John Ryan

Broncos vs Bills 
8-Unit bet on the Broncos priced as 8.5-point underdogs. 

The following NFL betting algorithm has produced solid results with a 50-38 SU and a 54-31-3 ATS result for 64% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are:  

Bet on a team that won and covered their previous game by double-digits.  

In that win, they had twice as many penalty yards as their opponent. 

If the opponent has a 50% or better win percentage, these teams improve to 21-22 SU and 28-13-2 ATS for 68% winning bets. If the game takes place in any of the playoff rounds, these teams have gone 17-13 SU and 21-8-1 ATS good for 72% winning bets since 2000. 

From the predictive model:My predictive model expects Denver to get more sacks than the Bills. Teams in the Wild Card round that sacked the opposing quarterback more than their QB was sacked and are priced as rod dogs, have gone 18-16 SU and 25-9 ATS good for 74% winning bets. If in this situation, our dog recorded three or sacks saw their teams go 16-11 SU and 21-6 ATS good for 78% winning bets. 

Commanders vs Bucs 
8-unit bet on the Commanders priced as a 3-point underdog. 

Here is an NFL betting algorithm that has gone 22-29 SU (43%) and 34-16-1 ATS good for 68% winning bets over the past 7 seasons. The requirements are:  

Bet on road dogs facing a divisional foe for the second time in the same season.  

In the first matchup, our dog gained 6 or more yards after the completion.  

If the game takes place in the playoffs, they have gone 5-3 SU and 7-1 ATS for 88% winning bets. 

If our team is priced between a 3.5 and 9.5-poit underdog they have gone 12-15 SU and 18-9 ATS for 67% winners. 

From the Predictive Model: My predictive model is expecting the Commanders to score 27 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers. The Commanders are 8-3 SU and 9-1-1 ATS in past games since 2022 when they have met or exceeded this performance measure. In addition, and based on the model projections, note that teams in the Wild Card round that have scored 27 or more points and gained at least 6 yards after the catch, have gone 8-1 SUATS. 

Washington Commanders: The Commanders finished the regular season with a 12-5 record, securing the No. 6 seed in the NFC. They have been impressive on offense, averaging 28.5 points per game, which ranks fifth-best in the NFL. Defensively, they allow 23.0 points per game, ranking 18th in the league. 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: The Buccaneers ended the regular season with a 10-7 record, winning the NFC South. They have a potent offense, averaging 29.5 points per game, ranking fourth best in the NFL. Their defense allows 22.6 points per game, ranking 16th in the league. 

Key Matchups 

Commanders' Offense vs. Buccaneers' Defense: The Commanders' offense, led by rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels, will face a tough challenge against the Buccaneers' defense4. Daniels has shown great potential and will need to make smart decisions and accurate throws to keep the Buccaneers' defense on their toes. 

Buccaneers' Offense vs. Commanders' Defense: The Buccaneers' offense, led by veteran quarterback Baker Mayfield, will look to exploit the Commanders' defense. Mayfield has a strong arm and a knack for making big plays, but he will need to avoid turnovers and sustain drives to keep the Commanders' offense off the field. 

Rookie Running Backs: Both teams feature dynamic rookie running backs. Buccaneers' Bucky Irving has been a standout performer, leading all rookies in rushing yards. Commanders' Chris Rodriguez Jr. has also made a significant impact with his running game. The battle between these two rookies will be crucial in determining the outcome of the game. 

Special Teams: Special teams play can often be a game-changer in the playoffs. Both teams will need to excel in kickoffs, punts, and field goals to gain an edge. 

Possible Commanders' Upset Win 

For the Commanders to pull off an upset, they will need to: 

Limit Turnovers: Avoid giving the Buccaneers extra possessions and scoring opportunities. 

Establish the Run Game: Utilize B. Robinson and Chris Rodriquez, Jr. to control the clock and keep the Buccaneers' offense off the field. A solid ground attack will open play-action vertical routes in man coverage to McLaurin, Zaccheus, and others. 

Pressure Mayfield: Generate a strong pass rush with solid gap discipline to disrupt Mayfield's rhythm and force him into mistakes. 

Win the Field Position Battle: Ensure their special teams perform well to give their offense favorable field position. 

Packers vs Eagles 
8-Unit bet on the Packers priced as 5.5-point underdogs. 

This is a marquee matchup for the Wild Card Round and gets the nod for the game to start at 4:25 EST. The Packers have the characteristics of a team capable to make a deep playoff run. They possess the ability to stretch defenses with vertical routes and their defense forces turnovers. Road teams in the playoffs that forced an average of 1.8 or more turnovers per game during the regular season and averaged 7 or more passing yards per attempt have gone 12-9 SU and 15-4 ATS for 79% winning bets. Road teams in the playoffs that averaged 7.5 or more passing yards per attempt have gone 27-32 SU and 37-20-2 ATS for 65% winning bets. Road teams in the playoffs that forced an average of 1.8 or more turnovers per game during the regular season have gone 45-52 SU and 55-38-4 ATS good for 59% winning bets. 

Now, the Eagles had a great regular season with a 14-3 record and went 12-1 from week 5 on out. They had the 30th (easy) strength of schedule, however. Teams cannot help or control the quality of the teams they play. The Packers losses have been against playoff teams in Minnesota and Detroit twice each, the Eagles, and the  

Teams in the Wild Card round that exceeded their regular season wins total by three or more games, their regular season wins line was 6 or more games (Eagles line was 10.5 wins), and are favored, have gone 7-8 SU and 3-12 ATS for just 20% winning bets. 

Here is an NFL betting algorithm that has gone 22-29 SU (43%) and 34-16-1 ATS good for 68% winning bets over the past 7 seasons. The requirements are:  

Bet on road dogs facing a divisional foe for the second time in the same season.  

In the first matchup, our dog gained 6 or more yards after the completion.  

If our team is priced between a 3.5 and 9.5-poit underdog they have gone 12-15 SU and 18-9 ATS for 67% winners. If the game takes place in the playoffs, they have gone 5-3 SU and 7-1 ATS for 88% winning bets. 

There are far more bettors backing the Eagles than the Packers and this does raise concerns. Of the bets placed at DraftKings, 79% of them have been on the Birds and 71% of the handle. The line has been rock-solid at 4.5 points and only moved to 5.5 points when the official announcement came that Jalen Hurts was off the concussion protocol. At the Circa the betting flows are even more concerning with 29% of the tickets but 54% of the handle on the Packers.  

Green Bay Packers: The Packers finished the regular season with an 11-6 record, securing the No. 7 seed in the NFC. They have a balanced offense, averaging 24.8 points per game, and a solid defense, allowing 19.9 points per game. 

Philadelphia Eagles: The Eagles ended the regular season with a 14-3 record, winning the NFC East. They have a dominant offense, averaging 28.2 points per game, and a strong defense, allowing 17.2 points per game. 

Key Matchups 

Packers' Offense vs. Eagles' Defense: The Packers' offense, led by quarterback Jordan Love, will face a tough challenge against the Eagles' defense. Love has shown promise but will need to make accurate throws and avoid turnovers to keep the Eagles' defense at bay. 

Eagles' Offense vs. Packers' Defense: The Eagles' offense, led by quarterback Jalen Hurts, will look to exploit the Packers' defense. Hurts has been impressive this season, and his ability to make plays with both his arm and legs will be crucial. 

Running Game Battle: Both teams feature strong running backs. The Packers' Aaron Jones and the Eagles' Saquon Barkley will be key players in their respective offenses. The battle in the trenches will be crucial in determining which team can establish the run game. 

Turnover Battle: Turnovers can be game-changers in the playoffs. Both teams have been good at protecting the ball, but the team that can force turnovers and capitalize on them will have a significant advantage. 

Possible Packers' Upset Win 

For the Packers to pull off an upset, they will need to: 

Limit Turnovers: Avoid giving the Eagles extra possessions and scoring opportunities. 

Establish the Run Game: Utilize Aaron Jones to control the clock and keep the Eagles' offense off the field. 

Pressure Hurts: Generate a strong pass rush to disrupt Hurts' rhythm and force him into mistakes. 

Win the Field Position Battle: 

Oregon vs Penn State 
8-Unit bet on Penn State priced as 2-point underdog. 

The following college basketball betting algorithm has produced a 69-32 ATSand the requirements are: 

Bet on home underdogs including pick-em. 

The game is matchup of conference foes. 

Our dog is fresh off an upset win over a conference foe. 

Our dog has a winning record. 

The road team has won 80% or more of their games. 

Bucks vs Knicks 
8-unit bet on the Knicks priced as 4.5-point favorites. 

The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 64-37 SU and a 65-35-21 ATS good for 65% winning bets over the past 6 seasons. The requirements are:  

Bet on any team that has failed to cover the spread by 48 or more points over their last seven games.  

That team has won between 60 and 75% of their games.  

The opponent has a winning record.  

If our team is the underdog or priced at pick-em, they have gone 22-20 SU and 29-13 ATS for 69% winning bets over the past 7 seasons. 

Kings vs Bulls 
8-Unit bet on the Kings priced as 4-point favorites. 

The following betting algorithm has produced a 374-142 SU (73%) SU record and a 316-189-11 ATS mark for 63% winning bets since 1997. The requirements are:  

Bet on a road team from the Western Conference avenging a same-season loss.  

That road team is favored between -1.5 and -11 points.  

The host is from the Eastern Conference.  

If the road team is playing on one or more days and the host is playing the second of back-to-back days, the road team’s record improves to 42-14 SU (75%) SU record and a 36-19-1 ATS mark for 65.5% winning bets since 1997. 

Lightning vs Penguins 
8-Unit bet on the Penguins priced as 120-underdogs. 

Supporting this bet on the Penguins is the following algorithm that has gone 64-36 for 64% winning bets and has averaged a +112 wager and earned a highly profitable 29% ROI over the past six seasons. The requirements are:  

Bet on home teams using the money line.  

The home team is coming off a humiliating home loss by three or more goals to a divisional rival. 

The game takes place in January.  

If our home team is an underdog their record improves to 25-23 averaging a +1255 wager and earning a 33% ROI over the past five seasons.  

Kraken vs Red Wings 
8 -Unit bet on the Kraken priced as a 125-underdog. 

The following NHL betting algorithm has produced a 23-14 (62%) record that has averaged a 105-underdog bet resulting in a 31% ROI and a $14,260 profit for the Dime Bettor and a $720 profit for the $50 per game bettor. The requirements are: 

Bet on a road team priced between a –125-favorite and a 125-underdog. 

They are play on back-to-back days. 

Both teams have won between 40 and 49% of their games played. 

The game takes place in the second half of the season.