Stephen Nover Stephen Nover

I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst.

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
WNBA  |  Jun 16, 2026
Toronto Tempo vs Fever
Toronto Tempo
+7½ -120 at Draft Kings
Lost
$120.0
Play Type: Free
The WNBA is noted for three things - bad officiating, bad commissioner and bad scheduling. It remains to be seen how the officiating will be in today's game between Toronto and Indiana, but this is another example of stupid scheduling.

This is the lone game on today's WNBA card. There will be six games on Wednesday's menu followed by one game on Thursday's schedule. Make sense? Not to me.

Rant over. Now it's time to handicap this matchup and I fall on the underdog Tempo.

Toronto is much better than your average expansion team. The Tempo are 7-7. They have covered eight of their last 13 games and are coached by Sandy Brondello, a two-time WNBA champion and former coach of the year.

The Tempo have one of the best starting backcourts in the league with Marina Mabrey and Brittney Sykes, who combine to average 38.6 points a game.

Both teams average 89 points. The Fever are mid-sized favorites because they are home and a level better than the Tempo. But they are not an elite team. Maybe down the road, but not now.  Indiana is riding a three-game winning streak. Those victories, however, have come against the Sun, Sky and Mystics. Those are three of the dregs of the league with a combined record of 11-29.

The Tempo should be up for this game after being blown out at home by the Dream, 102-77, this past Sunday. This game is being shown on national TV (USA Network). The Tempo are anxious for that rare media exposure. Mabry has a fierce rivalry against Caitlin Clark, too.

Indiana is used to being on national TV. This is not a big game for the Fever. They have a far more challenging matchup when they host the Dream on Thursday.

So I'll accept this many points with the Tempo.
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jun 16, 2026
Angels vs Diamondbacks
Diamondbacks
-105 at betus
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Top Premium

The Angels have two major problems here. They don't win on the road and they don't win for Reid Detmers. The Angels are 12-24 on the road and have lost in nine of Detmers' 14 starts.

The Diamondbacks play much better at home where they are 22-14.

Detmers has an impressive 97 strikeouts in 81 innings, but is saddled with a 4.00 ERA and has been victimized by a bad Angels bullpen that has the fifth highest ERA at 4.79 and lacks a reliable closer.

Diamondbacks starting pitcher Merrill Kelly has been pitching better after a slow start. He has allowed three earned runs or fewer in six of his past seven starts. Kelly has a low bar as the Angels have the eighth lowest batting average and the highest strikeout percentage.

  
PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
WNBA  |  Jun 17, 2026
Wings vs Golden State Valkyries
Golden State Valkyries
-2½ -115 at PlayMGM
Play Type: Premium

Kudos to the Wings for upsetting the Aces at home two days ago. But Dallas has lost its last two road games falling to the Lynx and expansion Fire. The Wings are on the road here in a letdown spot.

Unlike Dallas, Golden State made the playoffs last season. The Valkyries are good again this season. They have won their last three games with the victory margin being by an average of 10 points.

The Valkyries are the No. 1 defensive team in the WNBA. They are giving up an average of five fewer points per game than the Wings.

So I will lay this short number with the superior defensive team at home catching their opponent in a major letdown spot.

  
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jun 17, 2026
Orioles vs Mariners
Mariners
-126 at betonline
Play Type: Premium

Seattle is home, has the better starting pitcher and the superior bullpen. Baltimore has the better offense, especially with Randy Arozarena out, but that is off-set by T-Mobile being such a strong pitcher's park.

The Mariners are 20-16 at home. Baltimore is 12-21 in road games. This is just the Orioles' second West Coast game of the season. They have dropped three straight away contests.

Orioles starting pitcher Kyle Bradish has a 4.30 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP while allowing 1.4 home runs and 4.8 walks per nine innings. Mariners starting pitcher George Kirby has a 4.07 ERA, a 1.31 WHIP while giving up 0.9 home runs and 2.3 walks per nine innings.

Seattle has the sixth lowest bullpen ERA at 3.43. Baltimore relievers rank 21st in ERA at 4.53.

Matchup Selection W/L
WNBA  |  Jun 17, 2026
Lynx vs Sparks
OVER 176½ -110
Play Type: Top Premium

The Sparks have the worst defense in the WNBA giving up 90.4 points a game. They also are third from the bottom in defensive field goal percentage. Center Cameron Brink is LA's top rim protector and best defensive player. She isn't going to play here against Minnesota because of an ankle injury making the Sparks' defense even worse. 

The Lynx happen to be the top scoring team in the league at 92.6 points per game. They also rank No. 1 in field goal percentage and three-point shooting. Minnesota is in great offensive form averaging 101.3 points per game during its last three contests.

Lynx point guard Olivia Miles isn't just a heavy favorite to win Rookie of the Year. She is a solid MVP candidate.

LA is not going to slow down Minnesota. However, the Sparks have the offensive talent and motivation to keep this close. The Sparks have something to prove after scoring a season-low 58 points in a 78-58 road loss to the Valkyries this past Monday. Brink was injured in that game.

The Sparks are averaging 95 points during their last four home games, excluding a bad performance against the Aces. LA point guard Kelsey Plum also is in the MVP discussion. She ranks second in scoring, fourth in 3-pointers per game and is sixth in assists.

Both teams feature multiple strong secondary scorers and each team plays at an above average tempo. The Sparks should play at even a faster pace with Brink out. 

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Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 21 of 23 winning seasons.