Handicapper Jimmy Boyd’s NCAA Basketball Picks & Predictions

	Jimmy Boyd

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Matchup

Selection

W/L

NFLX | Aug 26, 2023
Dolphins vs. Jaguars

Total
41 -110 at

started

1* Free Pick on Dolphins/Jaguars over

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup	Selection	W/L
MLB \| Jun 14, 2026 Braves vs Mets	Mets -122 at betus	Won $100
Play Type: Premium
4* VEGAS INSIDER on Mets -122 Braves starter Bryce Elder carries a shiny 2.66 ERA into Citi Field, but the underlying numbers don't back it up. His xERA sits at 3.03 and his xwOBA at .275 against an actual wOBA of .260. The market is pricing the headline number, not the real one. Mets starter Freddy Peralta has been the opposite story. His 4.04 ERA hides a 3.79 xERA and a .306 xwOBA that beats his .318 actual. He's been pitched against by variance, not by hitters. Elder's road profile is the real tell. On May 27 in Boston he gave up 9 hits and 5 earned runs in 3.1 innings. He's a pitch-to-contact righty walking into a lineup that still runs Juan Soto third and Bo Bichette second. Soto alone can flip a game at this price. The opposition case is real: Atlanta is 46-24, the Mets are missing Lindor and Polanco, and the Braves bullpen has been locked in. I get it. But -122 isn't asking me to bet that the Mets are the better team over 162 games. It's asking whether the Mets win this specific game with Peralta on the mound and Elder due for regression. At a fair price closer to -135 or -140 on the Braves given the records, getting the home side at -122 is the value. Wind blowing out at 15 MPH from the south helps both lineups, and Elder's contact profile travels worse in that environment than Peralta's strikeout stuff. I like the Mets
Matchup	Selection	W/L
MLB \| Jun 14, 2026 Mariners vs Nationals	OVER 9 -110	Won $100
Play Type: Top Premium
5* NO BRAINER on Mariners/Nationals: over 9 The market is buying Mariners starter Emerson Hancock's 2.74 ERA at face value. I'm not. Hancock's Statcast page is screaming. He's running a 4.39 xERA against that 2.74 ERA, a .252 xBA against a .204 BA, and a .450 xSLG against a .348 actual. That's a pitcher who has been lucky for two months and is walking into the worst possible spot to keep getting away with it. The Nationals lead baseball in runs scored at 382 on the year. Keibert Ruiz is sitting on a 1.007 OPS over his last 21 games. James Wood and CJ Abrams are getting on base in front of him. This is not the lineup you want to face when your peripherals say you should be giving up five. Weather pushes it further. 88 degrees, feels like 92, wind 9 mph out of the southwest. The ball carries in that air. Seattle already hung 10 runs in this series. Nationals starter Miles Mikolas is the easy half of this. He's running a 5.90 ERA with a 5.02 xERA, and the home run rate is the real problem against a Seattle lineup that still has Julio Rodriguez and Josh Naylor in the middle. The opposition case is Hancock's five straight starts of two earned or fewer. I get it. But xERA gaps that wide close, and they tend to close in spots exactly like this one: hot day, road start, top offense in the league. Take the points before the market catches up. I like the Over

PREMIUM PICK STREAKS

SERVICE BIO
Boyd is a former collegiate golfer and University of Iowa Law grad that ensures you success in every sport he covers. Jimmy's quality sports selections with game-breaking analysis make him a major force in the handicapping industry for years to come. No Brainer: This is one of Jimmy’s highest rated plays. After reading his write-up on the game you will see why this play’s title is so fitting. These picks are reserved for major mismatch advantages and strong value plays. Heavy Hitter: Jimmy’s Heavy Hitter plays are backed by a wealth of statistical analysis and fit into one or more of his many winning systems. This is the well-rounded gem of Jimmy’s top plays, and it covers games from every angle. Vegas Insider: Nobody spots a winning system like Jimmy Boyd. His Vegas Insider label is reserved for plays backed by the strongest systems and trends on the board. Bailout Blowout: There is no better way to end the day than picking up a big win on the final game of the evening. Jimmy’s Bailout Blowouts come on late games and they have built a strong reputation as being a consistent winner. All of Jimmy’s picks get monitored around the web. Jimmy is one of the very few handicappers that have actually earned the stripes to be regarded as a top Industry player. There are not many handicappers in the industry that can match his long term success rates.

Boyd is a former collegiate golfer and University of Iowa Law grad that ensures you success in every sport he covers. Jimmy's quality sports selections with game-breaking analysis make him a major force in the handicapping industry for years to come.

No Brainer: This is one of Jimmy’s highest rated plays. After reading his write-up on the game you will see why this play’s title is so fitting. These picks are reserved for major mismatch advantages and strong value plays.

Heavy Hitter: Jimmy’s Heavy Hitter plays are backed by a wealth of statistical analysis and fit into one or more of his many winning systems. This is the well-rounded gem of Jimmy’s top plays, and it covers games from every angle.

Vegas Insider: Nobody spots a winning system like Jimmy Boyd. His Vegas Insider label is reserved for plays backed by the strongest systems and trends on the board.

Bailout Blowout: There is no better way to end the day than picking up a big win on the final game of the evening. Jimmy’s Bailout Blowouts come on late games and they have built a strong reputation as being a consistent winner.

All of Jimmy’s picks get monitored around the web. Jimmy is one of the very few handicappers that have actually earned the stripes to be regarded as a top Industry player. There are not many handicappers in the industry that can match his long term success rates.

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