Freddy Wills Freddy Wills

Top 10 NFL and College Handicapper and long term winner on sportscapping network. 10 of 13 winning football seasons +409% ROI.

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September has always been one of my stronger months.  Here are some long term trends for September. 

166-113 Last 279 NFL plays +153% 

278-226 Last 504 NCAAF Picks +105% 

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**2009 All Sports Champion!**
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Currently on a 44-36 All Sports run since 10/22/23.

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FREE PICKS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Dec 02, 2023
Appalachian State vs. Troy
Appalachian State
+5½ -110
  at  YOUWAGER
in 12h

App State +5.5 1.1% Free Play

This is the best offense that Troy’s defense has faced since Kansas State, a game they lost 13-42.  App State is also very balanced running and passing the ball making them difficult to defend, and they have also owned Troy in the past having no problem putting points up on them.  They have actually won 7 of 8 meetings and 3 of the last 4 were actual blowouts. Looking at the YPP and Success Rate #’s there really there is really not a bigger difference separating these two teams so I feel like getting 5.5 on App State is a bit of a bargain here.  Can Troy’s offense take advantage of App State’s defensive weakness?  App State ranks top 30 in QB rating defense, and they are top 25 in sack rate, but their run defense at times has been terrible, ranking 88th in rushing success rate defense, but Troy’s rushing offense is the weakness of the team as they rank 91st in ypc, and 103rd in rushing success rate.  In a way you could say App State is being disrespected being the only team to beat James Madison and on the road, and they took North Carolina to the wire on the road.  Although they went 3-3 on the road they had some pretty challenging spots, and were in every game.

YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Dec 01, 2023
Oregon vs Washington
Washington
+10 -109 at BetVegas
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Washington +10 2.2% play / Washington +300 0.3% bonus

Oregon was a 3.5 point under dog on the road against Washington earlier in the season, and now they are a 10 point favorite on a neutral, which is more than a 10 point move, and Washington has not lost a game.  This is just bonkers to me and I understand Washington has not looked great and has been close to losing a bunch of times, but they have consistently found different ways to win games when some part of their team was not going well the other part turned it up.  We saw it from the defense in their road game at Oregon State.

 

Bottom line this is an inflated price based on recent results.  Washington has actually played the tougher schedule any way you look at it, and what’s not showing up is the last 3 games where Oregon is getting a ton of credit Washington played at USC and at Oregon State, while not only did Oregon get those two games at home, but they got them the week after Washington played them, and the week after they had dream crushing losses.  Oregon State was still in the mix to get to the PAC 12 title game, and USC the same as we saw Caleb Williams crying in the stands.  There is also this notion that Penix is injured, but I haven’t seen any hints of that with his arm at all.  Washington has a very good pass defense, which is what Bo Nix likes to do.  Although they won the first game they definitely got out played and that should allow them to make some adjustments for this game.  Should be a good one as the last two games have been decided by 3 points in favor of Washington.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Dec 01, 2023
New Mexico State vs Liberty
New Mexico State
+10½ -110 at YouWager
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

New Mexico St +10.5 3.3% play 

SERVICE BIO

Season Awards: This network is one of the most competitive network of handicappers with over 90 professional experts.  2009 & 2011 I was the #2 handicapper for the entire year!  I also have had several top 10 finishes including, #1 NCAAF 2009, #1 NCAAF 2011, #2 MLB 2009, #5 NFL 2010, #6 NCAAF 2013, #7 NCAAB 2012, and #10 MLB 2011.   

My Promise To You: All of my information is 100% backed by a guarantee and is fully researched and supported by my in depth analysis for your betting confidence. I personally bet these plays too so it is only fair you understand my logic.

Who Am I: I have been wagering on sports for more than a decade and I've been doing it professionally for 14 years. In 2008 I started my own service and have been earning my clients an impressive return on investment which is solidified by multiple national handicapping season awards for MLB and College Football. This is something I take very seriously. That is why every single recommendation I make comes with a full in depth analysis for your betting confidence. I want you to know my logic behind ever one of my picks.

Best Moments: In 2011 I predicted Iowa State +28.5 over Oklahoma State on a Friday night, but not only did I predict and play the spread I also predicted Iowa State to win the game outright as a 22:1 under dog. Iowa State won in over time to shock the nation and knock Oklahoma State out of the BCS National Championship race. Aside from that I have profited in every single of every sport on my signature play of the day's (POD's).

My Motto: "The will to win is nothing without the will to prepare."