Free MLB Picks

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach MLB Game #970 Saturday Free Pick Oakland A's Money Line (-) vs Houston Astros @ 4:05 ET - This line is at a pick'em price and this is offering great line value with Trevor Cahill on the mound for the A's. The Oakland right-hander is 3-0 with a 0.99 ERA in his 7 home starts this season. Though his numbers against the Astros appear a little sub-par on the surface, the fact is that he faced them both times at Houston. Cahill is a much different pitcher when he is at home plus note that he allowed only 7 hits in 9 and 2/3 innings spanning those two road starts at Houston this season. As for Astros southpaw Dallas Keuchel, he had a great start at Oakland in May but, prior to that he went 0-2 with 10 earned runs allowed in less than 13 innings of work spanning his last two starts versus the A's. One of those outings was also this season and the other was late last season. In other words, those results are still very valid in terms of analyzing what to expect in today's match-up. Also, Keuchel allowed 4 homers in those two starts versus the A's. As for Cahill, he has given up 1 homer against the Astros in 3 career starts. Also, with last night's loss, Houston is now just 1-6 in their last 7 starts. The A's are a red hot 12-3 in their last 15 games. Free Pick OAKLAND

The Pirates bats have gone ice cold as they have managed only nine runs during their current five-game losing streak including a pair of 1-0 losses to the Cubs to open this series. To their credit, they have faced some tough pitching along the way and they get a break today in a good spot to break out. Despite the loss last night, the Pirates are 11-4 in their last 15 games when their opponent scores two runs or less in their previous game. Chicago has won three straight games and it now has a 4.5-game lead over Milwaukee in the National League Central. This has not been a good spot as the Cubs are 1-6 in seven games this season after allowing one run or less in two straight games while going 3-11 in their last 14 games coming off two straight road wins against a division rival. Tyler Chatwood gets the ball for Chicago and he will be making his first start since July 26th after making three relief appearances. Overall, he has a 5.06 ERA and 1.80 WHIP and the Cubs have won his last five starts despite him posting a 7.71 ERA over that stretch only because of good run support. That should not happen tonight as Joe Musgrove has been pitching well with four straight quality outings and he has been on the wrong side of run support as he has gotten just three runs over the last three games. Here, we play against teams after shutting out a division rival, starting an over rested pitcher who is working on seven or more days rest. This situation is 42-16 (72.4 percent) over the last five seasons. Play (956) Pittsburgh Pirates

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Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Oakland A’s -104 

Believe it or not, the Oakland A’s actually have a chance to tie the Houston Astros for 1st place in the AL West with a win tonight.  They were 10 games out after a loss to the Astros on July 10th.  But they’ve gone 22-8 since, while the Astros have struggled to a 12-16 mark thanks to several injuries in their lineup and a shaky bullpen. 

I’ll gladly back Oakland’s Trevor Cahill tonight.  He is 4-2 with a 3.39 ERA and 1.104 WHIP in 14 starts this season, including a perfect 3-0 with a 0.99 ERA and 0.832 WHIP in seven home starts.  He has only given up 11 base runners and one homer in 9 2/3 innings against the Astros this season, and this will be his first home start against them. 

Dallas Keuchel isn’t exactly pitching to his Cy Young form from a couple seasons ago.  He is 9-9 with a 3.48 ERA and 1.239 WHIP in 25 starts this season.  Keuchel has struggled in recent starts against the A’s, going 1-2 with a 4.79 ERA in his last three starts against them, giving up 4 homers and 11 earned runs in 20 2/3 innings. 

Oakland is 39-13 in its last 52 games overall.  The A’s are 18-4 in their last 22 home games.  Oakland is 9-1 in its last 10 home games vs. a left-handed starter.  The A’s are 6-0 in Cahill’s last six starts.  The Astros are 1-6 in their last seven games overall.  Bet the A’s Saturday.

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Saturday's FREE MLB WINNER: Los Angeles Dodgers.

Game 979.

7:10 pm pst.

Los Angeles is one of the best teams in baseball in Interleague play as the Dodgers are 25-12 the L37 IL contests. As a matter of fact, LA has taken 6 straight over Seattle, going back to 2012. Today, they send Rich Hill to the bump. The LH is 3-0 with a 1.78 over 5 starts since the All-Star Break. Over his career, the LH is 4-0 with a 0.39 ERA in 6 games (3 starts) at Safeco park. Erasmo Ramirez is 0-2 with a 6.75 record this year. the RH is just 5-5 with a 5.57 mark in 21 IL games (11 starts). The Mariners are 1-5 the L6 IL games, 1-6 the L7 at home, and 3-14 in Ramirez's L17 starts vs. teams with a winning record. Take the Dodgers. Thank you.

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1* Free Pick on San Diego Padres +126

The Padres will be extremely motivated here to snap a 5-game losing streak and I expect them to do just that. San Diego has just the guy on the mound to get them back in the win column.

Clayton Richard has had all kinds of success at Petco Park and is coming into this one off a great outing at home against the Angels, where he allowed just 2 runs on 4 hits in 8 innings. Richard has yet to face the Diamondbacks at home, but was 2-0 with a 1.15 ERA in 15 2/3 innings at home against them last year.  

Arizona will counter with Zack Godley, who has been lights out of late, but owns a miserable 5.06 ERA and 1.601 WHIP in 13 road starts. It's also important to note that the Diamondbacks come in having won 3 straight, which has been a profitable situation to fade them. Arizona is a mere 4-11 in their last 15 after 3 or more consecutive wins. Look for the Padres to finish on top in this one. Take San Diego! 

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10* FREE MLB PICK (Under 7.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the UNDER 7.5 in Saturday's NL East afternoon clash between the Phillies and Mets. This one shouldn't need a whole lot of explanation, as we have two of the top NL starters squaring off. New York's Jacob deGrom will be up against Philadelphia's Jake Arrieta. Despite a mere 7-7 record, deGrom has posted a ridiculous 1.81 ERA and 0.969 WHIP in 24 starts. He's on his game right now, as he has a 1.74 ERA and 31 strikeouts in 20 2/3 innings over his last 3 starts. Arrieta has a 2.70 ERA and 1.050 WHIP in his last 3 starts and in his lone start against the Mets this season, he allowed just 5 hits over 7 1/3 shutout innings. I just don't see either team doing much of anything offensively in this one. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-103) 

The Cleveland Indians have won six in a row and 11 of their last 13 games overall.  They should handle the Baltimore Orioles by at least two runs today.  The Orioles are now a ridiculous 50 games under .500 at 36-86.  The have gone 1-7 in their last eight games overall and are just playing out the string.  The Indians should be able to get to Alex Cobb, who is 3-15 with a 5.24 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 22 starts this year, including 3-8 with a 5.38 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 14 road starts.  Adam Plutko is 3-0 with a 4.91 EAR and 1.04 WHIP in three home starts for the Indians this season.  He has walked just one batter in 18 innings at home and will be taking the place of the injured Trevor Bauer in the rotation.  The Orioles are 4-18 in Cobb’s 22 starts this season and losing by 2.9 runs/game.  Baltimore is 1-14 in Cobb’s 15 starts vs. an AL team with a batting average of .265 or worse this season and losing by 3.9 runs/game.  Give me the Indians on the Run Line.

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Dave’s Saturday Free Play: 

1* on Pittsburgh Pirates -110 

The Key: The Pittsburgh Pirates will be hungry to end a 5-game losing streak, including losing the first two games of this series to the Cubs by a single run each.  They have the edge on the mound today and should get back in the win column because of it.  Joe Musgrove is 4-7 with a 3.49 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 13 starts this year, including a 2.25 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in his last 3 outings.  Tyler Chatwood is 4-5 with a 4.88 ERA and 1.78 WHIP in 19 starts for the Cubs.  He has walked 85 batters in 94 innings as control has clearly been an issue that he hasn’t been able to fix.  Musgrove is 1-1 with a 2.08 ERA in 2 lifetime starts against the Cubs.  Chatwood is 0-1 with a 3.71 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against the Pirates. He faced Pittsburgh once this season and allowed 5 earned runs in 5 innings of a 5-8 loss.  Take Pittsburgh.

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