Matt Fargo |
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NBA 23-9 run. Matt keeps it rolling tonight with a BIG Bounceback Winner. CBB 249-225-4 run with the NCAA Tournament in full force. TWO Sweet 16 Winners each for Thursday and Friday. MLB Opening Day Sweet Spot today |
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Mar 27, 2024 UNLV vs Seton Hall |
Seton Hall -4½ -110 at circa |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
This is a play on the SETON HALL PIRATES for our NIT Signature Enforcer. The NIT can be tough to figure out early on with motivation being a key factor and both of these teams have been locked in. Seton Hall has the benefit of remaining at home where it played its first two games including a 14-point win last time out over North Texas. Additionally, the Pirates come into this game with an extra day of rest to go along with the no travel so there is added prep time. The Pirates are 16-3 at home with half of those wins coming against postseason teams. It has been a tough travel schedule for UNLV over the last week as it opened the NIT on the east coast against Princeton then travelled back home to host Boston College on Sunday and now it is back in New Jersey to face Seton Hall. The Rebels have performed well on the road this season as they are 8-3 but only three of those victories have come against teams that made the postseason in some form while all three losses were against such teams, two by double digits. UNLV has just six Quad 1 and 2 wins while Seton Hall has 10. 10* (622) Seton Hall Pirates |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Mar 27, 2024 Spurs vs Jazz |
Jazz -2½ -110 at circa |
Lost $110.0 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Utah has lost six straight games including three of those at home but those three were against upcoming playoff teams. The Jazz are still 20-16 at home compared to going 9-27 on the road and that home record is 10-3 when they are favored. Utah had a great run in December and January but it has struggled since mid-January and it has fallen out of playoff contention but we love the contrarian aspect of this spot with the current losing streak and laying a short number. San Antonio is coming off a win over Phoenix without Victor Wembanyama in the lineup which snapped a three-game losing streak. The Spurs hit the road for their first true road game since March 9 as they have played five home games and a pair of neutral site games since that last road game. San Antonio is 7-29 on the highway and coming off a win has not given them much momentum this season as the Spurs are 4-11 following a victory. Here, we play on teams with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 coming off a home loss by 10 points or more, playing a losing team. This situation is 79-39 ATS (66.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (564) Utah Jazz |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Mar 27, 2024 Pacers vs Bulls |
Pacers -2½ -110 at Ace |
Lost $110.0 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Indiana followed up a five-point loss to the Lakers on Sunday with a 17-point win against the Clippers on Monday which was its third win in four games to open this five-game roadtrip. The Pacers improved to 19-17 on the road and once again on their own conference where they are 28-17 against Eastern Conference teams. Indiana is still alive for home court advantage in the first round of the playoffs as it trails New York by three games and this is a good momentum spot as the Pacers are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games coming off a double-digit win as road underdogs. Chicago is coming off its third straight loss as it fell to Washington at home which was a killer defeat and it is pretty much guaranteed to take part in the play in portion of the postseason. The Bulls are 6.5 games out of sixth place in the conference with just 10 games remaining. They are now 18-19 at home and this includes a 2-5 run at home with the two wins coming against two of the worst teams in the NBA. Here, we play against underdogs with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 off an upset loss as a home favorite. This situation is 89-47 ATS (65.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (561) Indiana Pacers |
PICKS IN PROGRESS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Mar 28, 2024 Celtics vs Hawks |
Hawks +17½ -110 at circa |
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Play Type: Top Premium | ||
This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Boston will be motivated tonight to avenge an awful loss against Atlanta on Monday as the Hawks overcame a 30-point deficit to end the Celtics nine-game winning streak with a 120-118 victory. It was the biggest comeback in Hawks history and the largest comeback in the NBA this season so while this revenge spot heavily favors Boston, it goes from a 10.5-point favorite to a 17.5-point favorite. Sorry, but no matter who is in the Atlanta lineup tonight, a line shift like this is ridiculous with huge value on Atlanta which still has more to play for at this point. The Celtics locked up the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference thanks to Milwaukee losing to the Lakers on Monday and they have all but locked up the best record in the league as they are 6.5 games clear of Denver. Atlanta has won three in a row after its win over Portland last night and remains No. 10 in the Eastern Conference and it remains a game and a half behind Chicago which also won last night and getting to that No. 9 seed is big to avoid playing Boston in the first round should it get past the play in game. Boston can win by 30 but the probability is not there and we will gladly jump on this overinflated number. 10* (568) Atlanta Hawks |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Mar 28, 2024 Tigers vs White Sox |
White Sox +165 at Ace |
Lost $100.0 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX for our MLB Opening Day Sweet Spot. It has been a while since Detroit has been in the public spotlight but that is the case before the 2024 season as the Tigers are a popular pick to win the American League Central over the favored Twins. The lines are showing this on Opening Day as they are a big favorite in Chicago which is picked to finish last in the division and we are fading the public here. Tarik Skubal is +900 to win the American League Cy Young which is tied for the fifth lowest odds with a lot of this based on last season. In 15 starts, he allowed two runs or less 11 times but he had a very easy opposing schedule and while the White Sox are not expected to do much, it is due to having no pitching as their lineup from 1-6 is legit. Garrett Crochet gets the start for Chicago which shows how limited this rotation is but he has potential. Some scouts had Crochet as the most dominant pitcher in the Cactus League over his 12.2 innings, during which he recorded 14 strikeouts and one walk while his fastball topped out at 100 mph. The Tigers lineup is not going to scare anyone at least early on as it is loaded with young talent but six of the nine spots are not set in stone. 10* (924) Chicago White Sox |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Mar 28, 2024 San Diego State vs Connecticut |
San Diego State +11 -110 at Ace |
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Play Type: Top Premium | ||
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO ST. AZTECS for our Sweet 16 Game of the Year. Connecticut is still arguably the best team in the country as it once again looks unstoppable following its National Championship run last season. The Huskies are a very public team right now and for good reason as they have covered eight straight NCAA Tournament games going back to last season so this is the contrarian move. Obviously, they have not let the big numbers deter their ATS run as they have been able to cover the inflated numbers and linesmakers are now forced to make huge adjustments based on this. The bad news is that this is a horrible spot to be in with 85 percent of tickets and 91 percent of money coming in on them and going back, NCAA Tournament teams with 80 percent or more of the action on their side are 2-11 ATS over the last 19 years. San Diego St. is not getting the respect here as this is a tournament tested team that is looking to make another run to the championship game and the Aztecs are of course doing it with their defense as they are No. 8 in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They got a scare from UAB but rolled over Yale and while the defense will be tested against the No. 2 ranked offense in efficiency, mucking up this game and making it low scoring heavily favors the underdog, especially a quality one getting double digits. 10* (633) San Diego St. Aztecs |
SERVICE BIO |
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Matt Fargo is becoming recognized as one of the best and most consistent handicappers in the world. He has been handicapping professionally since his college days and his hard work and dedication have paid off considerably. In his 14 years of handicapping, Fargo has had winning seasons 11 times and has not had only one losing season in the past 10 campaigns. He brings with him numerous high ranking finishes in all sports with 23 Top Tens in the past five years alone including four #1's. Matt has appeared on numerous radio shows over the last few years giving out sought after information, free plays and spot-on analysis that the bettor needs. He is commonly referred to as "Mr. Analysis" as his game day reports are considered to be some of the finest and most thorough available anywhere. If you want reasoning for a play, Matt gives it to you. Rating Scale Play Rating will be displayed in each title and range anywhere from 5* to 10* for Premium Plays and 3* for Free Plays. Enforcer – this is the Signature Play for Matt and is usually backed with a 10* Rating unless otherwise noted. Supreme Annihilator – this is typically a favorite or a pickem that Matt feels has the opportunity to destroy the line. Dark Horse Dandy – this is an underdog that is being faded for the wrong reasons and usually has a chance to win a game outright. Star Attraction – this is a game that can be seen on national television providing great watch and win opportunities. Total Dominator – while rare, these are the best over/under releases and occur more in football and baseball than any other sports. |
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