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R&R Totals FREE NFL Over-Under Sunday 10-24-21

OVER 42 1/2 Carolina/NY Giants

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Jack's Free Pick Sunday: New York Jets +7

I like the spot for the New York Jets this weekend.  They are coming off their bye week following a loss to Atlanta in London two weeks ago.  They will be fresh, and they will be out for revenge from a 25-6 home loss to the New England Patriots in their first meeting this season.

But that game was much closer than the final score would indicate.  The Jets gave the game away by being -4 in turnovers.  They actually outgained the Patriots by 76 yards in that contest.  They had 336 yards on offense and only gave up 260 yards on defense.  Some improvement in turnovers will have them covering this game, and Rookie QB Zach Wilson will definitely benefit from the knowledge gained over these two weeks.

This is a terrible spot for the Patriots.  They are coming off three straight one-score games and haven't had their bye week yet.  They went to overtime against the Cowboys last week, which will add to their fatigue.  They are also banged up with 32 players on the injury report.  They are missing several key players on the offensive line and on defense.

Plays on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NY Jets) - a bad team that is getting outscored by 7 or more points per game after scoring 7 points or less in the first half of two straight games are 123-67 (64.7%) ATS since 1983.  The Patriots are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as favorites.  Bet the Jets Sunday.

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Dave's Sunday Free Play:

1* on Atlanta Falcons -1.5

The Key: Road favorites off a bye week have been gold this decade.  The Falcons are coming off their bye week after beating the Jets 27-20 in London in Week 5.  That was a bigger blowout than the score showed as the Falcons had a 220-yard edge after gaining 450 yards on offense.  This team is coming together in recent weeks and should be peaking this week off their bye.  The Dolphins don't get the luxury of a bye after London.  They were upset by the Jaguars last week and had to travel all the way back to Miami.  They are likely to be still hungover from that trip.  They are likely to be without their 3 best players in the secondary, and Matt Ryan should be able to take advantage.  Take Atlanta.

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Rocketman Sports FREE NBA play Sunday 10-24-21

Memphis @ LA Lakers  (9:40 PM EST)
Play On:  LA Lakers -6

The Memphis Grizzlies travel to Los Angeles to take on the Lakers on Sunday night.  Memphis is 2-0 SU overall this year while the LA Lakers come in with an 0-2 SU overall record on the season.  Memphis is 3-8 ATS last 11 games after a SU win.  Memphis is 1-4 ATS last 5 games as an underdog.  Memphis is 1-4 ATS last 5 games as a road underdog.  Memphis is 1-4 ATS last 5 games when playing with no rest.  LA Lakers are 7-2 ATS last 9 games at home vs Memphis.  LA Lakers are 3-0 SU and ATS at home vs Memphis the past 3 years.  We'll recommend a small play on the LA Lakers tonight!  Thanks and good luck, Rocky

Rocky Atkinson has a TOP 8* NBA BEST BET and a 6* NBA play for Sunday. One of the BEST HANDICAPPERS in the world is on an impressive 50-25 67% NBA run over his last 76 picks! Join the same handicapper that has made $1,000/game bettors $22,990 since January 30, 2021!

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My free play is on the Bos Celtics at 7:10 ET.

The Boston Celtics made the Eastern Conference Finals in THREE of four seasons, before going just 36-36 and losing in the playoffs' first round last season. Head coaching 'savior' Brad Stevens is now in the front office and the Celtics have a new head coach in Ime Udoka. Houston was a Western Conference-worst 17-55 last year, as  the Rockets initiated a full rebuild following the early-season trade of James Harden and opened the new season with an exciting, albeit overwhelmingly youthful, roster. Boston opened its season with 138-134 double-OT loss at the Knicks and appeared to run out of gas in the second half of their home opener against the Toronto Raptors on Friday. Boston was outscored 64-36 after the intermission in their 115-83 loss to the Raptors, a defeat in which the Celtics were booed by their home crowd, and first-year coach Ime Udoka described his team as being "punked" and "outplayed" by the Raptors. Houston was 'spanked' 124-106 in its opener at Minnesota but then routed OKC 124-91 back in Houston.

One positive for the Celtics in their loss to the Raptors was the return of veteran Al Horford, who missed the opener against the Knicks following a positive COVID-19 test. Horford added 11 points and 11 rebounds plus added four blocked shots in just over 24 minutes. He felt fine," Udoka said. "He actually wanted to play longer. We wanted to keep him around that 25-minute (restriction), so when his time was done in the fourth, we pulled him there. Brown (27.5 & 6.5) and Tatum (19.0 & 8.5) give Boston two OUTSTANDING players and the team has excellent depth.

Before the Rockets traded James Harden to Brooklyn and initiated their rebuild, Houston signed free agent forward/center Christian Wood with the intent of showcasing his offensive versatility. Wood averaged 21.0 PPG and 9.6 RPG in 41 games before getting hurt last season and opened this season with a clean bill of health. Wood scored 31 points and grabbed 14 rebounds in the Rockets' 124-91 victory over the Thunder on Friday, after getting 16 & 9 in the Wednesday loss at Minnesota. Veteran guard Gordon is still around and he's second on the team by averaging 18.5 PPG. The Rockets had a great haul in the recent draft with SG Jalen Green (No. 2 overall pick bypassed college to play in last year's G-League) plus the 6-10 Alperen Sengun (Turkey), the 6-8 Usman Garuba (Spain), and guard Josh Christopher (ASU). 2nd-year head coach Stephen Silas needs to blend that youth with veterans like Wall (?), Gordon, Augustin and Theis.

The Rockets should be seeing a light at the end of the tunnel by season's end but for tonight, I'm backing the Celtics to NOT fall to 0-3 and will lay the points.

Good luck...Larry

1* Free Pick on Bears +12 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

1* NFL - Falcons/Dolphins FREE PICK on Falcons -1.5

Sunday's Free NFL Pick is on the Atlanta Falcons as a slim 1.5-point road favorite against the Miami Dolphins. I would have never guess that the Falcons would be a road favorite this season after how they looked to start, but I also didn't think this Dolphins team was going to be in this bad of shape. Miami has lost 5 straight since opening the season with a road win at New England. That includes last week's 20-23 loss in London to the winless Jaguars. While most teams take their bye week after London to help their players deal with the jet lag, Miami chose not to. I believe that's a big mistake and to make matters worse they are facing a fresh Atlanta team that is coming off of their bye. Falcons have also looked better of late, especially Matt Ryan. He's thrown for over 600 yards with a 6-0 TD-INT ratio in his last two games. It has come against some bad teams, but Miami is bad too, so there's every reason to think he will keep it going. Bet the Falcons -1.5! 

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1* Free Wiseguy Play on Blackhawks -156

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Chiefs/Titans OVER 57.5

No need to overthink this one.  This game is going to be a shootout between two of the best offenses and two of the worst defenses in the NFL.  The problems for the Chiefs are not on offense.  They are scoring 30.8 points per game this season.  The problems are on defense, where they have the worst unit in the NFL giving up 29.3 points and 410.5 yards per game.  The Titans have another great offense this year at 27.7 points per game.  But they have another soft defense, allowing 26.8 points and 384 yards per game.  Both meetings between these teams the last two seasons were shootouts.  The Chiefs won 35-24 at home for 59 combined points.  The Titans won 35-32 at home for 67 combined points.  Give me the OVER.

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1* Free Sharp Play on Benfica -230

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Sunday card has the AFC North Game of the year from a 19-1 system dating to 1983, the Executive Level TIER 1 Total, the Sunday night NFL Play of the Month on NBC, along with NBA and NHL. Comp Play below.

On Sunday the NFL Comp Play is on the LA. Rams at 4:05 eastern. The Rams are laying 16 here. However they fit a powerful system that plays on home favorites from -10.5 to -16.5 that are off a pair of road favored wins and covers. These teams long term are 27-0 with a 20-5-2 spread mark. The Rams have covered 26 of 35 vs NFC Teams and the last 3 in the series. The Lions have failed to cover 10 of 13 after rushing for 90 or less yards, 17 of 21 after allowing more than 250 through the air and 4 of 5 vs winning teams. The Move to Stafford has paid off well so far. Goff for the Lions not so much. Look for the Rams to cover. On Sunday the AFC North Play of the year headlines along with a Top Executive Level TIER 1 Total, Sunday night Play of the Month, NBA and NHL. Jump on as we end the week big. For the Comp play. Lay it with LA. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports.

Texans vs Cardinals Free Pick October 24, 2021

Sure, the undefeated Arizona Cardinals are the much superior side and they can pretty much name the score in this one, but I think Houston can keep this within the number. The Cardinals are in a potential look-ahead spot as they have Green Bay on deck on Thursday, and while the Texans are only 1-5 SU, they have covered the spread in three of their six games. Arizona is 5-1 ATS on the season, which should mean regression is imminent.

Free pick on Houston Texans. 

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This is a Free Play on the MIAMI DOLPHINS for our NFL Sunday Free Play. Miami is coming off a loss last week in London against Jacksonville and that victory for the Jaguars snapped their 20-game losing streak. Teams typically have the next week off but the Dolphins opted out of that option and will be suiting up this week. The Dolphins were -2.5 on the early line over the Falcons, but because they lost a game against the Jaguars without Devante Parker and their top two cornerbacks, they are now +2.5 and that is a huge line shift with two teams that are not that far away from each other. There was a positive in the loss as quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, who missed significant time, returned to the field in London and had a strong game with a career high 329 yards passing and two touchdowns. Atlanta played its last game in London as well and had its bye week last week. The Falcons are 2-3 with the two wins coming against the Jets and Giants, which are a combined 2-9. Miami is in that category record wise but are much more talented and should getting some of their injured stars back. The Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a road favorite while Miami is 6-0 ATS in its last six games after gaining 400 or more total yards in its previous game. Play (460) Miami Dolphins

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Though I had a solid winning Week 6 overall, I lost a tough one with New England. The Patriots played a red hot Dallas team tough. For most of the game, things played out pretty much as I had expected them to. After a wild finish to the fourth quarter, New England got the ball first in OT. Getting more than a field goal, I liked my chances. Unfortunately, the Cowboys would go on to score a touchdown. Though I don't think the Jets are quite as bad as their record suggests, they're obviously a step down in class from Dallas. The Pats already handled them by a 25-6 score. The question becomes, how will New England respond to the difficult loss? Remember, the Pats were also off a tough loss (17-16 vs. Miami) the first time that they faced the Jets. Yet, they bounced back without an issue. Also, recall that they picked off Wilson four times in that game. With b2b road games on deck, followed by Cleveland, New England can't afford to squander this opportunity. If the line stays at a touchdown or less, consider laying the points. 

Play - NY Giants (Game 454).

Edges - Giants: 5–1-1 AST versus NFC South opponents, and 4-1 ATS n this series … Panthers: 0-3 SUATS with RB Christian McCaffrey this season, and 1-4 ATS as non-division road favorites of less than 5 points. We recommend a 1* play on the NY Giants. Thank you and good luck as always.

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Mikey Sports FREE NBA play Sunday 10-24-21

Oklahoma City +7

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NFL Free Pick - Carolina at New York Giants

The Panthers (3-3) are on a three-game skid, losing their past two at home. They're 0-2 against NFC East members. To avoid another slip-up against a team from that division, Carolina will have to figure out quite a few things on offense. That could boost a defense that might be getting worn down late in some games.The Panthers had less than 27 minutes of possession time in Sunday's overtime loss to the Minnesota Vikings, so that might have been part of Rhule's concern. The Giants (1-5) have given coach Joe Judge lots to assess as they try to get something going. Carolina will remain without injured running back Christian McCaffrey. But Rhule said rookie Chuba Hubbard, who has 281 rushing yards this season, has shown the ability to pick up crucial yards. While Darnold has received attention this year based on a few running plays for touchdowns, it's Giants quarterback Daniel Jones who has been a more accomplished ballcarrier. In the past two-plus seasons, he's the third-leading quarterback in the NFL in rushing yards with 903. . With McCaffrey on the IR, and the Panthers 1-4 ATS as non-division road chalk of fewer than 5 points, look for the Giants to improve on its 5-1-1 ATS record versus NFC South opponents today.
 
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#457/458 ASA FREE PLAY ON Over 57 Points – Kansas City vs Tennessee, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET - We don’t see either team stopping the other in this game. Both teams rank in the bottom 5 in the NFL in defensive efficiency (YPP allowed). They rank 31st and 28th in defensive DVOA. Chiefs games averaging over 60 PPG and Tennessee games averaging 54.5 PPG. Last week Chiefs scored 31 on Washington and they turned the ball over inside the 35 yard line 3 times including once inside the 10. They could have easily topped 40 in that game. Tennessee lit up a very good Buffalo defense scoring 34 on Monday night. The Titans averaged 7.1 YPP vs Buffalo defense that came in allowing 4.3 YPP and 6.6 YPC vs Bills which were allowing 3.7 YPC. On the other side of the ball the Titan defense couldn’t stop the Bills who put up 31 points. Since Tannehill took over as Titans starting QB they are 25-6-1 to the OVER. This is absolutely going to be a game where each offense will have to keep up with the other. Both offenses match up perfectly vs the opponent’s defensive weakness as KC is poor stopping the run and Tennessee struggles vs the pass. Both teams are more than capable of getting into the 30’s here. This one goes Over the total.

Overall, this football season, between college and pro, my BIG GAME releases are a whopping, 18-5. Sunday, I only have BIG GAMES: 22-7-1 BOOKIE BUSTER, 27-6 CONSENSUS, 5-1 HIGH ROLLER, SUNDAY NIGHT LATE BAILOUT. If you’re looking for a HUGE PAYDAY, then all you gotta’ do, is follow Joe D on Sunday.

FREE NFL WINNER: New England Patriots.

Game 462.

10:00 am pst.

The old days, New England was a two or even as much as a three TD favorite in this matchup. Laying just one TD is a gift folks. These two division rivals met just one month ago, with the Patriots prevailing, 25-6.

Belichick and his defensive coaches bewildered the Jets, sacking Zach Wilson four times and snatching four interceptions. And most importantly, not allowing a single touchdown. Mac Jones is certainly much further along presently. He and the ever-improving Patriots offense, which have accounted for 56 points the last two games, will have a ton of time to wear down the mediocre Jets defense and cross the goal line. New York is the worst scoring team in the NFL. Guys, they account for a mere, 13.4 PPG. Which is just laughable. And facing the 9th ranked New England “D”, things go from laughable to downright hysterical. The Jets are 5-15 ATS the last 20 games played vs. the AFC East, 7-19 the last 26 games played on the road, and 1-5 the last six games played overall. Belichick knows he needs division wins badly and he gets a big one here. Take the Patriots. Thank you.  

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Washington at Green Bay 1:00 ET

Formers Skins (+) over Packers- Green Bay is not only 5-1 straight but ATS as well and is coming off their usual win over the Bears in Chicago with Aaron Rodgers pounding his chest after the victory. Meanwhile, Washington is making the news for all the wrong reasons as their defense which was so vaulted last year has failed miserably this season allowing 31 points a game and allowing opponents a 58% success rate on third down conversion attempts. The Former Skins are just 1-5 ATS but are 7-3 Ats in their last 10 road games against teams with winning records. The Packers are 2-5 ATS at home against teams with losing records. Take WASHINGTON!

draw +218

Ceara 1

Bahia  1

The free soccer play takes place Wednesday in South America.

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The Eagles and Jalen Hurts have played their best on the road. Philly is 2-1 away from home and Hurts has thrown five of his eight TD passes and completed 66.7 percent of his throws in away contests compared to 57.7 percent at home.  The Raiders won an emotional division game last week beating Denver. That was their first game without Jon Gruden. Now Las Vegas is favored against the Eagles, who are on extra rest and prep time having played last Thursday.   I don't trust the Raiders in their second game without Gruden, who was an astute offensive game-planner. The Broncos have lost and failed to cover four in a row. Their wins were against the Giants, Jaguars and Jets. So beating Denver is not that big of an accomplishment.  Las Vegas already has lost to the Bears at home and needed overtime to slip past the Dolphins at home.  Hurts and Miles Sanders, who is way overdue for a big game, can hurt the Raiders on the ground. Hurts has five rushing TD's, most of any quarterback. He also has the second most quarterback rushing yards behind Lamar Jackson.  The Raiders rank 25th in run defense and 30th in rushing yards. The return of All-Pro offensive lineman Lane Johnson is a huge plus for the Eagles. It's a huge negative for the Raiders if Darren Waller can't play.  Las Vegas relies on big plays. The Eagles, though, rank second-best in the league in allowing the fewest plays of 20 or more yards. 
    

FREE PICK: San Francisco 49ers -4
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 472

I will gladly lay the 4-points at home with the 49ers as they will host the Colts on Sunday Night Football in Week 7. I just think this is way too good a price to pass up with the 49ers. Yes, San Francisco is just 2-3 SU, but their 3 losses have come against the Packers, Seahawks and Cardinals, all by 7 points or less. Keep in mind they lost starting quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo in the middle of their game against Seattle and didn't have him in the loss to Arizona. 

He's back this week and I think he's a massive upgrade over Trey Lance. There was a lot of hype around Lance, but the guy is not a good passer of the football. He's got a great arm, but he's got no touch and is not equipped to beat NFL defenses at this stage of his career. 

You also have a 49ers team that is coming off their bye and will be extremely motivated to get back in the win column after losing their 3 games before the bye. 

The Colts are 2-4 with their only two wins coming against two bad teams in the Dolphins and Texans. I just think that people remember the first 3 quarters they played against Baltimore on MNF a couple weeks ago. I just don't trust Carson Wentz and that Indy defense hasn't been as good as what we thought it would be this year. Give me the 49ers -4! 

Cincinnati,  ranks dead last with  55.0 offensive plays per game on the road tied with other  two team this season. They will go against a Baltimore  team that likes to play fast at home ,with 68.7 plays per game on average . When averaging this out as compared to my defensive power ranking charts I come out of this with a mathematical advantage compared to the Totals number being offered based on my projected output. 

Taylor is 6-0 UNDER in road games off a non-conference game as the coach of CINCINNATI with a combined average of 36.6 ppg scored. CINCINNATI is 14-1 UNDER (+12.9 Units) in road games vs. dominant ball control teams, 32+ minutes TOP, 21 or more  FD's per game  with a combined average of 38,3 ppg going on the board. 

Harbaugh is 10-1 UNDER  in home games after a win by 21 or more points as the coach of BALTIMORE with a combined average of 39.7 ppg scored. ( the Ravens won 34-6 vs the Chargers lat weak behind a tremendous defensive effort) BALTIMORE is 8-0 UNDER   vs. excellent passing teams averaging 7.5 or more passing yards/att. over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 36 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

Sunday NFL Free play. My selection is on Cincinnati plus the points over Baltimore at 1 pm et on Sunday.

The Ravens absolutely decimated the Bengals in two meetings last year but I'm willing to bet on Cincinnati to do a better job of competing with its divisional big brother on Sunday afternoon. We won with Baltimore last week as it routed the Chargers. Keep in mind, the Ravens were an unpopular play in that one, despite laying less than a field goal at home. Here, we're catching nearly a touchdown with a Bengals squad that hasn't lost a game by more than a field goal this season. I like the way Cincinnati has responded to adversity each and every time it has been presented with it so far this season. In Week 1, they coughed up a late lead against the Vikings and Minnesota was driving for the winning score in overtime before the Bengals forced a turnover and ultimately won the game. After a brutal showing in Chicago in Week 2 (they still only lost by three points), the Bengals responded the next week with a two-touchdown win in Pittsburgh. Then after falling in overtime against the Packers after missing a number of opportunities they stepped up and delivered a blowout win in Detroit. You get the picture. Even if Cincinnati falls behind in this game, I'm confident in its ability to bounce back and ultimately keep this game competitive. Take Cincinnati.

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