NCAA-F  |  Sep 06, 2026
Washington State vs. Washington
OVER
50½ -110
  at  PLAYMGM
in 14h

1* Free Pick on Washington State/Washington: over 50½

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

NCAA-F  |  Sep 06, 2026
Washington State vs. Washington
OVER
50½ -110
  at  PLAYMGM
in 14h
1* FREE INFO PLAY Washington State vs Washington over 50½ -110
NCAA-F  |  Sep 06, 2026
Louisville vs. Ole Miss
Louisville
+7 -115
  at  PLAYMGM
in 18h

Louisville +7 in Nashville is the side I want you holding. Not because Ole Miss is a mirage. Because 7 is too much juice to lay in a rented building before either offense has taken a real snap. Neutral site, ranked-on-ranked, first Sunday of the year. That is how hooks get fat.

You are not fading the Rebels to lose. You are fading them to win by more than a touchdown while both staffs are still installing. That is a different ticket. 27-24 Ole Miss cashes. 24-21 cashes. 23-20 Louisville is the gift. The moneyline is a dart. The number is the work. Public money will hammer the higher logo because it travels and it is on ABC. That is how plus-7 gets to the window looking like value instead of a prayer.

Do not buy this down to +6.5 and pay extra juice to sleep better. The 7 is the reason I am writing it. Sit on your hands. Let the first-game rust show up on both sidelines. If Ole Miss is up 14-0 at the half and still cannot punch the second one in, that hook starts earning its keep.

Bet Louisville plus the number as an underdog of 4.5 to 8.5 on a neutral site.
That spot since 2023: 11-6 (64.7%) with an average spread of +6.3. (+4.4 units, ROI=23.5%)

Bet the dog in Week 1 ranked-on-ranked games posted between 4.5 and 8.
That spot since 2022: 16-10 (61.5%) with an average spread of +6.1. (+4.8 units, ROI=16.8%)

Bet against a favorite of 6 to 7.5 in a neutral-site opener.
That spot since 2023: 18-11 (62.1%). (+5.7 units, ROI=17.9%)

If the Rebels hang 35, we tip the cap and move on. If this thing lives in the 20s, the points do what we paid them to do. That is the bet. Take the 7. Do not overthink the logo.