NCAA-F  |  Dec 07, 2019
Virginia vs. Clemson
-28 -109
in 1d

1* NCAAF - Free Pick on Clemson Tigers -28

I got no problem laying the big number here with Clemson in the ACC Championship Game. It's crazy to think that there could be this big of a gap in a Power 5 conference, which might tempt some people to take the points. Not me. In fact, I think there's some value here with the Tigers at this price. 

Clemson has to be the least hyped defending champ to finish the regular-season undefeated that I can remember. I think it's worked in the Tigers' favor, as it's allowed them to play with a chip on their shoulder. Last year's national championship was great, but Clemson is on a mission to keep winning and become the same kind of dynasty that Alabama has been for the last decade plus. 

No disrespect to Virginia, but they got no shot of keeping this game close. The Cavaliers outscored their ACC opponents by a respectable 7.9 ppg and outgained them by 27.8 ypg. That's great an all, but Clemson was +35.7 ppg and +319.7 ypg. 

Last year it was a similar story against Pitt in the ACC title game and the Tigers won that contest 42-10 as a 27-point favorite. The year before they rolled Miami 38-3 as a mere 10-point favorite. 

Tigers are 15-5 ATS last 20 games played on a neutral field and a perfect 6-0 on a neutral site if the total is between 49.5 and 56. They are also 7-0 ATS last 7 road games when they come in having won 7 or more consecutive games and are winning in this spot by 33.7 ppg. Take Clemson!