collegiate golfer and University of Iowa Law grad that ensures you success in every sport he covers. Jimmy's quality sports selections with game-breaking analysis make him a major force in the handicapping industry for years to come. No Brainer: This is one of Jimmy’s highest rated plays. After reading his write-up on the game you will see why this play’s title is so fitting. These picks are reserved for major mismatch advantages and strong value plays. Heavy Hitter: Jimmy’s Heavy Hitter plays are backed by a wealth of statistical analysis and fit into one or more of his many winning systems. This is the well-rounded gem of Jimmy’s top plays, and it covers games from every angle. Vegas Insider: Nobody spots a winning system like Jimmy Boyd. His Vegas Insider label is reserved for plays backed by the strongest systems and trends on the board. Bailout Blowout: There is no better way to end the day than picking up a big win on the final game of the evening. Jimmy’s Bailout Blowouts come on late games and they have built a strong reputation as being a consistent winner. All of Jimmy’s picks get monitored around the web. Jimmy is one of the very few handicappers that have actually earned the stripes to be regarded as a top Industry player. There are not many handicappers in the industry that can match his long term success rates. |
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