Free MLB Picks

1* Best Bet on Guardians +123

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Mike Lundin's White Sox vs Angels MLB Free Pick June 27, 2022

White Sox Lucas Giolito has an ERA of 3.93 and 45 strikeouts in six career starts covering 34 1/3 innings versus the Angels. Noah Syndergaard has an ERA of 0.00 and 13 strikeouts in two appearances (one start) covering 8 1/3 frames against the White Sox in his career.

Under is 13-5-2 in White Sox last 20 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 7-1-1 in Angels last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 17-6-4 in Angels last 27 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

FREE PICK ON UNDER. 

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1* Free Sharp Play on Twins vs Guardians under 8 +105

The UNDER (8) is worth a look in Monday's MLB action between the Twins and Guardians. Hard to see these two teams going over this mark. Cleveland's Triston McKenzie and Minnesota's Sonny Gray will be facing off in this one. McKenzie has a 3.41 ERA in 12 starts and a 2.76 ERA in 3 home starts. Gray has a 2.53 ERA in 9 starts and is only slightly worse away from home with a 2.84 ERA in 3 road starts. Play the UNDER 8!

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Rangers -128

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS for our Monday Free Play. St. Louis lost its series with the Cubs over the weekend and might have starting pitcher Jack Flaherty las he just two innings before leaving with shoulder stiffness and that would be a big blow to the staff. The Cardinals have dropped three of their last four games and are now a game behind Milwaukee in the National League Central. They remain home where they are 22-15 and are hitting .254, fourth highest in the National League, while posting a 3.62 ERA, which is No. 7 in the league. Adam Wainwright is coming off a couple poor starts but those were on the road and he has a 2.68 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in six home outings. St. Louis is 15-4 when the money line is between -100 to -150 this season. Miami salvaged the series finale against the Mets on Sunday with a 3-2 victory and finished its homestand with a 4-2 record. The Marlins are five games under .500 overall and while solid at home, they have not been good on the road, going 14-22 and both sides are to blame. Miami is hitting only .288 away from home and the team ERA is 4.22 with the bullpen being the big problem, posting a 5.12 ERA. Pablo Lopez has been solid all around with a 2.61 ERA and 1.06 WHIP and that is keeping the number for St. Louis very manageable. Miami is 9-27 in its last 36 road games against the money line after allowing two runs or less over the last two seasons. Here, we play on National League favorites with a money line of -110 or higher with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season, after a game where the bullpen threw eight or more innings. This situation is 171-63 (73.1 percent) since 1997. Play (904) St. Louis Cardinals

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The Sox just saw all four of their games against Baltimore stay below the total. With Giolito on the mound, this evening's game against LA figures to be higher-scoring. Giolito's last five starts have all finished above the total. All five of them finished with more than 10 runs. In fact, the five games averaged more than 14 runs each. Over that 5-game span, Giolito served up nine HR's. Speaking of long balls, Syndergaard got taken deep twice in his last start. Consider the Over. 

R&R Totals FREE MLB Over-Under Monday 6-27-22

UNDER 7 1/2 Baltimore/Seattle (Wells/Kirby) Listed

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Great come-from-behind road victory by the Dodgers against the Braves Sunday night. But that 11-inning victory could leave LA vulnerable for this matchup against the Rockies in Colorado. 

The Rockies are far more competitive at home where they are .500 compared to a 12-23 road record. Colorado swept three games from the Padres during its previous home series. 

Dodgers starter Tyler Anderson has been highly impressive this season, but he has shown signs of cooling off. His ERA is 4.41 during his past three starts. 
The Rockies have the highest home batting average in baseball at .279. They also rank first in on base percentage at home and are second in slugging percentage at home. Clearly, the Rockies know how to take advantage of Coors Field. 

That holds true, too, for Rockies starter Chad Kuhl. He's 4-5 with a 3.95 ERA. However, Kuhl has pitched better at Coors Field with a 2-2 record and 3.29 ERA there this season.

Monday's MLB Free Pick: Colorado Rockies +175

I'll take my chances with the Rockies as a +175 home dog against the Dodgers in Monday's series opener. This to me is just too good a price to pass up on Colorado. LA is coming off a big 3-game series against the Braves that ended with an extra innings affair last night.  Could be tough for them to get up for this game. 

Colorado is not a real threat and have lost 5 of their last 6. That stretch was all on the road. Rockies are a different team at home and you got to think they show up with a big effort against the Dodgers. 

I also like who Colorado has on the mound. Chad Kuhl is just 4-5 with a 3.95 ERA and 1.434 WHIP in 13 starts, but has posted a very strong 3.29 ERA and 1.207 WHIP in 5 home starts this year. Give me the Rockies +175! 

Confidence Rating: 5 (Scale of 1-10)

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*action on pitchers* MLB Monday Free Pick OVER 8.5 in Kansas City Royals vs Texas Rangers @ 8:10 ET - The Rangers should hammer a struggling Bubic. I like overs in spots like this when it is the road team with the better pitcher on the mound because usually the home team is destined to get their runs regardless. At the same time the road team should pound at the plate when they face a struggling pitcher even though they are away from home and that is the set up we have here. Bubic is 0-3 with a 7.78 ERA at home this season. As strong as Perez has been for Texas this season, he has allowed 20 hits in 12 innings in his last two road starts. More of the same here. The Royals have scored an average of 6 runs per game last 7 home games. The Rangers have scored an average of 7 runs per game last 6 road games. Free Pick OVER 8.5 in Kansas City 

Monday MLB Free play. My selection is on Toronto over Boston at 7:05 pm et on Monday.

The Blue Jays didn't have a good weekend in Milwaukee. In fact, they had a rotten road trip as a whole, dropping two of three games against both the White Sox and the Brewers. I do expect them to bounce back as they return home to host the division-rival Red Sox on Monday. Connor Seabold will get his first start of the season for the Red Sox. He's been called up out of necessity as the Sox deal with some injuries in their starting rotation. I don't expect them to ask much from the rookie here, noting that he made just one appearance with the big club last season, allowing two earned runs, including a home run, over three innings of work. The Jays will counter with Kevin Gausman. He's been a bit of an enigma lately. Toronto's big offseason acquisition has actually lived up to billing by most accounts, posting a ridiculous 1.75 FIP and 1.28 WHIP. However, the Jays have lost each of his last four starts. He did pitch well in his most recent start, yielding just two earned runs over six innings but the Jays bullpen couldn't nail it down in the ninth inning. Toronto's relief corps' has certainly struggled lately but does own a respectable 1.33 WHIP with 14 saves converted and only four blown at home this season. Look for the Jays bats to come alive on Monday and help relieve some of the pressure on that overworked 'pen. Take Toronto.

Sean delivered an 8-1 MLB weekend keyed by a 3-0 SWEEP on Sunday! In fact, he went a PERFECT 5-0 overall on Sunday, also capping off an INCREDIBLE 6-1 Stanley Cup Final with the Avs and the 'under'! Join Murph on Monday as his RED HOT 37-19 MLB run continues!