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John Ryan |
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| 10-UNIT NFL Bet of the Month tonight | Giants vs Patriots |
| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NFL | Dec 01, 2025 Giants vs Patriots |
Patriots -7 -105 at Bovada |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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NY Giants vs NE Patriots Here is an NFL betting algorithm that has gone 99-22 SU (82%) and 72-48-1 ATS good for 60% winning bets over the past 8 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on favorites priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points. The underdog has seen the total play over by 30 or more points spanning their last five games. If the game takes place from week 12 on out to the end of the regular season, our teams go 52-14 SU (79%) and 42-24 ATS good for 64% winning bets. The Patriots are having a great season highlighted by a road win in Buffalo earlier this season. The Giants would be a playoff contender if the game of football did not have a fourth quarter. The Giants have lost 5 games after having the lead at the half and 3 of those had a lead entering the fourth quarter. By comparison, the Patriots have had just 1 loss after leading at the half and all 10 of their wins, they had the lead at the half. So, they have gone 10-1 if tied or leading at the half this season. The Giants have scored first in 6 games and lost the game and only in one game have they scored first and went on to win the game. ✅ Offensive Yards per Point (YPP) Patriots: 13.3 YPP (Rank: 12th in NFL) This means they need 13.3 yards to score 1 point, which is better than average (league avg ≈ 14.7). Indicates efficient scoring relative to yardage. [teamrankings.com] Giants: 14.7 YPP (Rank: 21st in NFL) Less efficient than Patriots; they need more yards to score each point Category Patriots Giants Points/Game 26.5 22 Yards/Game 359.9 348.5 Yards/Play 5.8 5.3 Completion % 70.87 60.41 3D Conversion % 42.36 41.46 RZ Scoring % (TD) 54.76 47.62 Opp Points/Game 18.8 27.8 Opp Yards/Game 301.2 385 Live Betting Strategy: Given the current Giant’s trend of scoring early, consider betting 7 units on the Patriots pre-flop and then look to get 2 units at Patriots favored by 4.5 points and 1-unit on the money line if they are favored by 1.5 or fewer points during the first half of action. From my Predictive Models: My models project that the Patriots will score 27 or more points, gain at least 125 rushing yards, and have the same or fewer turnovers than the Giants. In past games, the Patriots have posted a 15-1 SUATS since 2021. Since 2016, they have earned a 33-3 SU and 30-6 ATS record good for 83% winning bets when scoring 27 or more points in home games. If they have scored 27+ points and gained 125+ rushing yards have compiled an incredible 15-0 SU and 14-1 ATS record for 93% winning bets. Last, the Patriots are 14-0 SU and 13-1 ATS when scoring 27 or more points, gaining 125+ rushing yards, and having the same or fewer turnovers in home games played since 2016. |
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John Ryan has been handicapping professional sports for over 26 years. He has either won or placed in the Top-10 in dozens of contests. John's success begins with the philosophy that goals are based and measured in the longer-term, and that over time consistency is what promotes success. Every new client is informed that there are no guarantees for profit or that any past performances can be counted on toward futures results. They provide full disclosure that gambling is dangerous but can be a lot of fun if done in a very disciplined manner. The key to benefiting from the JRS team’s algorithm programs and database systems is to consistently invest the same amount of money on each selection. This process will ensure that the client’s bankroll their investment return will be fully optimized. These quantitative methods eliminate any human subjectivity from all selection processes. The base computer systems are based on combinatorial algorithms and an adaptive-structure Neural Network. In summary, our systems calculate and analyze several million pieces of game data and then optimizes the data to produce the best possible forecasts. The systems also optimize team streaks and momentum much like their technical analysis of a stock, futures, or even bitcoin. As seen in the financial markets for decades and personally learned from a vast investment banking career on Wall Street, the team applies a contrarian weighting to the betting consensus and team trends. For example, if a given trend in any sport is posting a 15-2 ATS, then the model may project that the trend has topped and is more likely to reverse. Then, the team quantifies and compares the game matchups. The top matchups supporting the pick are then detailed in the comprehensive report that is provided for each selection. These reports will concisely state why a given team has been selected and once you have read through the report your mind will be filled with the confidence and trust to invest your hard-earned money too. JRS is a cutting-edge technology company whose sports information is unique, informative, and has produced strong predictive results. The key is committing to a full season. If you make that decision, you will not be disappointed. After all, they have been around for 22 years with a proven track record of success and treating clients with the respect that it takes hard work week after week and not with the hype of a Game of the Month or Game of the Year Lock. |
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