Mr. East

Curt Cignetti has one of the best coaching resumes in college football. He has transformed a mediocre Indiana football program into one that has become highly potent. He started at James Madison, and combining all games he has coached his record stands at 36-6 SU and 27-14 ATS. Those numbers have been even better since he took over the Indiana program where the Hoosiers are 17-2 SU and 12-6 ATS. The Hoosiers this year are 6-0 and off a huge win at Oregon, where the Ducks seldom ever lose. His team this year is out-gaining opponents by 3 yards per play. The average margin this season so far for Indiana is 34ppg. Michigan St. lost by 25 to UCLA as a 7 point favorite last week, and will be starting a backup QB. Indiana fits in an unbeaten team situation that plays on certain teams that are 6-0 or better that is 50-19-1 ATS. Make the play on Indiana.

This is a heated rivalry and BYU won at Utah 22-21 a year ago. Utah brings with them a #23 ranking. The only real test they have had came against Texas Tech where they were soundly beaten 34-10. Both these teams have balanced attacks. This looks like a very even game, but taking more than 2 points and being 5-0 or better has shown the home dog rise to the occasion at 36-19-2 ATS. I like BYU.

Texas State heads to Marshall with the winner moving over .500. Texas St. has played a weak schedule having been a favorite in 5 of the 6 games they have played, but are just 3-3. Marshall has its offense clicking as the Herd is averaging 47ppg, and they just beat Old Dominion by 24 as a better than 2 TD dog. When a team scores 38 or more points in 2 straight games they play with energy. A home dog off 2 straight games scoring 38 or more points is 140-109-1 ATS (56%). Make the play on Marshall.

Hard to believe Ole Miss is ranked ahead of Georgia, but that is the case. Ole Miss is 6-0 on the season and rank #5 while 5-1 Georgia comes in at #9. The winner of this game is going to move up in playoff ranking. The Georgia offense is not as good as it has been in recent years, but the defense is every bit as good. Where the edge appears to be here is the Georgia passing defense vs. an elite Ole Miss air game. I think Ole Miss got caught looking ahead as they had to come from behind to beat Washington St. 24-21. Georgia has not topped 45 points this year, and it is the first time in 7 years they failed to do so through 6 games. Ole Miss is 45-13 SU since the start of the 2021 season.A team 6-0 is 26-17-1 ATS (60.5%). Make the play on Ole Miss.

The Green Bay Packers have yet to win a game on the road this season (0-1-1), but they certainly make a good argument this week against the Cardinals in Arizona. The Packers bring an impressive resume into this game. They are tied with Denver for allowing the fewest yards per play in the league at 4.7ypp. Jordan Love has thrown 9 TDs to just 2 INT's and he is averaging 8.3ypa on the season, better than any one else on the card. Arizona is just 2-4 on the season and they have had issues on both sides of the ball. The Packers finally got their running game going as they have topped 150 yards in 2 straight games. Big statistical edge here. Make the play on Green Bay.

The LA Rams and the Jacksonville Jaguars will do battle in London. One of the first thing I noticed when looking at this game was that the records for both teams is 4-2, the numbers are completely different. The Rams are entirely below the radar. They have been the best team in the NFL from the line of scrimmage. The Rams are averaging 6.3ypp on offense while allowing just 4.9ypp on defense. Jacksonville is averaging 5.4ypp on offense while allowing 5.8 yards per play on defense. The Rams have decided edges both when they have the ball, or their opponent has the ball. This is just a clear cut handicap. Make the play on the LA Rams.

The Dallas Cowboys are under .500 at 2-3-1, but if Dak Prescott continues to play at a high level, and there defense gets healthy and improves the will leap over the .500 mark. One of the biggest recipes for success is coming into a game having committed 0 turnovers over their last 3 games, and facing a team that has at least 3 turnovers in their last 3 games. These teams are 102-56-5 ATS at 64.6% winners, including 34-19-2 ATS in division games. Make the play on Dallas.

This one comes from the one and only predictive model I have built, that leans on several meaningful stats. The main stat is weighted to turnover differentials, with input pertaining heavy on potential turnover margins vs. normal. This true betting system is 54-104-7 ATS (65.8%), and it plays against the Bears. Make the play on New Orleans.

The NY Giants have become a fun team to watch. They have inserted Jaxon Dart at QB and Cam Skattebo at running back, and their play has elevated their team. The Giants will face a Denver defense that is allowing just 4.7ypp which ties them for the best mark in the NFL with the Green Bay Packers. Couple that with the Giants huge upset over Philadelphia 34-17 as an 8 point dog. While that looks great many bettors will jump on the bandwagon in what is a major letdown spot for them. A team off a dog win as a +6 or more point under dog, and are once again a 6 or more point under dog is 91-140-4 ATS. Make the play on Denver.